SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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2. Bundesliga · 2025-26

SC Paderborn 07

2 – 1

Full Time

Holstein Kiel

Sat 2 Aug 2025 · 11:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga .

SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
Holstein Kiel 34 games · 41 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Felix Prigan (Germany)

14 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 4.6 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Schalke 04	34	70
2	SV 07 Elversberg	34	62
3	SC Paderborn 07	34	62
4	Hannover 96	34	60
5	SV Darmstadt 98	34	52
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	34	52
7	Hertha BSC	34	51
8	1. FC Nurnberg	34	46
9	VfL Bochum 1848	34	44
10	Karlsruher SC	34	44
11	SG Dynamo Dresden	34	41
12	Holstein Kiel	34	41
13	Arminia Bielefeld	34	39
14	1. FC Magdeburg	34	39
15	Eintracht Braunschweig	34	37
16	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	34	37
17	TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf	34	37
18	SC Preussen Munster	34	30

Head-to-Head

SC Paderborn 07 10 games · Avg 2.8 goals Holstein Kiel

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-02-17 SC Paderborn 07 0–4 Holstein Kiel 2023-09-02 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Paderborn 07 2018-04-18 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2017-12-03 SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Aug	Holstein Kiel	H	2–1	W
18 May	Karlsruher SC	A	0–3	L
10 May	1. FC Magdeburg	H	2–1	W
02 May	FC Schalke 04	A	2–0	W
26 Apr	SV 07 Elversberg	H	1–1	D
19 Apr	1. FC Nurnberg	A	3–2	W

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Aug	SC Paderborn 07	A	1–2	L
17 May	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–3	L
10 May	SC Freiburg	H	1–2	L
04 May	FC Augsburg	A	3–1	W
26 Apr	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	4–3	W
19 Apr	RB Leipzig	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

SC Paderborn 07		Holstein Kiel
#3	Position	#12
62	Points	41
34	Played	34
18 / 8 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 8 / 15
59	Scored	44
45	Conceded	48
+14	GD	-4
1.82	PPG	1.21
53%	Win %	32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

26% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Paderborn 07

0-15

2/1

16-30

4/3

31-45

2/4

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/1

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Holstein Kiel

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

3/3

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/1

76+

4/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. SC Paderborn 07 kicks off things out of here…
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SC Paderborn 07 players.

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Steven Skrzybski	2
Tom Rothe	1
Robert Leipertz	1
Marvin Schulz	1
Finn Porath	1
Niklas Niehoff	1

Head to Head

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2025-08-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–1 Holstein Kiel W 2025-05-18 Karlsruher SC 3–0 SC Paderborn 07 L 2025-05-10 SC Paderborn 07 2–1 1. FC Magdeburg W 2025-05-02 FC Schalke 04 0–2 SC Paderborn 07 W 2025-04-26 SC Paderborn 07 1–1 SV 07 Elversberg D 2025-04-19 1. FC Nurnberg 2–3 SC Paderborn 07 W

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-08-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–1 Holstein Kiel L 2025-05-17 Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Holstein Kiel L 2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg L 2025-05-04 FC Augsburg 1–3 Holstein Kiel W 2025-04-26 Holstein Kiel 4–3 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2025-04-19 RB Leipzig 1–1 Holstein Kiel D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.79 SC Paderborn 07 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.22 Holstein Kiel xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Paderborn 0752% Draw24% Holstein Kiel24%

Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw

76%

Draw or Holstein Kiel

48%

SC Paderborn 07 or Holstein Kiel

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Paderborn 0736% Draw44% Holstein Kiel20%

Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.6%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

2 – 0

7.8%

0 – 0

6.6%

1 – 2

6.3%

2 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

5.5%

0 – 1

5.2%

3 – 0

4.5%

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap	SC Paderborn 07 covers	Push	Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	22%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	14%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.