SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga .
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 2 games · 2 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Prigan (Germany)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Energie Cottbus | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabruck | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug | Holstein Kiel | H | 2–1 | W |
| 18 May | Karlsruher SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 May | FC Schalke 04 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Nurnberg | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | SC Freiburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | FC Augsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 4–3 | W |
| 19 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Holstein Kiel kicks off things out of here…
- With this win, SC Paderborn 07 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Skrzybski | 2 |
| Niklas Niehoff | 1 |
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Robert Leipertz | 1 |
| Marvin Schulz | 1 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
73%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
53%
SC Paderborn 07 or Holstein Kiel
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 21% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

