Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 34 games · 41 pts (2025/26)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Wolfgang Haslberger
13 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Schalke 04 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Aug | FC Gutersloh | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jul | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Holstein Kiel | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Aug | FC Energie Cottbus | A | 7–0 | W |
| 04 Aug | VfL Osnabruck | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jul | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 0–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Holstein Kiel | SC Paderborn 07 | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 41 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 11 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 44 | Scored | 59 |
| 48 | Conceded | 45 |
| -4 | GD | +14 |
| 1.21 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 32% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. SC Paderborn 07 get us underway at Holstein-Stadion.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 12' Assisted by Raphael Obermair with the perfectly-timed delivery and Robert Leipertz makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 17' Jannis Heuer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 316 appearances.
- 19' Philipp Sander picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 24' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 26' SC Paderborn 07 player sees a card in front of him.
- 31' Tom Rothe makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Holstein Kiel are in front.
- 36' The travelling SC Paderborn 07 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 38' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Sirlord Conteh comes on to replace Robert Leipertz.
- 41' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Marko Ivezic will be fuming at that decision.
- 46' A change in the SC Paderborn 07 ranks — Marcel Hoffmeier exits the field as Laurin Curda enters on 46.
- 51' Patrick Erras is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Paderborn 07 so far.
- 52' Jannis Heuer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 52.
- 57' SC Paderborn 07 come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 61' What composure from Steven Skrzybski! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 65' Timo Becker is replacing Finn Porath for the Holstein Kiel side.
- 68' Adriano Grimaldi is replacing Felix Platte for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
- 73' The 32-year-old Jannik Huth has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Holtby. He replaces Benedikt Pichler on 75 minute.
- 78' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Raphael Obermair departs to be replaced by Kimberly Ezekwem.
- 80' Mattes Hansen picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 84' It’s gonna be a card for Shuto Machino.
- 85' The whistle greets Shuto Machino as he departs to be replaced by Nicolai Remberg.
- 90' Mattes Hansen, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 4
-
13
Shuto Machino ↓ Nicolai Remberg 85'
- 15
- 16
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Timo Becker 65'
-
9
Benedikt Pichler ↓ Lewis Holtby 75'
- 18
- 34
- 6
Bench
- 11
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 75'
- 20
-
19
Holmbert Fridjonsson ↑ 85'
-
17
Timo Becker ↑ 65'
- 3
- 21
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 85'
- 28
Coach
Marcel Rapp
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 30
- 13
-
36
Felix Platte ↓ Adriano Grimaldi 68'
-
27
Kai Klefisch ↓ Max Kruse 68'
- 16
- 23
- 26
-
33
Marcel Hoffmeier ↓ Laurin Curda 46'
- 24
- 22
Bench
-
10
Max Kruse ↑ 68'
- 1
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↑ 68'
- 15
- 6
- 40
-
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 38'
-
19
Kimberly Ezekwem ↑ 78'
-
17
Laurin Curda ↑ 46'
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Skrzybski | 2 |
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Robert Leipertz | 1 |
| Marvin Schulz | 1 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
| Niklas Niehoff | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2023-09-02
Holstein Kiel
2–1
SC Paderborn 07
L
2023-08-25
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
L
2023-08-19
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2023-08-13
FC Energie Cottbus
0–7
SC Paderborn 07
W
2023-08-04
SC Paderborn 07
1–1
VfL Osnabruck
D
2023-07-30
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
5–0
SC Paderborn 07
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel or SC Paderborn 07 76% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
63%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
61%
Holstein Kiel or SC Paderborn 07
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.5%
1 – 3
5.1%
0 – 0
4.9%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.