Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 11 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Wolfgang Haslberger
6 games this season
🟨 5.7/game
⚽ 13.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Energie Cottbus | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Schalke 04 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Aug | FC Gutersloh | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jul | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Holstein Kiel | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Aug | FC Energie Cottbus | A | 7–0 | W |
| 04 Aug | VfL Osnabrück | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jul | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 0–5 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 5 G | 3 A |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Holstein-Stadion will turn into a battlefield for Holstein Kiel and SC Paderborn 07.
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jannik Huth is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Holstein Kiel.
- 10' The 25-year-old Laurin Curda has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 12' GOAL! Robert Leipertz scores on 12. Assisted by Raphael Obermair
- 17' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 19' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Philipp Sander will be fuming at that decision.
- 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
- 26' Poor challenge from Marcel Hoffmeier. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 31' What an equalizer from Tom Rothe!
- 36' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 38' Sirlord Conteh gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Robert Leipertz and will look to change the dynamic.
- 41' The referee calls foul for Marko Ivezic. He receives a card.
- 46' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 46 minute. Marcel Hoffmeier leaves to be changed by Laurin Curda.
- 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jannis Heuer on 52.
- 57' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Holstein Kiel and SC Paderborn 07 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 61' Holstein Kiel is taking the lead after the goal scored by Steven Skrzybski on 61.
- 65' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Timo Becker is hanging Finn Porath on the field on 65 minute.
- 68' SC Paderborn 07 ring the changes. Felix Platte has done his job and it is now time for Adriano Grimaldi to step up.
- 73' Max Kruse has been relatively quiet despite scoring 39 goals in his last 425 appearances.
- 75' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lewis Holtby is hanging Benedikt Pichler on the field on 75 minute.
- 78' Kimberly Ezekwem has so much to prove this time. He replaces Raphael Obermair on 78 minute.
- 80' Mattes Hansen is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
- 84' Shuto Machino catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 84.
- 85' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Shuto Machino exits the field as Nicolai Remberg enters on 85.
- 90' SC Paderborn 07 have won 240 goals from 327 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 4
-
13
Shuto Machino ↓ Nicolai Remberg 85'
- 15
- 16
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Timo Becker 65'
-
9
Benedikt Pichler ↓ Lewis Holtby 75'
- 18
- 34
- 6
Bench
- 11
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 75'
- 20
-
19
Holmbert Fridjonsson ↑ 85'
-
17
Timo Becker ↑ 65'
- 3
- 21
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 85'
- 28
Coach
Marcel Rapp
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 30
- 13
-
36
Felix Platte ↓ Adriano Grimaldi 68'
-
27
Kai Klefisch ↓ Max Kruse 68'
- 16
- 23
- 26
-
33
Marcel Hoffmeier ↓ Laurin Curda 46'
- 24
- 22
Bench
-
10
Max Kruse ↑ 68'
- 1
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↑ 68'
- 15
- 6
- 40
-
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 38'
-
19
Kimberly Ezekwem ↑ 78'
-
17
Laurin Curda ↑ 46'
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Skrzybski | 2 |
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Robert Leipertz | 1 |
| Marvin Schulz | 1 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
| Niklas Niehoff | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2023-09-02
Holstein Kiel
2–1
SC Paderborn 07
L
2023-08-25
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
L
2023-08-19
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2023-08-13
FC Energie Cottbus
0–7
SC Paderborn 07
W
2023-08-04
SC Paderborn 07
1–1
VfL Osnabrück
D
2023-07-30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
5–0
SC Paderborn 07
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.53
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel or SC Paderborn 07 75% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
67%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
58%
Holstein Kiel or SC Paderborn 07
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 19% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.