Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 6 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Wolfgang Haslberger
3 games this season
🟨 5.3/game
⚽ 13.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Schalke 04 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Aug | FC Gutersloh | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jul | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Holstein Kiel | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Aug | FC Energie Cottbus | A | 7–0 | W |
| 04 Aug | VfL Osnabrück | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jul | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 0–5 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 4 G | 2 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G | |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Holstein Kiel launch into their encounter with SC Paderborn 07.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Holstein-Stadion. SC Paderborn 07 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Felix Platte suffering a number of foals already.
- 12' Robert Leipertz has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 12 minutes.
- 17' It’s high time Lukas Kwasniok made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 19' Philipp Sander is having his name booked by the referee on 19.
- 24' The 27-year-old Timon Weiner has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 26' The referee calls foul for Marcel Hoffmeier. He receives a card.
- 31' Magnificent from Tom Rothe! That is 10 goals in 523 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 36' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Marcel Hoffmeier has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 38' The supporters are chanting for Sirlord Conteh. He replaces Robert Leipertz on 38 minute.
- 41' Marko Ivezic is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
- 46' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Laurin Curda on, Marcel Hoffmeier off on 46 minutes.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 52' Jannis Heuer picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 57' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Max Kruse made 416 appearances and scored 39 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 61' Holstein Kiel is taking the lead after the goal scored by Steven Skrzybski on 61.
- 65' The Holstein Kiel bench stirs into life. Finn Porath is withdrawn and Timo Becker gets his opportunity.
- 68' Another substitution for SC Paderborn 07 to replace Felix Platte by Adriano Grimaldi on 68 minute.
- 73' Raphael Obermair is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
- 75' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Benedikt Pichler by Lewis Holtby on 75 minute.
- 78' Kimberly Ezekwem is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raphael Obermair at the 78 minute mark.
- 80' SC Paderborn 07 player sees a card in front of him.
- 84' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Shuto Machino will be fuming at that decision.
- 85' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 85 minute. Shuto Machino leaves to be changed by Nicolai Remberg.
- 90' With 1 assists to his name this season, Kai Klefisch is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Holstein Kiel.
- Holstein Kiel celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 4
-
13
Shuto Machino ↓ Nicolai Remberg 85'
- 15
- 16
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Timo Becker 65'
-
9
Benedikt Pichler ↓ Lewis Holtby 75'
- 18
- 34
- 6
Bench
- 11
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 75'
- 20
-
19
Holmbert Fridjonsson ↑ 85'
-
17
Timo Becker ↑ 65'
- 3
- 21
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 85'
- 28
Coach
Marcel Rapp
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 30
- 13
-
36
Felix Platte ↓ Adriano Grimaldi 68'
-
27
Kai Klefisch ↓ Max Kruse 68'
- 16
- 23
- 26
-
33
Marcel Hoffmeier ↓ Laurin Curda 46'
- 24
- 22
Bench
-
10
Max Kruse ↑ 68'
- 1
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↑ 68'
- 15
- 6
- 40
-
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 38'
-
19
Kimberly Ezekwem ↑ 78'
-
17
Laurin Curda ↑ 46'
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Skrzybski | 2 |
| Robert Leipertz | 1 |
| Marvin Schulz | 1 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
| Niklas Niehoff | 1 |
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2023-09-02
Holstein Kiel
2–1
SC Paderborn 07
L
2023-08-25
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
L
2023-08-19
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2023-08-13
FC Energie Cottbus
0–7
SC Paderborn 07
W
2023-08-04
SC Paderborn 07
1–1
VfL Osnabrück
D
2023-07-30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
5–0
SC Paderborn 07
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.53
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel or SC Paderborn 07 75% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
67%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
58%
Holstein Kiel or SC Paderborn 07
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 19% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.