Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 2 games · 2 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Wolfgang Haslberger
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Energie Cottbus | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 2 |
| 10 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabruck | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | FC Schalke 04 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Aug | FC Gutersloh | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Aug | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jul | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep | Holstein Kiel | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Aug | FC Energie Cottbus | A | 7–0 | W |
| 04 Aug | VfL Osnabruck | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Jul | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 0–5 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Holstein Kiel to score. At the same time, SC Paderborn 07 does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 12' GOAL! Robert Leipertz scores on 12. Assisted by Raphael Obermair
- 17' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Holstein Kiel and SC Paderborn 07 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 19' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Philipp Sander gets a card.
- 24' Raphael Obermair, a Philippines , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 26' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marcel Hoffmeier on 26.
- 31' GOAL! Tom Rothe fires home to make it 1-1!
- 36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 38' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Sirlord Conteh on, Robert Leipertz off on 38 minutes.
- 41' Poor challenge from Marko Ivezic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' Laurin Curda gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Marcel Hoffmeier and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 52' Jannis Heuer picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sebastian Klaas suffering a number of foals already.
- 61' What a moment for Steven Skrzybski! That strike on 61 puts his side firmly in control.
- 65' The whistle greets Finn Porath as he departs to be replaced by Timo Becker.
- 68' It is a substitution in SC Paderborn 07 team. Felix Platte is replaced by Adriano Grimaldi on 68 minute.
- 73' The travelling SC Paderborn 07 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 75' Lewis Holtby is ready to make an impact after coming on for Benedikt Pichler at the 75 minute mark.
- 78' Kimberly Ezekwem has so much to prove this time. He replaces Raphael Obermair on 78 minute.
- 80' Mattes Hansen was booked on 80.
- 84' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
- 85' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicolai Remberg is hanging Shuto Machino on the field on 85 minute.
- 90' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Felix Platte has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 4
-
13
Shuto Machino ↓ Nicolai Remberg 85'
- 15
- 16
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Timo Becker 65'
-
9
Benedikt Pichler ↓ Lewis Holtby 75'
- 18
- 34
- 6
Bench
- 11
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↑ 75'
- 20
-
19
Holmbert Fridjonsson ↑ 85'
-
17
Timo Becker ↑ 65'
- 3
- 21
-
22
Nicolai Remberg ↑ 85'
- 28
Coach
Marcel Rapp
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 30
- 13
-
36
Felix Platte ↓ Adriano Grimaldi 68'
-
27
Kai Klefisch ↓ Max Kruse 68'
- 16
- 23
- 26
-
33
Marcel Hoffmeier ↓ Laurin Curda 46'
- 24
- 22
Bench
-
10
Max Kruse ↑ 68'
- 1
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↑ 68'
- 15
- 6
- 40
-
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 38'
-
19
Kimberly Ezekwem ↑ 78'
-
17
Laurin Curda ↑ 46'
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Skrzybski | 2 |
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Robert Leipertz | 1 |
| Marvin Schulz | 1 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
| Niklas Niehoff | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2023-09-02
Holstein Kiel
2–1
SC Paderborn 07
L
2023-08-25
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
L
2023-08-19
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2023-08-13
FC Energie Cottbus
0–7
SC Paderborn 07
W
2023-08-04
SC Paderborn 07
1–1
VfL Osnabruck
D
2023-07-30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
5–0
SC Paderborn 07
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.53
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel or SC Paderborn 07 75% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
67%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
58%
Holstein Kiel or SC Paderborn 07
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 19% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

