Thursday , 2 July 2026

Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Holstein Kiel
1 – 2
Full Time
SC Freiburg
Sat 10 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lasse Rosenboom 24' 1–0
1–1 45+2' Johan Manzambi
1–2 58' Lucas Holer
Armin Gigovic 69' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
  • Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel
13 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

3
3
5
Holstein Kiel 11 games · Avg 2.9 goals SC Freiburg
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg 2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2018-10-31 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Freiburg 2018-02-28 SC Freiburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2017-10-01 Holstein Kiel 3–2 SC Freiburg

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
04 May FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
26 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–3 W
19 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
SC Freiburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Holstein Kiel A 2–1 W
04 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
26 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
19 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–2 W
12 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–1 W
05 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 1–4 L

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Holstein-Stadion will turn into a battlefield for Holstein Kiel and SC Freiburg.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Freiburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Freiburg that had 493 games and scored 469 goals.
  • 15' The travelling SC Freiburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 24' What a strike from Lasse Rosenboom! The score is 1-0.
  • 29' Holstein Kiel is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 39' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 44' Nicolas Hofler has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 49 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 46' Lucas Holer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Johan Manzambi on 46 minute.
  • 47' What a strike from Johan Manzambi! The score is 1-1.
  • 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 57' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' Sensational shot from Lucas Holer. SC Freiburg is back in the lead.
  • 61' Phil Harres has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lasse Rosenboom on 61 minute.
  • 66' SC Freiburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 69' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 69.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. John Tolkin is replaced by Finn Porath on 71 minute.
  • 76' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Max Rosenfelder is replaced by Lukas Kubler.
  • 79' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lewis Holtby is hanging Armin Gigovic on the field on 79 minute.
  • 84' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 89' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Christian Gunter has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' The whistle greets Ritsu Doan as he departs to be replaced by Nicolas Hofler.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

SC Freiburg Lineups

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Julian Schuster

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Phil Harres 2
Lasse Rosenboom 1
Lucas Holer 1
Johan Manzambi 1
David Kinsombi 1
Janni-Luca Serra 1
Nils Petersen 1
Vincenzo Grifo 1

Head to Head

2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg 2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2018-10-31 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Freiburg 2018-02-28 SC Freiburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2017-10-01 Holstein Kiel 3–2 SC Freiburg

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg L 2025-05-04 FC Augsburg 1–3 Holstein Kiel W 2025-04-26 Holstein Kiel 4–3 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2025-04-19 RB Leipzig 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-04-12 Holstein Kiel 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel D

SC Freiburg Form

2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg W 2025-05-04 SC Freiburg 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-04-26 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SC Freiburg W 2025-04-19 SC Freiburg 3–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-04-12 Borussia Monchengladbach 1–2 SC Freiburg W 2025-04-05 SC Freiburg 1–4 Borussia Dortmund L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.43 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or SC Freiburg 72% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel35% Draw28% SC Freiburg37%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Freiburg
65%
Holstein Kiel or SC Freiburg
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel26% Draw45% SC Freiburg29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.