Saturday , 14 November 2026

Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Holstein Kiel
1 – 2
Full Time
SC Freiburg
Sat 10 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lasse Rosenboom 24' 1–0
1–1 45+2' Johan Manzambi
1–2 58' Lucas Holer
Armin Gigovic 69' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
  • Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel
6 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 16
6 SV Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV 07 Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 12
12 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 9
16 1. FC Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4

Head-to-Head

3
3
5
Holstein Kiel 11 games · Avg 2.9 goals SC Freiburg
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg 2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2018-10-31 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Freiburg 2018-02-28 SC Freiburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2017-10-01 Holstein Kiel 3–2 SC Freiburg

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
04 May FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
26 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–3 W
19 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
SC Freiburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Holstein Kiel A 2–1 W
04 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
26 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
19 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–2 W
12 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W
05 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 1–4 L

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SC Freiburg
Yuito Suzuki 5 G
Igor Matanovic 4 G 1 A
Maximilian Eggestein 3 G
Derry Scherhant 2 G 3 A
Yannik Engelhardt 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Holstein Kiel and SC Freiburg has kicked off!
  • 5' Holstein Kiel are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Holstein Kiel side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 24' Lasse Rosenboom has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 24 minutes.
  • 29' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 34' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Freiburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 39' Holstein Kiel are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
  • 44' Holstein Kiel currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' It is a substitution in SC Freiburg team. Johan Manzambi is replaced by Lucas Holer on 46 minute.
  • 47' Goal! Johan Manzambi scores his 11 goal in 500 matches.
  • 52' SC Freiburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 57' Armin Gigovic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 58' The deadlock is broken! Lucas Holer gets on the scoresheet on 58 minutes.
  • 61' The whistle greets Lasse Rosenboom as he departs to be replaced by Phil Harres.
  • 66' It looks surprising SC Freiburg does not make any changes. Nicolas Hofler has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 69' Controversy at the stadium! Armin Gigovic argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 71' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. John Tolkin departs to be replaced by Finn Porath.
  • 76' Lukas Kubler is replacing Max Rosenfelder for the SC Freiburg side.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Lewis Holtby. He replaces Armin Gigovic on 79 minute.
  • 84' Supporters expect more eagerness from David Zec, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 89' SC Freiburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Nicolas Hofler. He replaces Ritsu Doan on 90 minute.
  • 1-2 the final result. Holstein Kiel will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

SC Freiburg Lineups

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Julian Schuster

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Phil Harres 2
Lucas Holer 1
Johan Manzambi 1
David Kinsombi 1
Janni-Luca Serra 1
Nils Petersen 1
Vincenzo Grifo 1
Christian Gunter 1

Head to Head

2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg 2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2018-10-31 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Freiburg 2018-02-28 SC Freiburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2017-10-01 Holstein Kiel 3–2 SC Freiburg

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg L 2025-05-04 FC Augsburg 1–3 Holstein Kiel W 2025-04-26 Holstein Kiel 4–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach W 2025-04-19 RB Leipzig 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-04-12 Holstein Kiel 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel D

SC Freiburg Form

2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg W 2025-05-04 SC Freiburg 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-04-26 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SC Freiburg W 2025-04-19 SC Freiburg 3–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-04-12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 SC Freiburg W 2025-04-05 SC Freiburg 1–4 Borussia Dortmund L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.43 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or SC Freiburg 72% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel35% Draw28% SC Freiburg37%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Freiburg
65%
Holstein Kiel or SC Freiburg
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel26% Draw45% SC Freiburg29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.