Sunday , 16 August 2026

Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Holstein Kiel
1 – 2
Full Time
SC Freiburg
Sat 10 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lasse Rosenboom 24' 1–0
1–1 45+2' Johan Manzambi
1–2 58' Lucas Holer
Armin Gigovic 69' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
  • Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
3 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26
4 FC Schalke 04 0 0
5 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
6 SV 07 Elversberg 0 0
7 FC Bayern München 0 0
8 Borussia Dortmund 0 0
9 RB Leipzig 0 0
10 VfB Stuttgart 0 0
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 0
13 SC Freiburg 0 0
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
15 FC Augsburg 0 0
16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 0
17 1. FC Union Berlin 0 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
19 Hamburger SV 0 0
20 1. FC Köln 0 0
21 SV Werder Bremen 0 0

Head-to-Head

3
3
5
Holstein Kiel 11 games · Avg 2.9 goals SC Freiburg
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg 2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2018-10-31 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Freiburg 2018-02-28 SC Freiburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2017-10-01 Holstein Kiel 3–2 SC Freiburg

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
04 May FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
26 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–3 W
19 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
SC Freiburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Holstein Kiel A 2–1 W
04 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
26 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
19 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–2 W
12 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W
05 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 1–4 L

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Holstein-Stadion!
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-1-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 24' Lasse Rosenboom makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Holstein Kiel are in front.
  • 29' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Timo Becker has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 34' A quiet spell here at Holstein-Stadion. SC Freiburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. Holstein Kiel must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 44' The travelling SC Freiburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' Lucas Holer is replacing Johan Manzambi for the SC Freiburg side.
  • 47' What a moment for Johan Manzambi! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 52' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 57' France international Kiliann Sildillia has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 58' Lucas Holer adds to his 0 season tally! SC Freiburg lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 61' Lasse Rosenboom makes way for Phil Harres at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
  • 66' Patrick Osterhage, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 69' Poor challenge from Armin Gigovic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 71' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. John Tolkin has done his job and it is now time for Finn Porath to step up.
  • 76' The whistle greets Max Rosenfelder as he departs to be replaced by Lukas Kubler.
  • 79' Lewis Holtby has so much to prove this time. He replaces Armin Gigovic on 79 minute.
  • 84' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 89' It’s high time Julian Schuster made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 90' SC Freiburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicolas Hofler is hanging Ritsu Doan on the field on 90 minute.
  • The points are shared — Holstein Kiel 1-2 SC Freiburg. Honours even.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

SC Freiburg Lineups

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Julian Schuster

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Phil Harres 2
Nils Petersen 1
Vincenzo Grifo 1
Christian Gunter 1
Lasse Rosenboom 1
Lucas Holer 1
Johan Manzambi 1
David Kinsombi 1

Head to Head

2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg 2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2018-10-31 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Freiburg 2018-02-28 SC Freiburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2017-10-01 Holstein Kiel 3–2 SC Freiburg

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg L 2025-05-04 FC Augsburg 1–3 Holstein Kiel W 2025-04-26 Holstein Kiel 4–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach W 2025-04-19 RB Leipzig 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-04-12 Holstein Kiel 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel D

SC Freiburg Form

2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg W 2025-05-04 SC Freiburg 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-04-26 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SC Freiburg W 2025-04-19 SC Freiburg 3–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-04-12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 SC Freiburg W 2025-04-05 SC Freiburg 1–4 Borussia Dortmund L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.43 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or SC Freiburg 72% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel35% Draw28% SC Freiburg37%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Freiburg
65%
Holstein Kiel or SC Freiburg
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel26% Draw45% SC Freiburg29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.