RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Brych
- Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 05 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Apr | VfB Stuttgart | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–2 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. RB Leipzig kicks off things out of here…
- 5' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Thomas Dahne has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Germany international Jann-Fiete Arp has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from David Zec, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 29' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 29.
- 34' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 41' Controversy at the stadium! Lukas Klostermann argues furiously but the card stands.
- 44' Against the run of play, Shuto Machino has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 46' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Kosta Nedeljkovic by Lutsharel Geertruida on 46 minute.
- 51' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 56' Alexander Bernhardsson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
- 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Rapp might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 66' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. David Zec departs to be replaced by Carl Johansson.
- 67' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Peter Gulacsi is replaced by Maarten Vandevoordt.
- 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 74' A stunning finish from Benjamin Sesko — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 79' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Lasse Rosenboom exits the field as Finn Porath enters on 79.
- 84' Marko Ivezic is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Jann-Fiete Arp. He replaces Alexander Bernhardsson on 87 minute.
- 90' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Jann-Fiete Arp will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' Lois Openda makes way for Yussuf Poulsen at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
- It finishes all square. RB Leipzig and Holstein Kiel share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-2-2-2Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Yussuf Poulsen 90'
-
17
Ridle Baku ↓ Tidiam Gomis 90'
- 14
- 1
- 16
- 13
- 23
- 5
- 30
- 18
- 21
Bench
-
3
Lutsharel Geertruida ↑ 46'
-
9
Yussuf Poulsen ↑ 90'
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 46'
-
26
Maarten Vandevoordt ↑ 67'
-
27
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 90'
- 47
- 48
- 45
Coach
Zsolt Low
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 7
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Phil Harres 79'
- 17
- 47
- 21
- 37
- 22
-
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↓ Finn Porath 79'
- 6
- 11
-
26
David Zec ↓ Carl Johansson 66'
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 87'
- 15
- 1
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↑ 66'
-
8
Finn Porath ↑ 79'
- 9
- 14
-
5
Carl Johansson ↑ 66'
-
19
Phil Harres ↑ 79'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Benjamin Sesko | 2 |
| Shuto Machino | 1 |
| Andre Silva | 1 |
RB Leipzig Form
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
78%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
49%
RB Leipzig or Holstein Kiel
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

