Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
RB Leipzig
1 – 1
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 45,940 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Shuto Machino
Benjamin Sesko pen 74' 1–1
Y 29' Lasse Rosenboom
Lukas Klostermann 41' Y
Y 90' Jann-Fiete Arp

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
1
RB Leipzig 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-19 RB Leipzig 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-12-07 Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
11 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
29 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–1 L
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L
16 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for RB Leipzig to score. At the same time, Holstein Kiel does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Phil Harres has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' It’s high time Zsolt Low made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Arthur Vermeeren, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marko Ivezic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 29' Lasse Rosenboom is having his name booked by the referee on 29.
  • 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 41' RB Leipzig receives a card for a hard tackle on 41.
  • 44' What a strike from Shuto Machino! The score is 0-1.
  • 46' Lutsharel Geertruida is replacing Kosta Nedeljkovic for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 51' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alexander Bernhardsson made 277 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' Timo Becker has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 66' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 66 minute. David Zec leaves to be changed by Carl Johansson.
  • 67' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 67 minute. Peter Gulacsi leaves to be changed by Maarten Vandevoordt.
  • 72' Nicolai Remberg needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 74' What a strike from Benjamin Sesko! The score is 1-1.
  • 79' Finn Porath has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lasse Rosenboom on 79 minute.
  • 84' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 87' Jann-Fiete Arp is replacing Alexander Bernhardsson for the Holstein Kiel side.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Jann-Fiete Arp.
  • 90' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Lois Openda departs to be replaced by Yussuf Poulsen.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Zsolt Low

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig51% Draw27% Holstein Kiel22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
78%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
49%
RB Leipzig or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig34% Draw49% Holstein Kiel17%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.