Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
RB Leipzig
1 – 1
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 45,940 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Shuto Machino
Benjamin Sesko pen 74' 1–1
Y 29' Lasse Rosenboom
Lukas Klostermann 41' Y
Y 90' Jann-Fiete Arp

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
RB Leipzig 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-19 RB Leipzig 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-12-07 Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
11 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
29 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L
16 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Red Bull Arena as RB Leipzig face off against Holstein Kiel in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Timo Becker has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Austria international Christoph Baumgartner has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 29' Lasse Rosenboom has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 29.
  • 34' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Holstein Kiel backline.
  • 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 41' The referee has no hesitation. Lukas Klostermann is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 41.
  • 44' What a strike from Shuto Machino! The score is 0-1.
  • 46' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 46 minute. Kosta Nedeljkovic leaves to be changed by Lutsharel Geertruida.
  • 51' David Zec needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 61' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. David Zec is replaced by Carl Johansson.
  • 67' Maarten Vandevoordt has so much to prove this time. He replaces Peter Gulacsi on 67 minute.
  • 72' Arthur Vermeeren has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 74' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Benjamin Sesko makes it 1-1.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Finn Porath comes on to replace Lasse Rosenboom.
  • 84' RB Leipzig currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 87' Alexander Bernhardsson makes way for Jann-Fiete Arp at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Holstein Kiel player. Jann-Fiete Arp gets a card.
  • 90' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Lois Openda has done his job and it is now time for Yussuf Poulsen to step up.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Zsolt Low

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig51% Draw27% Holstein Kiel22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
78%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
49%
RB Leipzig or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig34% Draw49% Holstein Kiel17%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.