Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
RB Leipzig
1 – 1
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 45,940 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 44' Shuto Machino
Benjamin Sesko pen 74' 1–1
Y 29' Lasse Rosenboom
Lukas Klostermann 41' Y
Y 90' Jann-Fiete Arp

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
3 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26
4 FC Schalke 04 0 0
5 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
6 SV 07 Elversberg 0 0
7 FC Bayern München 0 0
8 Borussia Dortmund 0 0
9 RB Leipzig 0 0
10 VfB Stuttgart 0 0
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 0
13 SC Freiburg 0 0
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
15 FC Augsburg 0 0
16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 0
17 1. FC Union Berlin 0 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
19 Hamburger SV 0 0
20 1. FC Köln 0 0
21 SV Werder Bremen 0 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
RB Leipzig 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-19 RB Leipzig 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2024-12-07 Holstein Kiel 0–2 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
11 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 3–2 W
05 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
02 Apr VfB Stuttgart A 1–3 L
29 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L
16 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–3 L
08 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Red Bull Arena as RB Leipzig face off against Holstein Kiel in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Jann-Fiete Arp has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' RB Leipzig have won 719 goals from 513 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' Magnus Knudsen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 2 appearances.
  • 29' Lasse Rosenboom has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 29.
  • 34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 39' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 41' It’s gonna be a card for Lukas Klostermann.
  • 44' GOAL! Shuto Machino fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 46' Lutsharel Geertruida gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Kosta Nedeljkovic and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and Holstein Kiel are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 61' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 66' Carl Johansson is ready to make an impact after coming on for David Zec at the 66 minute mark.
  • 67' A tactical swap from RB Leipzig — Maarten Vandevoordt on, Peter Gulacsi off on 67 minutes.
  • 72' Phil Harres is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
  • 74' The Slovenia Benjamin Sesko breaks the deadlock on 74 minutes. 1-1!
  • 79' Lasse Rosenboom makes way for Finn Porath at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
  • 84' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Alexander Bernhardsson is replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Jann-Fiete Arp.
  • 90' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Lois Openda is replaced by Yussuf Poulsen.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Zsolt Low

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig51% Draw27% Holstein Kiel22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
78%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
49%
RB Leipzig or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig34% Draw49% Holstein Kiel17%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.