Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.
- Borussia Dortmund 4 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Harm Osmers
- Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
- Assistant 2 Guido Kleve
5 games this season
🟨 3.4/game
⚽ 10.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Holstein Kiel | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 4–2 | W |
| 03 May | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Apr | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Apr | FC Barcelona | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | SC Freiburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | FC Augsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 4–3 | W |
| 19 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
75%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
| Sehrou Guirassy | 2 G | 2 A |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 2 G | |
| Fabio Silva | 2 G | |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Holstein Kiel gets underway.
- 3' Sehrou Guirassy doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 8' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 9' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
- 14' Holstein Kiel fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 19' It looks surprising Borussia Dortmund does not make any changes. Niklas Sule has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 24' Borussia Dortmund are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against Holstein Kiel's 3-4-1-2 shape.
- 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 34' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 39' Phil Harres needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 44' Holstein Kiel are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Lewis Holtby exits the field as Magnus Knudsen enters on 46.
- 47' Assisted by Julian Brandt with the perfectly-timed delivery and Marcel Sabitzer makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 52' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 52 minutes.
- 56' Controversy at the stadium! Karim Adeyemi argues furiously but the card stands.
- 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 66' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Magnus Knudsen suffering a number of foals already.
- 69' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Finn Porath is hanging Shuto Machino on the field on 69 minute.
- 71' A tactical swap from Borussia Dortmund — Carney Chukwuemeka on, Karim Adeyemi off on 71 minutes.
- 73' What composure from Felix Kalu Nmecha! The Germany international strokes it home. 3-0.
- 78' Phil Harres is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alexander Bernhardsson at the 78 minute mark.
- 79' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Niklas Sule has done his job and it is now time for Emre Can to step up.
- 84' The 24-year-old Karim Adeyemi has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 4 assists is a remarkable return.
- 85' Julian Brandt makes way for Jamie Bynoe-Gittens at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Borussia Dortmund.
- 87' A moment of madness from Jamie Bynoe-Gittens on 87 minutes earns him a card. Borussia Dortmund will be frustrated.
- 87' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Timo Becker by Marko Ivezic on 87 minute.
- 90' The referee shows Borussia Dortmund player a card on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
-
25
Niklas Sule ↓ Emre Can 79'
- 10
- 3
- 1
- 20
- 9
- 26
-
8
Felix Kalu Nmecha ↓ Gio Reyna 79'
- 27
- 24
Bench
- 33
- 6
-
23
Emre Can ↑ 79'
-
7
Gio Reyna ↑ 79'
- 2
-
17
Carney Chukwuemeka ↑ 71'
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↑ 85'
-
16
Julien Duranville ↑ 85'
Coach
Niko Kovać
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Magnus Knudsen 46'
- 7
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Finn Porath 69'
-
17
Timo Becker ↓ Marko Ivezic 87'
- 47
- 21
- 22
- 5
- 23
- 11
- 26
Bench
- 20
- 15
- 1
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↑ 46'
-
8
Finn Porath ↑ 69'
- 9
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 46'
-
19
Phil Harres ↑ 78'
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 87'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gio Reyna | 4 |
| Jude Bellingham | 2 |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 1 |
| Thorgan Hazard | 1 |
| Jamie Bynoe-Gittens | 1 |
| Jann-Fiete Arp | 1 |
| Shuto Machino | 1 |
| Phil Harres | 1 |
Head to Head
Borussia Dortmund Form
2025-05-17
Borussia Dortmund
3–0
Holstein Kiel
W
2025-05-11
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–4
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-05-03
Borussia Dortmund
4–0
VfL Wolfsburg
W
2025-04-26
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-04-20
Borussia Dortmund
3–2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
W
2025-04-15
Borussia Dortmund
3–1
FC Barcelona
W
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.14
Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 61% + Borussia Dortmund to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Borussia Dortmund or Draw
83%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
39%
Borussia Dortmund or Holstein Kiel
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund
| Handicap | Borussia Dortmund covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 22% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.