Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 17 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Sehrou Guirassy pen 3' 1–0
Marcel Sabitzer 47' 2–0
Felix Kalu Nmecha 73' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein KielBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Guido Kleve
5 games this season 🟨 0.2/game 3.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Holstein Kiel H 3–0 W
11 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 4–2 W
03 May VfL Wolfsburg H 4–0 W
26 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
20 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–2 W
15 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Borussia Dortmund A 0–3 L
10 May SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
04 May FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
26 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–3 W
19 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel is underway.
  • 3' Sehrou Guirassy is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
  • 8' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 9' A moment of madness from Carl Johansson on 9 minutes earns him a card. Holstein Kiel will be frustrated.
  • 14' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Borussia Dortmund that had 521 games and scored 798 goals.
  • 19' Julian Ryerson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
  • 24' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 29' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 34' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alexander Bernhardsson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Holstein Kiel.
  • 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Max Geschwill suffering a number of foals already.
  • 44' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' The whistle greets Lewis Holtby as he departs to be replaced by Magnus Knudsen.
  • 47' Goal! Marcel Sabitzer scores his 50 goal in 513 matches.
  • 52' Borussia Dortmund seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' The referee shows Borussia Dortmund player a card on 56.
  • 61' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 66' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 66 minutes.
  • 69' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Shuto Machino exits the field as Finn Porath enters on 69.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Borussia Dortmund. Karim Adeyemi is replaced by Carney Chukwuemeka.
  • 73' GOAL! Felix Kalu Nmecha fires home to make it 3-0!
  • 78' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Alexander Bernhardsson has done his job and it is now time for Phil Harres to step up.
  • 79' Another change for Borussia Dortmund made on 79 minute. Niklas Sule leaves to be changed by Emre Can.
  • 84' Magnus Knudsen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Borussia Dortmund. Julian Brandt is replaced by Jamie Bynoe-Gittens.
  • 87' Borussia Dortmund receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
  • 87' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 87 minute. Timo Becker leaves to be changed by Marko Ivezic.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Marcel Sabitzer.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Holstein Kiel.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.14 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Borussia Dortmund to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund61% Draw22% Holstein Kiel17%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
83%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
39%
Borussia Dortmund or Holstein Kiel
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund44% Draw41% Holstein Kiel15%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 22% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
35%
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.