Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.
- Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Harm Osmers
- Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
- Assistant 2 Guido Kleve
19 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 5.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Holstein Kiel | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 4–2 | W |
| 03 May | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 3–2 | W |
| 20 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Apr | FC Barcelona | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | SC Freiburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | FC Augsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 4–3 | W |
| 19 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel has kicked off!
- 3' Sehrou Guirassy puts Borussia Dortmund on the lead.
- 8' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 9' The referee calls foul for Carl Johansson. He receives a card.
- 14' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 19' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 24' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Holstein Kiel that had 277 games and scored 170 goals.
- 29' It’s high time Marcel Rapp made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 39' Borussia Dortmund seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 44' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 46' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Lewis Holtby by Magnus Knudsen on 46 minute.
- 47' GOAL! Marcel Sabitzer scores on 47. Assisted by Julian Brandt
- 52' Supporters expect more eagerness from Julian Brandt, as he is very good at scoring at Signal Iduna Park with 21 goals in the last 19 games.
- 56' The referee shows Borussia Dortmund player a card on 56.
- 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 66' Holstein Kiel is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 69' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Finn Porath is hanging Shuto Machino on the field on 69 minute.
- 71' The whistle greets Karim Adeyemi as he departs to be replaced by Carney Chukwuemeka.
- 73' What a strike from Felix Kalu Nmecha! The score is 3-0.
- 78' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Alexander Bernhardsson is replaced by Phil Harres.
- 79' Another change for Borussia Dortmund made on 79 minute. Niklas Sule leaves to be changed by Emre Can.
- 84' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Lewis Holtby has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 85' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Julian Brandt departs to be replaced by Jamie Bynoe-Gittens.
- 87' It’s gonna be a card for Jamie Bynoe-Gittens.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Marko Ivezic. He replaces Timo Becker on 87 minute.
- 90' Marcel Sabitzer is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Full Time. Borussia Dortmund beats Holstein Kiel
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
-
25
Niklas Sule ↓ Emre Can 79'
- 10
- 3
- 1
- 20
- 9
- 26
-
8
Felix Kalu Nmecha ↓ Gio Reyna 79'
- 27
- 24
Bench
- 33
- 6
-
23
Emre Can ↑ 79'
-
7
Gio Reyna ↑ 79'
- 2
-
17
Carney Chukwuemeka ↑ 71'
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↑ 85'
-
16
Julien Duranville ↑ 85'
Coach
Niko Kovać
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
10
Lewis Holtby ↓ Magnus Knudsen 46'
- 7
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Finn Porath 69'
-
17
Timo Becker ↓ Marko Ivezic 87'
- 47
- 21
- 22
- 5
- 23
- 11
- 26
Bench
- 20
- 15
- 1
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↑ 46'
-
8
Finn Porath ↑ 69'
- 9
-
14
Max Geschwill ↑ 46'
-
19
Phil Harres ↑ 78'
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 87'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gio Reyna | 4 |
| Jude Bellingham | 2 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 1 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 1 |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 1 |
| Marco Reus | 1 |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 1 |
| Thorgan Hazard | 1 |
Head to Head
Borussia Dortmund Form
2025-05-17
Borussia Dortmund
3–0
Holstein Kiel
W
2025-05-11
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–4
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-05-03
Borussia Dortmund
4–0
VfL Wolfsburg
W
2025-04-26
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-04-20
Borussia Dortmund
3–2
Borussia Monchengladbach
W
2025-04-15
Borussia Dortmund
3–1
FC Barcelona
W
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.14
Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 61% + Borussia Dortmund to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Borussia Dortmund or Draw
83%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
39%
Borussia Dortmund or Holstein Kiel
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund
| Handicap | Borussia Dortmund covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 22% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.