Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 2 May 2025 · 16:30 UTC Veltins-Arena 62,094 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 40' Raphael Obermair
0–2 48' Marvin Mehlem

Overview

Match Preview

FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Veltins-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Schroder
  • Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
  • Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel
13 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May SC Paderborn 07 H 0–2 L
27 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 1–2 L
19 Apr Hamburger SV H 2–2 D
13 Apr SSV Jahn Regensburg A 0–2 L
06 Apr SSV Ulm 1846 H 2–1 W
30 Mar SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May FC Schalke 04 A 2–0 W
26 Apr SV 07 Elversberg H 1–1 D
19 Apr 1. FC Nurnberg A 3–2 W
13 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 1–2 L
04 Apr Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–3 L
29 Mar 1. FC Koln H 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC Schalke 04 SC Paderborn 07
#1 Position #3
70 Points 62
34 Played 34
21 / 7 / 6 W / D / L 18 / 8 / 8
50 Scored 59
31 Conceded 45
+19 GD +14
2.06 PPG 1.82
62% Win % 53%

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
FC Schalke 04 this season
26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

FC Schalke 04 are 1st (70 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Schalke 04
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. FC Schalke 04 host SC Paderborn 07 — let the battle begin!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tjark Scheller made 273 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Janik Bachmann is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Paderborn 07.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marvin Mehlem, as he is very good at scoring at Veltins-Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 20' Taylan Bulut has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 22' Anton Donkor picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 27' FC Schalke 04 currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 32' FC Schalke 04 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' Raphael Obermair has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 40 minutes.
  • 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lukas Kwasniok will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' Tobias Mohr is replacing Amin Younes for the FC Schalke 04 side.
  • 48' The deadlock is broken! Marvin Mehlem gets on the scoresheet on 48 minutes.
  • 53' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 58' It looks surprising SC Paderborn 07 does not make any changes. Anton Donkor has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 59' It’s a booking for FC Schalke 04 player. Paul Seguin gets a card.
  • 62' Pape Ba gets the nod from FC Schalke 04. He replaces Emil Hojlund and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' Felix Gotze needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 71' Max Gruger is replacing Paul Seguin for the FC Schalke 04 side.
  • 72' A change in the SC Paderborn 07 ranks — Sven Michel exits the field as Santiago Castaneda enters on 72.
  • 77' Justin Heekeren is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Paderborn 07 so far.
  • 80' Adriano Grimaldi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marvin Mehlem at the 80 minute mark.
  • 85' SC Paderborn 07 have won 227 goals from 316 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 89' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Ilyas Ansah is withdrawn and Felix Platte gets his opportunity.
  • The points are shared — FC Schalke 04 0-2 SC Paderborn 07. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.52 FC Schalke 04 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: FC Schalke 04 or SC Paderborn 07 73% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Schalke 0435% Draw27% SC Paderborn 0738%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

FC Schalke 04 or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
65%
FC Schalke 04 or SC Paderborn 07
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Schalke 0427% Draw43% SC Paderborn 0730%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Schalke 04

Handicap FC Schalke 04 covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 19% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

FC Schalke 04 keeps clean sheet
21%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.