FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Schalke 04 vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Veltins-Arena.
- FC Schalke 04 34 games · 70 pts (2025/26)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Schroder
- Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
- Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel
13 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | Hamburger SV | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | SSV Ulm 1846 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Mar | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May | FC Schalke 04 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Nurnberg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Schalke 04 | SC Paderborn 07 | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #3 |
| 70 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 21 / 7 / 6 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 50 | Scored | 59 |
| 31 | Conceded | 45 |
| +19 | GD | +14 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 62% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
88%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
FC Schalke 04 this season
FC Schalke 04 this season
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
FC Schalke 04 are 1st (70 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Schalke 04
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. FC Schalke 04 host SC Paderborn 07 — let the battle begin!
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tjark Scheller made 273 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Janik Bachmann is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Paderborn 07.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marvin Mehlem, as he is very good at scoring at Veltins-Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 20' Taylan Bulut has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 22' Anton Donkor picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 27' FC Schalke 04 currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 32' FC Schalke 04 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' Raphael Obermair has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 40 minutes.
- 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lukas Kwasniok will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' Tobias Mohr is replacing Amin Younes for the FC Schalke 04 side.
- 48' The deadlock is broken! Marvin Mehlem gets on the scoresheet on 48 minutes.
- 53' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 58' It looks surprising SC Paderborn 07 does not make any changes. Anton Donkor has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 59' It’s a booking for FC Schalke 04 player. Paul Seguin gets a card.
- 62' Pape Ba gets the nod from FC Schalke 04. He replaces Emil Hojlund and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' Felix Gotze needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 71' Max Gruger is replacing Paul Seguin for the FC Schalke 04 side.
- 72' A change in the SC Paderborn 07 ranks — Sven Michel exits the field as Santiago Castaneda enters on 72.
- 77' Justin Heekeren is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Paderborn 07 so far.
- 80' Adriano Grimaldi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marvin Mehlem at the 80 minute mark.
- 85' SC Paderborn 07 have won 227 goals from 316 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 89' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Ilyas Ansah is withdrawn and Felix Platte gets his opportunity.
- The points are shared — FC Schalke 04 0-2 SC Paderborn 07. Honours even.
Lineups
FC Schalke 04 Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 26
- 9
-
7
Paul Seguin ↓ Max Gruger 71'
- 35
-
8
Amin Younes ↓ Tobias Mohr 46'
- 14
- 30
- 6
- 28
-
15
Emil Hojlund ↓ Pape Ba 62'
- 31
Bench
- 34
-
29
Tobias Mohr ↑ 46'
-
18
Christopher Antwi-Adjei ↑ 62'
-
10
Pape Ba ↑ 62'
- 23
- 2
-
17
Adrian Gantenbein ↑ 71'
-
37
Max Gruger ↑ 71'
- 39
Coach
Kees van Wonderen
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 6
- 11
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Sebastian Klaas 89'
- 4
- 32
- 22
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Felix Platte 89'
- 25
Bench
-
36
Felix Platte ↑ 89'
- 30
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↑ 80'
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 89'
-
33
Marcel Hoffmeier ↑ 80'
- 19
-
5
Santiago Castaneda ↑ 72'
- 17
- 46
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kenan Karaman | 3 |
| Dejan Ljubicic | 2 |
| Florent Muslija | 2 |
| Amine Harit | 2 |
| Ahmed Kutucu | 2 |
| Klaus Gjasula | 1 |
| David Kinsombi | 1 |
| Sebastian Klaas | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Schalke 04 Form
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2025-05-02
FC Schalke 04
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2025-04-26
SC Paderborn 07
1–1
SV 07 Elversberg
D
2025-04-19
1. FC Nurnberg
2–3
SC Paderborn 07
W
2025-04-13
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
L
2025-04-04
Eintracht Braunschweig
3–2
SC Paderborn 07
L
2025-03-29
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
1. FC Koln
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.52
FC Schalke 04 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
FC Schalke 04 or SC Paderborn 07 73% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
FC Schalke 04 or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
65%
FC Schalke 04 or SC Paderborn 07
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Schalke 04
| Handicap | FC Schalke 04 covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC Schalke 04 keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

