Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 4 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC WWK Arena 28,660 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Shuto Machino pen
Steve Mounie 90' 1–3

Overview

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at WWK Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Arno Blos
5 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 10.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Holstein Kiel H 1–3 L
26 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
20 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–0 D
12 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–1 W
04 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
29 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
26 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–3 W
19 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Augsburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
5/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to WWK Arena that hosts another battle between FC Augsburg and Holstein Kiel.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Augsburg and Holstein Kiel are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' FC Augsburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Holstein Kiel backline.
  • 20' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' GOAL! Shuto Machino scores on 25.
  • 30' FC Augsburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 39' Phil Harres gets the nod from Holstein Kiel. He replaces Shuto Machino and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 40' What a strike from Alexander Bernhardsson! The score is 0-2.
  • 45' Chrislain Matsima has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 427 appearances.
  • 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
  • 51' A stunning finish from Alexander Bernhardsson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 53' Another change for FC Augsburg made on 53 minute. Cedric Zesiger leaves to be changed by Phillip Tietz.
  • 54' Henri Koudossou is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marius Wolf at the 54 minute mark.
  • 56' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Alexander Bernhardsson is replaced by Magnus Knudsen.
  • 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 63' Arne Maier is replacing Mert Komur for the FC Augsburg side.
  • 68' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Augsburg in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Holstein Kiel's compact 3-4-1-2.
  • 73' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 74' The crowd applauds Steven Skrzybski as he leaves the pitch. Jann-Fiete Arp steps in for Holstein Kiel.
  • 79' A tactical swap from FC Augsburg — Elvis Rexhbecaj on, Frank Onyeka off on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 85' Jann-Fiete Arp catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
  • 90' What a moment for Steve Mounie! That strike on 90 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolai Remberg.
  • It finishes all square. FC Augsburg and Holstein Kiel share the spoils 1-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 FC Augsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or Draw 73% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Augsburg27% Draw28% Holstein Kiel45%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FC Augsburg or Draw
55%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
73%
FC Augsburg or Holstein Kiel
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Augsburg19% Draw45% Holstein Kiel36%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — FC Augsburg

Handicap FC Augsburg covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.