Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 4 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC WWK Arena 28,660 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Shuto Machino pen
Steve Mounie 90' 1–3

Overview

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at WWK Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Arno Blos
10 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Holstein Kiel H 1–3 L
26 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
20 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–0 D
12 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–1 W
04 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
29 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
26 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–3 W
19 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Augsburg
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/3
46-60
5/2
61-75
3/4
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to WWK Arena that hosts another battle between FC Augsburg and Holstein Kiel.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Rapp might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Augsburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' A goal from the Japan international Shuto Machino! He fires home on 25 to make it 0-1!
  • 30' FC Augsburg is showing some good football. However, FC Augsburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 39' The supporters are chanting for Phil Harres. He replaces Shuto Machino on 39 minute.
  • 40' Alexander Bernhardsson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
  • 45' Thomas Dahne has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
  • 51' Magnificent from Alexander Bernhardsson! That is 15 goals in 287 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 53' Phillip Tietz is replacing Cedric Zesiger for the FC Augsburg side.
  • 54' Time for substitution for FC Augsburg. Marius Wolf is replaced by Henri Koudossou.
  • 56' Holstein Kiel make a change. Alexander Bernhardsson trudges off to be replaced by Magnus Knudsen on 56 minutes.
  • 61' With 0 assists to his name this season, Elvis Rexhbecaj is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Augsburg.
  • 63' The FC Augsburg bench stirs into life. Mert Komur is withdrawn and Arne Maier gets his opportunity.
  • 68' Jann-Fiete Arp has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 276 appearances.
  • 73' Timo Becker has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 74' The Holstein Kiel bench stirs into life. Steven Skrzybski is withdrawn and Jann-Fiete Arp gets his opportunity.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Elvis Rexhbecaj. He replaces Frank Onyeka on 79 minute.
  • 84' It’s high time Jess Thorup made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 85' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Steve Mounie has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Nicolai Remberg picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 FC Augsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or Draw 73% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Augsburg27% Draw28% Holstein Kiel45%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FC Augsburg or Draw
55%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
73%
FC Augsburg or Holstein Kiel
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Augsburg19% Draw45% Holstein Kiel36%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — FC Augsburg

Handicap FC Augsburg covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.