Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
FC Augsburg
1 – 3
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sun 4 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC WWK Arena 28,660 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Shuto Machino pen
0–2 40' Alexander Bernhardsson
0–3 51' Alexander Bernhardsson
Steve Mounie 90' 1–3
Y 85' Jann-Fiete Arp
Y 90' Nicolai Remberg

Overview

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at WWK Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
  • Assistant 2 Arno Blos
19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
2
FC Augsburg 3 games · Avg 3.7 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-04 FC Augsburg 1–3 Holstein Kiel 2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel 5–1 FC Augsburg 2019-02-06 Holstein Kiel 0–1 FC Augsburg

Recent Form

FC Augsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May Holstein Kiel H 1–3 L
26 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–2 L
20 Apr Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–0 D
12 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–1 W
04 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
29 Mar TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–1 D
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 May FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
26 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach H 4–3 W
19 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–1 D
12 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
05 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
29 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–3 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Augsburg
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at WWK Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Marvin Schulz has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lasse Rosenboom made 277 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' FC Augsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Kristijan Jakic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' GOAL! Shuto Machino scores on 25.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dimitris Giannoulis, as he is very good at scoring at WWK Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Holstein Kiel is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 39' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Shuto Machino is replaced by Phil Harres on 39 minute.
  • 40' Goal! Alexander Bernhardsson scores his 11 goal in 277 matches.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Augsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 50' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Magnus Knudsen suffering a number of foals already.
  • 51' Goal! Alexander Bernhardsson scores his 11 goal in 277 matches.
  • 53' FC Augsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Phillip Tietz is hanging Cedric Zesiger on the field on 53 minute.
  • 54' It is a substitution in FC Augsburg team. Marius Wolf is replaced by Henri Koudossou on 54 minute.
  • 56' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 56 minute. Alexander Bernhardsson leaves to be changed by Magnus Knudsen.
  • 61' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 63' It is a substitution in FC Augsburg team. Mert Komur is replaced by Arne Maier on 63 minute.
  • 68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 73' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 74' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Steven Skrzybski is replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp.
  • 79' Time for substitution for FC Augsburg. Frank Onyeka is replaced by Elvis Rexhbecaj.
  • 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 85' Jann-Fiete Arp was booked on 85.
  • 90' Goal! Steve Mounie scores his 45 goal in 369 matches.
  • 90' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-3.

Lineups

FC Augsburg Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jess Thorup

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Shuto Machino 3
Phil Harres 2
Alexander Bernhardsson 2
Alexis Claude Maurice 1
Lasse Rosenboom 1
Steve Mounie 1
Michael Gregoritsch 1

Head to Head

2025-05-04 FC Augsburg 1–3 Holstein Kiel 2024-12-21 Holstein Kiel 5–1 FC Augsburg 2019-02-06 Holstein Kiel 0–1 FC Augsburg

FC Augsburg Form

2025-05-04 FC Augsburg 1–3 Holstein Kiel L 2025-04-26 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 FC Augsburg L 2025-04-20 FC Augsburg 0–0 Eintracht Frankfurt D 2025-04-12 VfL Bochum 1848 1–2 FC Augsburg W 2025-04-04 FC Augsburg 1–3 FC Bayern München L 2025-03-29 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 FC Augsburg D

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-05-04 FC Augsburg 1–3 Holstein Kiel W 2025-04-26 Holstein Kiel 4–3 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2025-04-19 RB Leipzig 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-04-12 Holstein Kiel 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-03-29 Holstein Kiel 0–3 SV Werder Bremen L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 FC Augsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.69 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or Draw 73% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Augsburg27% Draw28% Holstein Kiel45%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FC Augsburg or Draw
55%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
73%
FC Augsburg or Holstein Kiel
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Augsburg19% Draw45% Holstein Kiel36%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — FC Augsburg

Handicap FC Augsburg covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 22% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.