SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 11 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Patrick Alt
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Energie Cottbus | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb | Holstein Kiel | H | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Feb | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Feb | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 4–3 | W |
| 27 Jan | VfL Osnabrück | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jan | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Dec | FC Hansa Rostock | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Jan | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Dec | Hannover 96 | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Holstein Kiel
| Phil Harres | 5 G | 3 A |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Guillermo Balzi | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! SC Paderborn 07 welcome Holstein Kiel for this crunch clash at Home Deluxe Arena.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 15' David Kinsombi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 16' GOAL! Finn Porath fires home to make it 0-1!
- 21' Raphael Obermair is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
- 26' Pelle Boevink has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 31' SC Paderborn 07 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 33' Steven Skrzybski doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 38' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 39' Laurin Curda was booked on 39.
- 44' Adriano Grimaldi, a Germany , has 6 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' Maximilian Rohr is replacing Jannis Heuer for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
- 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Paderborn 07 and Holstein Kiel are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 52' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marvin Schulz makes it 0-3.
- 54' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Adriano Grimaldi.
- 57' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Finn Porath has done his job and it is now time for Marko Ivezic to step up.
- 62' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Rapp might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 63' Koen Kostons makes way for Sirlord Conteh at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Paderborn 07.
- 64' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Sebastian Klaas comes on to replace Ilyas Ansah.
- 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Paderborn 07 and Holstein Kiel are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 75' The referee has no hesitation. Marvin Schulz is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 75.
- 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lewis Holtby on 78 minutes.
- 79' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Tom Rothe exits the field as Marco Komenda enters on 79.
- 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Joshua Mees. He replaces Steven Skrzybski on 89 minute.
- 90' Martin Ens has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- SC Paderborn 07 will have plenty to reflect on. Holstein Kiel were simply the better side today.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 1
- 39
- 23
- 7
- 33
-
24
Jannis Heuer ↓ Maximilian Rohr 46'
- 17
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Sebastian Klaas 64'
- 43
-
10
Koen Kostons ↓ Sirlord Conteh 63'
Bench
-
13
Robert Leipertz ↑ 63'
- 27
- 16
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 64'
-
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 63'
-
31
Maximilian Rohr ↑ 46'
- 35
-
32
Aaron Zehnter ↑ 63'
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↓ Joshua Mees 89'
- 4
-
13
Shuto Machino ↓ Niklas Niehoff 89'
- 15
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Marko Ivezic 57'
-
17
Timo Becker ↓ Lasse Rosenboom 89'
- 22
-
18
Tom Rothe ↓ Marco Komenda 79'
- 34
Bench
-
27
Joshua Mees ↑ 89'
- 31
- 2
- 32
-
3
Marco Komenda ↑ 79'
- 21
-
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↑ 89'
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 57'
-
29
Niklas Niehoff ↑ 89'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Skrzybski | 2 |
| Niklas Niehoff | 1 |
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Robert Leipertz | 1 |
| Marvin Schulz | 1 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2024-02-17
SC Paderborn 07
0–4
Holstein Kiel
L
2024-02-10
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2024-02-04
SC Paderborn 07
4–3
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
2024-01-27
VfL Osnabrück
0–0
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-01-21
SC Paderborn 07
0–1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
L
2023-12-15
SC Paderborn 07
3–0
FC Hansa Rostock
W
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or Holstein Kiel 73% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
59%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
68%
SC Paderborn 07 or Holstein Kiel
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–4 not predicted0 – 4Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 21% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

