Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
SC Paderborn 07
0 – 4
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sat 17 Feb 2024 · 12:00 UTC Home Deluxe Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Laurin Curda 39' Y
Adriano Grimaldi 54' Y
Y 75' Marvin Schulz
Y 78' Lewis Holtby
Martin Ens 90' R
Filip Bilbija 90' Y
Y 90' Nicolai Remberg

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Alt

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Hertha BSC 6 18
2 1. FC Nürnberg 6 16
3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 6 13
4 VfL Wolfsburg 6 11
5 1. FC Kaiserslautern 6 11
6 1. FC Magdeburg 6 10
7 FC Energie Cottbus 6 8
8 FC St. Pauli 1910 6 7
9 VfL Bochum 1848 6 7
10 Hannover 96 6 7
11 VfL Osnabrück 6 7
12 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 6 6
13 Arminia Bielefeld 6 5
14 Karlsruher SC 6 5
15 Eintracht Braunschweig 6 4
16 Holstein Kiel 6 4
17 SG Dynamo Dresden 6 4
18 SV Darmstadt 98 6 4

Head-to-Head

3
2
5
SC Paderborn 07 10 games · Avg 2.8 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2024-02-17 SC Paderborn 07 0–4 Holstein Kiel 2023-09-02 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Paderborn 07 2018-04-18 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2017-12-03 SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Holstein Kiel 2016-04-24 SC Paderborn 07 2–2 Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Holstein Kiel H 0–4 L
10 Feb 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 2–1 W
04 Feb TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 4–3 W
27 Jan VfL Osnabrück A 0–0 D
21 Jan SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 0–1 L
15 Dec FC Hansa Rostock H 3–0 W
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb SC Paderborn 07 A 4–0 W
11 Feb FC Schalke 04 H 1–0 W
02 Feb 1. FC Magdeburg A 1–1 D
28 Jan SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 1–2 L
19 Jan Eintracht Braunschweig H 1–2 L
16 Dec Hannover 96 H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
Phil Harres 4 G 2 A
Guillermo Balzi 1 G
Jonas Therkelsen 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. SC Paderborn 07 host Holstein Kiel — let the battle begin!
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Home Deluxe Arena. Holstein Kiel seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The 27-year-old Marcel Hoffmeier has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ilyas Ansah made 318 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 16' GOAL! Finn Porath fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 21' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Paderborn 07 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 33' Magnificent from Steven Skrzybski! That is 20 goals in 408 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 39' The referee has no hesitation. Laurin Curda is booked for SC Paderborn 07 — card on 39.
  • 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Koen Kostons suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' Maximilian Rohr gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Jannis Heuer and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 52' Against the run of play, Marvin Schulz has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 54' It’s gonna be a card for Adriano Grimaldi.
  • 57' The supporters are chanting for Marko Ivezic. He replaces Finn Porath on 57 minute.
  • 62' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 63' Sirlord Conteh is replacing Koen Kostons for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
  • 64' SC Paderborn 07 ring the changes. Ilyas Ansah has done his job and it is now time for Sebastian Klaas to step up.
  • 69' With 0 assists to his name this season, Niklas Niehoff is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Paderborn 07.
  • 74' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 75' That looks like a foul for a card for Marvin Schulz.
  • 78' That is a card for Holstein Kiel. Lewis Holtby will be fuming at that decision.
  • 79' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Tom Rothe departs to be replaced by Marco Komenda.
  • 84' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 89' The Holstein Kiel manager makes a substitution. Steven Skrzybski departs to be replaced by Joshua Mees.
  • 90' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 0-4 the final result. SC Paderborn 07 will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Lukas Kwasniok

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Steven Skrzybski 2
Marvin Schulz 1
Finn Porath 1
Niklas Niehoff 1
Tom Rothe 1
Robert Leipertz 1

Head to Head

2024-02-17 SC Paderborn 07 0–4 Holstein Kiel 2023-09-02 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Paderborn 07 2018-04-18 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2017-12-03 SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Holstein Kiel 2016-04-24 SC Paderborn 07 2–2 Holstein Kiel

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2024-02-17 SC Paderborn 07 0–4 Holstein Kiel L 2024-02-10 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 W 2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf W 2024-01-27 VfL Osnabrück 0–0 SC Paderborn 07 D 2024-01-21 SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 L 2023-12-15 SC Paderborn 07 3–0 FC Hansa Rostock W

Holstein Kiel Form

2024-02-17 SC Paderborn 07 0–4 Holstein Kiel W 2024-02-11 Holstein Kiel 1–0 FC Schalke 04 W 2024-02-02 1. FC Magdeburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2024-01-28 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 2–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-01-19 Holstein Kiel 1–2 Eintracht Braunschweig L 2023-12-16 Holstein Kiel 3–0 Hannover 96 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: SC Paderborn 07 or Holstein Kiel 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0732% Draw27% Holstein Kiel41%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
59%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
68%
SC Paderborn 07 or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0723% Draw45% Holstein Kiel32%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 21% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.