Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 17 Feb 2024 · 12:00 UTC Home Deluxe Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Alt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Holstein Kiel H 0–4 L
10 Feb 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 2–1 W
04 Feb TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 4–3 W
27 Jan VfL Osnabrück A 0–0 D
21 Jan SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 0–1 L
15 Dec FC Hansa Rostock H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb SC Paderborn 07 A 4–0 W
11 Feb FC Schalke 04 H 1–0 W
02 Feb 1. FC Magdeburg A 1–1 D
28 Jan SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 1–2 L
19 Jan Eintracht Braunschweig H 1–2 L
16 Dec Hannover 96 H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
Phil Harres 5 G 3 A
Jonas Therkelsen 2 G 1 A
Guillermo Balzi 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! SC Paderborn 07 welcome Holstein Kiel for this crunch clash at Home Deluxe Arena.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 15' David Kinsombi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 16' GOAL! Finn Porath fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 21' Raphael Obermair is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Holstein Kiel tonight.
  • 26' Pelle Boevink has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 31' SC Paderborn 07 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 33' Steven Skrzybski doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 38' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 39' Laurin Curda was booked on 39.
  • 44' Adriano Grimaldi, a Germany , has 6 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 46' Maximilian Rohr is replacing Jannis Heuer for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
  • 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Paderborn 07 and Holstein Kiel are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 52' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marvin Schulz makes it 0-3.
  • 54' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Adriano Grimaldi.
  • 57' Holstein Kiel ring the changes. Finn Porath has done his job and it is now time for Marko Ivezic to step up.
  • 62' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Rapp might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 63' Koen Kostons makes way for Sirlord Conteh at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Paderborn 07.
  • 64' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Sebastian Klaas comes on to replace Ilyas Ansah.
  • 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Paderborn 07 and Holstein Kiel are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 75' The referee has no hesitation. Marvin Schulz is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 75.
  • 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lewis Holtby on 78 minutes.
  • 79' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Tom Rothe exits the field as Marco Komenda enters on 79.
  • 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Joshua Mees. He replaces Steven Skrzybski on 89 minute.
  • 90' Martin Ens has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • SC Paderborn 07 will have plenty to reflect on. Holstein Kiel were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: SC Paderborn 07 or Holstein Kiel 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0732% Draw27% Holstein Kiel41%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
59%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
68%
SC Paderborn 07 or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0723% Draw45% Holstein Kiel32%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 21% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.