SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- Holstein Kiel 34 games · 41 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Patrick Alt
12 games this season
🟨 1.7/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb | Holstein Kiel | H | 0–4 | L |
| 10 Feb | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Feb | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | H | 4–3 | W |
| 27 Jan | VfL Osnabruck | A | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jan | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Dec | FC Hansa Rostock | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | FC Schalke 04 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Jan | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Dec | Hannover 96 | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| SC Paderborn 07 | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 62 | Points | 41 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 8 / 15 |
| 59 | Scored | 44 |
| 45 | Conceded | 48 |
| +14 | GD | -4 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.21 |
| 53% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season
Holstein Kiel this season
SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). Holstein Kiel are 12th (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Holstein Kiel
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Holstein Kiel kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Filip Bilbija needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Paderborn 07 and Holstein Kiel are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 16' Magnificent from Finn Porath! That is 8 goals in 277 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 21' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 26' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
- 33' A stunning finish from Steven Skrzybski — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 38' Marco Komenda, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 39' The referee calls foul for Laurin Curda. He receives a card.
- 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Paderborn 07 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' Maximilian Rohr is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jannis Heuer at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' SC Paderborn 07 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 52' A goal from the Germany international Marvin Schulz! He fires home on 52 to make it 0-3!
- 54' It’s gonna be a card for Adriano Grimaldi.
- 57' Fresh legs for Holstein Kiel! Marko Ivezic comes on to replace Finn Porath.
- 62' SC Paderborn 07 are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Holstein Kiel's shape.
- 63' The crowd applauds Koen Kostons as he leaves the pitch. Sirlord Conteh steps in for SC Paderborn 07.
- 64' Time for substitution for SC Paderborn 07. Ilyas Ansah is replaced by Sebastian Klaas.
- 69' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marvin Schulz on 75.
- 78' Poor challenge from Lewis Holtby. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 79' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Tom Rothe exits the field as Marco Komenda enters on 79.
- 84' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Paderborn 07 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 89' Steven Skrzybski makes way for Joshua Mees at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Holstein Kiel.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Martin Ens.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for SC Paderborn 07 and Holstein Kiel (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 1
- 39
- 23
- 7
- 33
-
24
Jannis Heuer ↓ Maximilian Rohr 46'
- 17
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Sebastian Klaas 64'
- 43
-
10
Koen Kostons ↓ Sirlord Conteh 63'
Bench
-
13
Robert Leipertz ↑ 63'
- 27
- 16
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 64'
-
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 63'
-
31
Maximilian Rohr ↑ 46'
- 35
-
32
Aaron Zehnter ↑ 63'
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
Holstein Kiel Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↓ Joshua Mees 89'
- 4
-
13
Shuto Machino ↓ Niklas Niehoff 89'
- 15
- 1
-
8
Finn Porath ↓ Marko Ivezic 57'
-
17
Timo Becker ↓ Lasse Rosenboom 89'
- 22
-
18
Tom Rothe ↓ Marco Komenda 79'
- 34
Bench
-
27
Joshua Mees ↑ 89'
- 31
- 2
- 32
-
3
Marco Komenda ↑ 79'
- 21
-
23
Lasse Rosenboom ↑ 89'
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 57'
-
29
Niklas Niehoff ↑ 89'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Steven Skrzybski | 2 |
| Marvin Schulz | 1 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
| Niklas Niehoff | 1 |
| Tom Rothe | 1 |
| Robert Leipertz | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2024-02-17
SC Paderborn 07
0–4
Holstein Kiel
L
2024-02-10
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2024-02-04
SC Paderborn 07
4–3
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
W
2024-01-27
VfL Osnabruck
0–0
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-01-21
SC Paderborn 07
0–1
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
L
2023-12-15
SC Paderborn 07
3–0
FC Hansa Rostock
W
Holstein Kiel Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.59
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or Holstein Kiel 74% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Holstein Kiel win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
63%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
64%
SC Paderborn 07 or Holstein Kiel
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Holstein Kiel win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–4 not predicted0 – 4Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 2
5.3%
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

