Sunday , 16 August 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
SC Paderborn 07
0 – 4
Full Time
Holstein Kiel
Sat 17 Feb 2024 · 12:00 UTC Home Deluxe Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Laurin Curda 39' Y
Adriano Grimaldi 54' Y
Y 75' Marvin Schulz
Y 78' Lewis Holtby
Martin Ens 90' R
Filip Bilbija 90' Y
Y 90' Nicolai Remberg

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs Holstein Kiel — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Alt

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 1. FC Nürnberg 2 6
2 Hertha BSC 2 6
3 Karlsruher SC 2 4
4 Eintracht Braunschweig 2 3
5 FC Energie Cottbus 1 3
6 VfL Bochum 1848 2 3
7 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2 3
8 1. FC Magdeburg 2 3
9 Holstein Kiel 2 2
10 FC St. Pauli 1910 2 2
11 1. FC Kaiserslautern 2 2
12 SV Darmstadt 98 1 1
13 VfL Wolfsburg 1 1
14 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 2 1
15 Arminia Bielefeld 1 0
16 Hannover 96 1 0
17 SG Dynamo Dresden 1 0
18 VfL Osnabruck 2 0

Head-to-Head

3
2
5
SC Paderborn 07 10 games · Avg 2.8 goals Holstein Kiel
Last 5 meetings
2024-02-17 SC Paderborn 07 0–4 Holstein Kiel 2023-09-02 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Paderborn 07 2018-04-18 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2017-12-03 SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Holstein Kiel 2016-04-24 SC Paderborn 07 2–2 Holstein Kiel

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Holstein Kiel H 0–4 L
10 Feb 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 2–1 W
04 Feb TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 4–3 W
27 Jan VfL Osnabruck A 0–0 D
21 Jan SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 0–1 L
15 Dec FC Hansa Rostock H 3–0 W
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb SC Paderborn 07 A 4–0 W
11 Feb FC Schalke 04 H 1–0 W
02 Feb 1. FC Magdeburg A 1–1 D
28 Jan SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 1–2 L
19 Jan Eintracht Braunschweig H 1–2 L
16 Dec Hannover 96 H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Holstein Kiel this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Holstein Kiel
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Home Deluxe Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 316 games and scored 227 goals.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Martin Ens suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 16' Finn Porath adds to his 0 season tally! Holstein Kiel lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 21' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 31' Holstein Kiel are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 33' Against the run of play, Steven Skrzybski has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 39' Laurin Curda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcel Hoffmeier, as he is very good at scoring at Home Deluxe Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' It is a substitution in SC Paderborn 07 team. Jannis Heuer is replaced by Maximilian Rohr on 46 minute.
  • 51' Holstein Kiel have won 170 goals from 277 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 52' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Marvin Schulz makes no mistake. 0-3!
  • 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Adriano Grimaldi on 54 minutes.
  • 57' Marko Ivezic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Finn Porath at the 57 minute mark.
  • 62' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 63' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 63 minute. Koen Kostons leaves to be changed by Sirlord Conteh.
  • 64' Time for substitution for SC Paderborn 07. Ilyas Ansah is replaced by Sebastian Klaas.
  • 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 74' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Paderborn 07 and Holstein Kiel are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 75' That looks like a foul for a card for Marvin Schulz.
  • 78' Lewis Holtby picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 79' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Tom Rothe by Marco Komenda on 79 minute.
  • 84' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 89' The Holstein Kiel bench stirs into life. Steven Skrzybski is withdrawn and Joshua Mees gets his opportunity.
  • 90' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • With this win, Holstein Kiel is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Lukas Kwasniok

Holstein Kiel Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Steven Skrzybski 2
Niklas Niehoff 1
Tom Rothe 1
Robert Leipertz 1
Marvin Schulz 1
Finn Porath 1

Head to Head

2024-02-17 SC Paderborn 07 0–4 Holstein Kiel 2023-09-02 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Paderborn 07 2018-04-18 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2017-12-03 SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Holstein Kiel 2016-04-24 SC Paderborn 07 2–2 Holstein Kiel

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2024-02-17 SC Paderborn 07 0–4 Holstein Kiel L 2024-02-10 1. FC Kaiserslautern 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 W 2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf W 2024-01-27 VfL Osnabruck 0–0 SC Paderborn 07 D 2024-01-21 SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 L 2023-12-15 SC Paderborn 07 3–0 FC Hansa Rostock W

Holstein Kiel Form

2024-02-17 SC Paderborn 07 0–4 Holstein Kiel W 2024-02-11 Holstein Kiel 1–0 FC Schalke 04 W 2024-02-02 1. FC Magdeburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2024-01-28 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 2–1 Holstein Kiel L 2024-01-19 Holstein Kiel 1–2 Eintracht Braunschweig L 2023-12-16 Holstein Kiel 3–0 Hannover 96 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for: SC Paderborn 07 or Holstein Kiel 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0732% Draw27% Holstein Kiel41%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
59%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
68%
SC Paderborn 07 or Holstein Kiel
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0723% Draw45% Holstein Kiel32%
Actual: Holstein Kiel win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push Holstein Kiel covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 21% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.