Friday , 23 October 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2026-27
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 75,242 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yan Diomande 62' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera
  • Assistant 1 Diego Santaursula Aguado (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ruben Campo Hernandez (Spain)
4 games this season 🟨 6.5/game ⚽ 14.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Oct Villarreal CF H 1–0 W
20 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–2 L
15 Sep Elche CF A 3–2 W
12 Sep Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 4–1 W
08 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 2–1 W
04 Sep Real Betis Balompie A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Oct Real Madrid CF A 0–1 L
20 Sep Levante UD H 3–1 W
17 Sep Malaga CF A 3–1 W
14 Sep Real Betis Balompie H 1–2 L
08 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L
05 Sep RC Deportivo La Coruna H 2–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Villarreal CF
#3 Position #14
21 Points 9
9 Played 9
7 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 4
23 Scored 13
9 Conceded 13
+14 GD +0
2.33 PPG 1.00
78% Win % 22%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
11% Clean Sheets
Villarreal CF this season

Real Madrid CF are 3rd (21 pts). Villarreal CF are 14th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/1
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Villarreal CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 9 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 3 A
Arda Guler 2 G 2 A
Yan Diomande 2 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Villarreal CF
Pape Gueye 3 G
Alberto Moleiro 2 G 3 A
Georges Mikautadze 2 G 1 A
Nicolas Pepe 2 G
Gerard Moreno 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu as Real Madrid CF face off against Villarreal CF in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Villarreal CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 10.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 19' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jude Bellingham on 19 minutes.
  • 24' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 29' Gerard Moreno has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 34' Federico Valverde has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 39' Villarreal CF is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 44' Real Madrid CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 46' The whistle greets Alvaro Carreras as he departs to be replaced by Cucurella.
  • 51' A quiet spell here at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. Real Madrid CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 52' Vinicius Junior gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Trent Alexander-Arnold and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 56' Villarreal CF ring the changes. Santi Comesana has done his job and it is now time for Nathan-Dylan Saliba to step up.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Inigo Perez will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 62' Yan Diomande is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 67' The whistle greets Ilias Akhomach as he departs to be replaced by Gerard Moreno.
  • 68' The referee calls foul for Jose Mourinho. He receives a card.
  • 71' Vinicius Junior does the damage! The net is bulging and Real Madrid CF surge ahead!
  • 72' Vinicius Junior picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Vinicius Junior on 73 minutes.
  • 77' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Arda Guler by Eduardo Camavinga on 77 minute.
  • 81' Ibrahima Konate catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 81.
  • 83' Antonio Rudiger has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 83.
  • 84' That looks like a foul for a card for Pau Navarro.
  • 86' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Yan Diomande departs to be replaced by Denzel Dumfries.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Aurelien Tchouameni on 87 minutes.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Kylian Mbappe.
  • 1-0 the final result. Villarreal CF will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.36 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF69% Draw19% Villarreal CF12%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
88%
Draw or Villarreal CF
31%
Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF50% Draw39% Villarreal CF11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
7.2%
0 – 0
5.5%
4 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 21% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 22% 30%
-0.5 70% — 30%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.