Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 24 Jan 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 16.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Real Madrid CF H 0–2 L
20 Jan AFC Ajax H 1–2 L
17 Jan Real Betis Balompié A 0–2 L
10 Jan Deportivo Alavés H 3–1 W
03 Jan Elche CF A 3–1 W
21 Dec FC Barcelona H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Villarreal CF A 2–0 W
20 Jan AS Monaco FC H 6–1 W
17 Jan Levante UD H 2–0 W
04 Jan Real Betis Balompié H 5–1 W
20 Dec Sevilla FC H 2–0 W
14 Dec Deportivo Alavés A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Villarreal CF Real Madrid CF
#11 Position #4
8 Points 15
7 Played 7
2 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 2
13 Scored 18
12 Conceded 8
+1 GD +10
1.14 PPG 2.14
29% Win % 71%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Villarreal CF this season
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Villarreal CF are 11th (8 pts). Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Villarreal CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Villarreal CF
Pape Gueye 3 G
Alberto Moleiro 2 G 3 A
Georges Mikautadze 2 G 1 A
Nicolas Pepe 2 G
Gerard Moreno 2 G
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
  • Real Madrid CF celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Villarreal CF Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.24 Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.52 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF19% Draw21% Real Madrid CF60%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.76
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Villarreal CF or Draw
40%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
81%
Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Villarreal CF16% Draw37% Real Madrid CF47%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 1
8.1%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
7.4%
0 – 3
6.1%
0 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 4
4.7%
2 – 3
4.6%
2 – 1
4.5%
0 – 4
3.8%
0 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF

Handicap Villarreal CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 10% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 36% — 64%
+1 36% 21% 43%
+1.5 57% — 43%
+2 57% 19% 25%
+2.5 75% — 25%

Clean Sheet

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
30% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.