Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
- Villarreal CF 38 games · 72 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Guadalupe Porras Ayuso (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Alejandro Estevez Iglesias (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Villarreal CF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Oct | Lille OSC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | Club Atletico de Madrid | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Sep | Deportivo Alaves | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Sep | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | H | 4–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | VfB Stuttgart | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct | Real Madrid CF | A | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Sep | UD Las Palmas | H | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Sep | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Sep | FC Barcelona | H | 1–5 | L |
| 14 Sep | RCD Mallorca | A | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Valencia CF | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Villarreal CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #3 |
| 86 | Points | 72 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 27 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 22 / 6 / 10 |
| 77 | Scored | 72 |
| 35 | Conceded | 46 |
| +42 | GD | +26 |
| 2.26 | PPG | 1.89 |
| 71% | Win % | 58% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Real Madrid CF welcome Villarreal CF for this crunch clash at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- 5' Villarreal CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Villarreal CF backline.
- 14' Against the run of play, Federico Valverde has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 19' With 0 assists to his name this season, Sergi Cardona is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
- 24' Luka Modric has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 45 cards already picked up this season.
- 29' Real Madrid CF currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 33' Kiko Femenia has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 33.
- 38' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marcelino will be considering his options from the bench.
- 48' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 53' The 27-year-old Andriy Lunin has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 58' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 63' Alex Baena has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 68' Villarreal CF ring the changes. Raul Albiol has done his job and it is now time for Eric Bailly to step up.
- 71' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Eduardo Camavinga is replaced by Eder Militao.
- 73' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Vinicius Junior makes it 2-0.
- 78' Santi Comesana, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 79' Villarreal CF make a change. Dani Parejo trudges off to be replaced by RamonTerrats Espacio on 79 minutes.
- 84' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Villarreal CF's compact 4-3-3.
- 86' Fresh legs for Villarreal CF! Juan Bernat comes on to replace Sergi Cardona.
- 90' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Lucas Vazquez on, Luka Modric off on 90 minutes.
- Full Time. Real Madrid CF beats Villarreal CF
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Rodrygo 71'
- 23
- 14
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↓ Lucas Vazquez 90'
- 8
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Arda Guler 79'
- 2
- 6
- 5
Bench
-
17
Lucas Vazquez ↑ 90'
- 18
- 19
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 71'
-
11
Rodrygo ↑ 71'
-
15
Arda Guler ↑ 79'
- 16
- 34
- 20
- 26
- 31
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
Villarreal CF Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
19
Nicolas Pepe ↓ Ilias Akhomach 68'
- 18
- 10
- 2
- 13
-
23
Sergi Cardona ↓ Juan Bernat 86'
- 15
- 14
-
16
Alex Baena ↓ Yeremy 68'
- 17
-
3
Raul Albiol ↓ Eric Bailly 68'
Bench
-
4
Eric Bailly ↑ 68'
-
12
Juan Bernat ↑ 86'
-
20
RamonTerrats Espacio ↑ 79'
-
11
Ilias Akhomach ↑ 68'
- 1
-
21
Yeremy ↑ 68'
- 26
- 33
Coach
Marcelino
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 7 |
| Alexander Sorloth | 4 |
| Gerard Moreno | 4 |
| Mariano Diaz | 3 |
| Yeremi Pino | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Santi Cazorla | 2 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.24
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
78%
Draw or Villarreal CF
44%
Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Villarreal CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 17% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 21% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

