Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 73,842 HT 45' · FT 45'
Federico Valverde 14' 1–0
Vinicius Junior 73' 2–0
Y 33' Kiko Femenia

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CFLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Guadalupe Porras Ayuso (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Alejandro Estevez Iglesias (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
02 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
29 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–1 D
24 Sep Deportivo Alaves H 3–2 W
21 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 4–1 W
17 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Real Madrid CF A 0–2 L
30 Sep UD Las Palmas H 3–1 W
26 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 2–1 W
22 Sep FC Barcelona H 1–5 L
14 Sep RCD Mallorca A 2–1 W
31 Aug Valencia CF A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Villarreal CF
#2 Position #3
86 Points 72
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 22 / 6 / 10
77 Scored 72
35 Conceded 46
+42 GD +26
2.26 PPG 1.89
71% Win % 58%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Real Madrid CF welcome Villarreal CF for this crunch clash at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
  • 5' Villarreal CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Villarreal CF backline.
  • 14' Against the run of play, Federico Valverde has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 19' With 0 assists to his name this season, Sergi Cardona is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
  • 24' Luka Modric has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 45 cards already picked up this season.
  • 29' Real Madrid CF currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 33' Kiko Femenia has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 33.
  • 38' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 43' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marcelino will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 48' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 53' The 27-year-old Andriy Lunin has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 58' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 63' Alex Baena has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 68' Villarreal CF ring the changes. Raul Albiol has done his job and it is now time for Eric Bailly to step up.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Eduardo Camavinga is replaced by Eder Militao.
  • 73' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Vinicius Junior makes it 2-0.
  • 78' Santi Comesana, a Spain , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 79' Villarreal CF make a change. Dani Parejo trudges off to be replaced by RamonTerrats Espacio on 79 minutes.
  • 84' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Villarreal CF's compact 4-3-3.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Villarreal CF! Juan Bernat comes on to replace Sergi Cardona.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CFLucas Vazquez on, Luka Modric off on 90 minutes.
  • Full Time. Real Madrid CF beats Villarreal CF

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.24 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF56% Draw22% Villarreal CF22%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
78%
Draw or Villarreal CF
44%
Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF42% Draw39% Villarreal CF19%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 17% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 21% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
27%
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.