Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 73,842 HT 45' · FT 45'
Federico Valverde 14' 1–0
Vinicius Junior 73' 2–0
Y 33' Kiko Femenia

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Guadalupe Porras Ayuso (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Alejandro Estevez Iglesias (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
02 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
29 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–1 D
24 Sep Deportivo Alavés H 3–2 W
21 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 4–1 W
17 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Real Madrid CF A 0–2 L
30 Sep UD Las Palmas H 3–1 W
26 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 2–1 W
22 Sep FC Barcelona H 1–5 L
14 Sep RCD Mallorca A 2–1 W
31 Aug Valencia CF A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Villarreal CF
#4 Position #11
15 Points 8
7 Played 7
5 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
18 Scored 13
8 Conceded 12
+10 GD +1
2.14 PPG 1.14
71% Win % 29%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
0% Clean Sheets
Villarreal CF this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts). Villarreal CF are 11th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Villarreal CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A
Villarreal CF
Pape Gueye 3 G
Alberto Moleiro 2 G 3 A
Georges Mikautadze 2 G 1 A
Nicolas Pepe 2 G
Gerard Moreno 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu!
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Villarreal CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 14' Goal! Federico Valverde scores his 29 goal in 549 matches.
  • 19' Raul Albiol needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 24' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Villarreal CF's compact 4-3-3.
  • 29' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 33' Kiko Femenia picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 38' Spain international Kiko Femenia has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 43' It’s high time Carlo Ancelotti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 48' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 53' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcelino might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 58' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 63' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Villarreal CF's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 68' The Villarreal CF bench stirs into life. Raul Albiol is withdrawn and Eric Bailly gets his opportunity.
  • 71' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Eduardo Camavinga by Eder Militao on 71 minute.
  • 73' GOAL! Vinicius Junior fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 78' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Villarreal CF — RamonTerrats Espacio on, Dani Parejo off on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Eduardo Camavinga has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 86' Juan Bernat gets the nod from Villarreal CF. He replaces Sergi Cardona and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Real Madrid CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lucas Vazquez is hanging Luka Modric on the field on 90 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.86 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF62% Draw19% Villarreal CF19%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 4.24
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
82%
Draw or Villarreal CF
38%
Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF50% Draw34% Villarreal CF16%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
3 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.4%
4 – 1
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 0
3.9%
1 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3.9%
4 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 29% — 71%
-2 29% 19% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 19% 34%
-0.5 66% — 34%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 9% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
26% ✗
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.