Sunday , 16 August 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 73,842 HT 45' · FT 45'
Federico Valverde 14' 1–0
Vinicius Junior 73' 2–0
Y 33' Kiko Femenia

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CFLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Guadalupe Porras Ayuso (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Alejandro Estevez Iglesias (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
02 Oct Lille OSC A 0–1 L
29 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–1 D
24 Sep Deportivo Alavés H 3–2 W
21 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 4–1 W
17 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Real Madrid CF A 0–2 L
30 Sep UD Las Palmas H 3–1 W
26 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 2–1 W
22 Sep FC Barcelona H 1–5 L
14 Sep RCD Mallorca A 2–1 W
31 Aug Valencia CF A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Villarreal CF
#10 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts). Villarreal CF are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marcelino will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 14' Federico Valverde has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 14 minutes.
  • 19' Morocco international Ilias Akhomach has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 24' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 33' Controversy at the stadium! Kiko Femenia argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 43' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 48' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Thierno Barry has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 53' Villarreal CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 58' Kiko Femenia has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 407 appearances.
  • 63' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 68' Eric Bailly has so much to prove this time. He replaces Raul Albiol on 68 minute.
  • 71' Eder Militao is replacing Eduardo Camavinga for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 73' What composure from Vinicius Junior! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 78' The home supporters are growing impatient. Real Madrid CF must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 79' Villarreal CF make a change. Dani Parejo trudges off to be replaced by RamonTerrats Espacio on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 86' Another substitution for Villarreal CF to replace Sergi Cardona by Juan Bernat on 86 minute.
  • 90' Luka Modric makes way for Lucas Vazquez at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
  • Villarreal CF will have plenty to reflect on. Real Madrid CF were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF48% Draw31% Villarreal CF21%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.9
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
79%
Draw or Villarreal CF
52%
Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF30% Draw55% Villarreal CF15%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.3%
1 – 0
16.4%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 2
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 25% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
49%
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.