Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primera Division · 2025-26

Real Madrid CF

3 – 1

Full Time

Villarreal CF

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF — La Liga .

Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
Villarreal CF 38 games · 72 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	38	94
2	Real Madrid CF	38	86
3	Villarreal CF	38	72
4	Club Atletico de Madrid	38	69
5	Real Betis Balompie	38	60
6	RC Celta de Vigo	38	54
7	Getafe CF	38	51
8	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	38	50
9	Valencia CF	38	49
10	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	38	46
11	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	38	46
12	Athletic Club	38	45
13	Elche CF	38	43
14	Deportivo Alaves	38	43
15	Sevilla FC	38	43
16	CA Osasuna	38	42
17	RCD Mallorca	38	42
18	Levante UD	38	42
19	Girona FC	38	41
20	Real Oviedo	38	29

Head-to-Head

Real Madrid CF 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals Villarreal CF

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Villarreal CF 2025-03-15 Villarreal CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2024-10-05 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Villarreal CF 2024-05-19 Villarreal CF 4–4 Real Madrid CF 2023-12-17 Real Madrid CF 4–1 Villarreal CF

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Villarreal CF	H	3–1	W
30 Sep	FK Kairat	A	5–0	W
27 Sep	Club Atletico de Madrid	A	2–5	L
23 Sep	Levante UD	A	4–1	W
20 Sep	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	H	2–0	W
16 Sep	Olympique de Marseille	H	2–1	W

Villarreal CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Real Madrid CF	A	1–3	L
01 Oct	Juventus FC	H	2–2	D
27 Sep	Athletic Club	H	1–0	W
23 Sep	Sevilla FC	A	2–1	W
20 Sep	CA Osasuna	H	2–1	W
16 Sep	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF		Villarreal CF
#2	Position	#3
86	Points	72
38	Played	38
27 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	22 / 6 / 10
77	Scored	72
35	Conceded	46
+42	GD	+26
2.26	PPG	1.89
71%	Win %	58%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Real Madrid CF and Villarreal CF has kicked off!
Full Time. Real Madrid CF beats Villarreal CF

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Villarreal CF Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	7
Alexander Sorloth	4
Gerard Moreno	4
Mariano Diaz	3
Yeremi Pino	2
Arda Guler	2
Vinicius Junior	2
Santi Cazorla	2

Head to Head

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-10-04 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Villarreal CF W 2025-09-30 FK Kairat 0–5 Real Madrid CF W 2025-09-27 Club Atletico de Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid CF L 2025-09-23 Levante UD 1–4 Real Madrid CF W 2025-09-20 Real Madrid CF 2–0 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona W 2025-09-16 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Olympique de Marseille W

Villarreal CF Form

2025-10-04 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Villarreal CF L 2025-10-01 Villarreal CF 2–2 Juventus FC D 2025-09-27 Villarreal CF 1–0 Athletic Club W 2025-09-23 Sevilla FC 1–2 Villarreal CF W 2025-09-20 Villarreal CF 2–1 CA Osasuna W 2025-09-16 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1–0 Villarreal CF L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.36 Real Madrid CF xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.19 Villarreal CF xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF63% Draw20% Villarreal CF17%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw

83%

Draw or Villarreal CF

37%

Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Real Madrid CF46% Draw38% Villarreal CF16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

9.2%

1 – 1

8.9%

2 – 0

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

6.4%

3 – 0

6.1%

2 – 2

5.4%

1 – 2

4.7%

3 – 2

4.3%

4 – 1

4.3%

0 – 0

4.2%

4 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap	Real Madrid CF covers	Push	Villarreal CF covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	18%	59%
-1.5	41%	—	59%
-1	41%	21%	38%
-0.5	62%	—	38%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	10%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.