Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primera Division · 2025-26

Real Madrid CF

3 – 1

Full Time

Villarreal CF

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF — La Liga .

Real Madrid CF 7 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Villarreal CF 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Barcelona	7	21
2	Club Atlético de Madrid	7	16
3	Real Betis Balompié	7	16
4	Real Madrid CF	7	15
5	Sevilla FC	7	13
6	Deportivo Alavés	7	11
7	RC Deportivo La Coruña	7	10
8	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	7	10
9	CA Osasuna	7	8
10	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	7	8
11	Villarreal CF	7	8
12	Athletic Club	6	8
13	Getafe CF	7	8
14	RC Celta de Vigo	7	7
15	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	7	7
16	Real Racing Club de Santander	7	7
17	Levante UD	6	5
18	Elche CF	7	5
19	Valencia CF	7	4
20	Málaga CF	7	3

Head-to-Head

Real Madrid CF 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals Villarreal CF

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Villarreal CF 2025-03-15 Villarreal CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2024-10-05 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Villarreal CF 2024-05-19 Villarreal CF 4–4 Real Madrid CF 2023-12-17 Real Madrid CF 4–1 Villarreal CF

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Villarreal CF	H	3–1	W
30 Sep	FK Kairat	A	5–0	W
27 Sep	Club Atlético de Madrid	A	2–5	L
23 Sep	Levante UD	A	4–1	W
20 Sep	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	H	2–0	W
16 Sep	Olympique de Marseille	H	2–1	W

Villarreal CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Real Madrid CF	A	1–3	L
01 Oct	Juventus FC	H	2–2	D
27 Sep	Athletic Club	H	1–0	W
23 Sep	Sevilla FC	A	2–1	W
20 Sep	CA Osasuna	H	2–1	W
16 Sep	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF		Villarreal CF
#4	Position	#11
15	Points	8
7	Played	7
5 / 0 / 2	W / D / L	2 / 2 / 3
18	Scored	13
8	Conceded	12
+10	GD	+1
2.14	PPG	1.14
71%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

0% Clean Sheets
Villarreal CF this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts). Villarreal CF are 11th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

0-15

2/–

16-30

3/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/3

61-75

1/1

76+

6/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Villarreal CF

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/6

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/–

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF

Kylian Mbappe	7 G	2 A
Jude Bellingham	3 G	2 A
Carlos Espi	2 G
Vinicius Junior	1 G	3 A

Villarreal CF

Pape Gueye	3 G
Alberto Moleiro	2 G	3 A
Georges Mikautadze	2 G	1 A
Nicolas Pepe	2 G
Gerard Moreno	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Real Madrid CF welcome Villarreal CF for this crunch clash at .
Full Time. Real Madrid CF beats Villarreal CF

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Villarreal CF Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	7
Gerard Moreno	4
Alexander Sorloth	4
Mariano Diaz	3
Kylian Mbappe	2
Samuel Chukwueze	2
Gareth Bale	2
Luka Modric	2

Head to Head

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-10-04 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Villarreal CF W 2025-09-30 FK Kairat 0–5 Real Madrid CF W 2025-09-27 Club Atlético de Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid CF L 2025-09-23 Levante UD 1–4 Real Madrid CF W 2025-09-20 Real Madrid CF 2–0 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona W 2025-09-16 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Olympique de Marseille W

Villarreal CF Form

2025-10-04 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Villarreal CF L 2025-10-01 Villarreal CF 2–2 Juventus FC D 2025-09-27 Villarreal CF 1–0 Athletic Club W 2025-09-23 Sevilla FC 1–2 Villarreal CF W 2025-09-20 Villarreal CF 2–1 CA Osasuna W 2025-09-16 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1–0 Villarreal CF L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.98 Real Madrid CF xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 Villarreal CF xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Real Madrid CF to win 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF69% Draw17% Villarreal CF14%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 4.22

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	78%	22%
± 3.5	59%	41%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw

86%

Draw or Villarreal CF

31%

Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF

83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Real Madrid CF54% Draw33% Villarreal CF13%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

6.8%

3 – 0

6.5%

1 – 1

6.2%

4 – 1

5.8%

2 – 2

4.9%

3 – 2

4.8%

4 – 0

4.7%

1 – 0

4.3%

4 – 2

3.6%

5 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap	Real Madrid CF covers	Push	Villarreal CF covers
-2.5	33%	—	67%
-2	33%	19%	48%
-1.5	52%	—	48%
-1	52%	19%	29%
-0.5	71%	—	29%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	8%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	3%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.