Friday , 9 October 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2026-27
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–2 L
15 Sep Elche CF A 3–2 W
12 Sep Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 4–1 W
08 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 2–1 W
04 Sep Real Betis Balompie A 0–1 L
30 Aug Malaga CF H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Levante UD H 3–1 W
17 Sep Malaga CF A 3–1 W
14 Sep Real Betis Balompie H 1–2 L
08 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L
05 Sep RC Deportivo La Coruña H 2–3 L
28 Aug Deportivo Alaves A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Villarreal CF
#4 Position #11
15 Points 8
7 Played 7
5 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
18 Scored 13
8 Conceded 12
+10 GD +1
2.14 PPG 1.14
71% Win % 29%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
0% Clean Sheets
Villarreal CF this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts). Villarreal CF are 11th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Villarreal CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A
Villarreal CF
Pape Gueye 3 G
Alberto Moleiro 2 G 3 A
Georges Mikautadze 2 G 1 A
Nicolas Pepe 2 G
Gerard Moreno 2 G

H2H

Predictions

2.98 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Villarreal CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

Real Madrid CF68% Draw17% Villarreal CF15%

Both Teams to Score

Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 4.32

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 42%
58%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
85%
Draw or Villarreal CF
32%
Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF
83%

Half-Time Result

Real Madrid CF53% Draw33% Villarreal CF14%

Correct Score

2 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
6.1%
1 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.8%
1 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Villarreal CF covers
-2.5 31% — 69%
-2 31% 19% 50%
-1.5 50% — 50%
-1 50% 19% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 8% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
27%
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.