Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.
- Villarreal CF 12 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 12 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season
🟨 6.3/game
⚽ 18.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 12 | 30 |
| 3 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis Balompié | 12 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla FC | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 12 | 15 |
| 9 | Villarreal CF | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 12 | 14 |
| 11 | RC Celta de Vigo | 12 | 13 |
| 12 | Deportivo Alavés | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 11 | 12 |
| 14 | CA Osasuna | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 12 | 12 |
| 16 | Getafe CF | 12 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 12 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche CF | 12 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia CF | 12 | 9 |
| 20 | Málaga CF | 12 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Real Madrid CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Deportivo Alavés | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Valencia CF | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Feb | UD Las Palmas | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Feb | Real Valladolid CF | H | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Villarreal CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Mar | Club Atlético de Madrid | A | 4–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Real Betis Balompié | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | Girona FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Villarreal CF | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 15 | Points | 30 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 4 / 3 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 2 |
| 17 | Scored | 31 |
| 15 | Conceded | 10 |
| +2 | GD | +21 |
| 1.25 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 33% | Win % | 83% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Villarreal CF this season
Villarreal CF this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Villarreal CF are 9th (15 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Villarreal CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Villarreal CF
| Georges Mikautadze | 3 G | 1 A |
| Pape Gueye | 3 G | |
| Alberto Moleiro | 2 G | 4 A |
| Nicolas Pepe | 2 G | 1 A |
| Gerard Moreno | 2 G |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 13 G | 2 A |
| Jude Bellingham | 4 G | 3 A |
| Arda Guler | 3 G | 4 A |
| Yan Diomande | 3 G | 2 A |
| Carlos Espi | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Estadio de la Ceramica. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Villarreal CF and Real Madrid CF.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 8' What a moment for Juan Foyth! That strike on 8 puts his side firmly in control.
- 13' Villarreal CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 13.
- 17' Kylian Mbappe doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 22' Thibaut Courtois, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 23' Kylian Mbappe is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 27 goals this season for the .
- 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 33' The referee calls foul for Aurelien Tchouameni. He receives a card.
- 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 43' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' Fresh legs for Villarreal CF! Thierno Barry comes on to replace Nicolas Pepe.
- 50' Villarreal CF player sees a card in front of him.
- 55' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Villarreal CF and Real Madrid CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 62' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Raul exits the field as Antonio Rudiger enters on 62.
- 64' Villarreal CF make a change. Sergi Cardona trudges off to be replaced by Alfonso Pedraza on 64 minutes.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Luka Modric. He replaces Rodrygo on 65 minute.
- 70' Villarreal CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 75' A moment of madness from Juan Foyth on 75 minutes earns him a card. Villarreal CF will be frustrated.
- 79' Fresh legs for Villarreal CF! Dani Parejo comes on to replace Santi Comesana.
- 82' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Arda Guler comes on to replace Federico Valverde.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Denis Suarez. He replaces Pape Gueye on 84 minute.
- 89' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- Real Madrid CF celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Villarreal CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 8
-
19
Nicolas Pepe ↓ Thierno Barry 46'
-
18
Pape Gueye ↓ Denis Suarez 84'
-
9
Tajon Buchanan ↓ Yeremy 64'
- 2
- 13
-
23
Sergi Cardona ↓ Alfonso Pedraza 64'
-
14
Santi Comesana ↓ Dani Parejo 79'
- 16
- 5
Bench
- 4
-
10
Dani Parejo ↑ 79'
-
6
Denis Suarez ↑ 84'
-
24
Alfonso Pedraza ↑ 64'
- 1
-
21
Yeremy ↑ 64'
-
15
Thierno Barry ↑ 46'
- 3
- 26
Coach
Marcelino
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Vinicius Junior 62'
- 9
- 14
- 17
-
8
Federico Valverde ↓ Arda Guler 82'
- 1
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Luka Modric 65'
- 6
- 5
- 20
-
35
Raul ↓ Antonio Rudiger 62'
Bench
-
22
Antonio Rudiger ↑ 62'
- 4
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 65'
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↑ 62'
-
15
Arda Guler ↑ 82'
- 16
- 26
- 43
- 45
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 7 |
| Alexander Sorloth | 4 |
| Gerard Moreno | 4 |
| Mariano Diaz | 3 |
| Gareth Bale | 2 |
| Luka Modric | 2 |
| Yeremi Pino | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
Head to Head
Villarreal CF Form
Real Madrid CF Form
2025-03-15
Villarreal CF
1–2
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-03-12
Club Atlético de Madrid
3–4
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-03-09
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
2025-03-04
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Club Atlético de Madrid
W
2025-03-01
Real Betis Balompié
2–1
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-02-23
Real Madrid CF
2–0
Girona FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.44
Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.27
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Villarreal CF or Draw
50%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
74%
Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
6.6%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
4.7%
1 – 4
3.7%
0 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF
| Handicap | Villarreal CF covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 13% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 20% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 16% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

