Sunday , 16 August 2026

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 17:30 UTC Estadio de la Ceramica 20,559 HT 45' · FT 45'
Juan Foyth 8' 1–0
1–1 17' Kylian Mbappe
1–2 23' Kylian Mbappe

Overview

Match Preview

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
08 Mar Deportivo Alavés A 0–1 L
22 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–0 W
15 Feb Valencia CF H 1–1 D
08 Feb UD Las Palmas A 2–1 W
01 Feb Real Valladolid CF H 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
12 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid A 4–3 W
09 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
04 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid H 2–1 W
01 Mar Real Betis Balompié A 1–2 L
23 Feb Girona FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Villarreal CF Real Madrid CF
#11 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Villarreal CF are 11th (0 pts). Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Villarreal CF have kicked off against Real Madrid CF. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 8' GOAL! Juan Foyth scores on 8.
  • 13' A quiet spell here at Estadio de la Ceramica. Real Madrid CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 17' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kylian Mbappe makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 22' Logan Costa is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Villarreal CF so far.
  • 23' What a strike from Kylian Mbappe! The score is 1-2.
  • 28' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 33' Aurelien Tchouameni catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 33.
  • 38' It is a cagey affair so far. Villarreal CF in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Real Madrid CF's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' Thierno Barry is replacing Nicolas Pepe for the Villarreal CF side.
  • 50' Villarreal CF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Federico Valverde made 545 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 60' Nicolas Pepe, a Ivory Coast , has 11 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 62' Antonio Rudiger is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raul at the 62 minute mark.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Sergi Cardona as he leaves the pitch. Alfonso Pedraza steps in for Villarreal CF.
  • 65' Luka Modric gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Rodrygo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 75' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Juan Foyth.
  • 79' The Villarreal CF manager makes a substitution. Santi Comesana departs to be replaced by Dani Parejo.
  • 82' Arda Guler is ready to make an impact after coming on for Federico Valverde at the 82 minute mark.
  • 84' Villarreal CF manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Denis Suarez is hanging Pape Gueye on the field on 84 minute.
  • 89' Alex Baena has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.97 Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF30% Draw31% Real Madrid CF39%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Villarreal CF or Draw
61%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
70%
Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Villarreal CF20% Draw52% Real Madrid CF28%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF

Handicap Villarreal CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 22% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
31%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.