Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.
- Villarreal CF 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 7 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
5 games this season
🟨 5.6/game
⚽ 13.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Real Betis Balompié | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid CF | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla FC | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportivo Alavés | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | CA Osasuna | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Villarreal CF | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 6 | 8 |
| 13 | Getafe CF | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | RC Celta de Vigo | 7 | 7 |
| 15 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 7 | 7 |
| 16 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 7 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante UD | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche CF | 7 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia CF | 7 | 4 |
| 20 | Málaga CF | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Real Madrid CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Deportivo Alavés | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Valencia CF | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Feb | UD Las Palmas | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Feb | Real Valladolid CF | H | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Villarreal CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Mar | Club Atlético de Madrid | A | 4–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Real Betis Balompié | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | Girona FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Villarreal CF | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #4 |
| 8 | Points | 15 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 2 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 2 |
| 13 | Scored | 18 |
| 12 | Conceded | 8 |
| +1 | GD | +10 |
| 1.14 | PPG | 2.14 |
| 29% | Win % | 71% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Villarreal CF this season
Villarreal CF this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Villarreal CF are 11th (8 pts). Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Villarreal CF
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Villarreal CF
| Pape Gueye | 3 G | |
| Alberto Moleiro | 2 G | 3 A |
| Georges Mikautadze | 2 G | 1 A |
| Nicolas Pepe | 2 G | |
| Gerard Moreno | 2 G |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 7 G | 2 A |
| Jude Bellingham | 3 G | 2 A |
| Carlos Espi | 2 G | |
| Vinicius Junior | 1 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Villarreal CF gets underway.
- 5' Villarreal CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Madrid CF backline.
- 8' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Juan Foyth makes it 1-0.
- 13' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 17' Kylian Mbappe doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 22' The home supporters are growing impatient. Villarreal CF must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 23' Kylian Mbappe has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 23 minutes.
- 28' It looks like no one’s ball. Villarreal CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 33' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 33.
- 38' Real Madrid CF have won 784 goals from 548 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Willy Kambwala suffering a number of foals already.
- 46' Fresh legs for Villarreal CF! Thierno Barry comes on to replace Nicolas Pepe.
- 50' Controversy at the stadium! Sergi Cardona argues furiously but the card stands.
- 55' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 62' The whistle greets Raul as he departs to be replaced by Antonio Rudiger.
- 64' Time for substitution for Villarreal CF. Sergi Cardona is replaced by Alfonso Pedraza.
- 65' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Rodrygo is withdrawn and Luka Modric gets his opportunity.
- 70' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 75' A meaty challenge results in booking for Juan Foyth on 75.
- 79' The whistle greets Santi Comesana as he departs to be replaced by Dani Parejo.
- 82' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Federico Valverde exits the field as Arda Guler enters on 82.
- 84' Denis Suarez is replacing Pape Gueye for the Villarreal CF side.
- 89' Alex Baena, a Spain midfielder, has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Villarreal CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 8
-
19
Nicolas Pepe ↓ Thierno Barry 46'
-
18
Pape Gueye ↓ Denis Suarez 84'
-
9
Tajon Buchanan ↓ Yeremy 64'
- 2
- 13
-
23
Sergi Cardona ↓ Alfonso Pedraza 64'
-
14
Santi Comesana ↓ Dani Parejo 79'
- 16
- 5
Bench
- 4
-
10
Dani Parejo ↑ 79'
-
6
Denis Suarez ↑ 84'
-
24
Alfonso Pedraza ↑ 64'
- 1
-
21
Yeremy ↑ 64'
-
15
Thierno Barry ↑ 46'
- 3
- 26
Coach
Marcelino
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Vinicius Junior 62'
- 9
- 14
- 17
-
8
Federico Valverde ↓ Arda Guler 82'
- 1
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Luka Modric 65'
- 6
- 5
- 20
-
35
Raul ↓ Antonio Rudiger 62'
Bench
-
22
Antonio Rudiger ↑ 62'
- 4
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 65'
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↑ 62'
-
15
Arda Guler ↑ 82'
- 16
- 26
- 43
- 45
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 7 |
| Alexander Sorloth | 4 |
| Gerard Moreno | 4 |
| Mariano Diaz | 3 |
| Luka Modric | 2 |
| Yeremi Pino | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
Head to Head
Villarreal CF Form
Real Madrid CF Form
2025-03-15
Villarreal CF
1–2
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-03-12
Club Atlético de Madrid
3–4
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-03-09
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
2025-03-04
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Club Atlético de Madrid
W
2025-03-01
Real Betis Balompié
2–1
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-02-23
Real Madrid CF
2–0
Girona FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.78
Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.58
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.36
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
Villarreal CF or Draw
50%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
72%
Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.4%
1 – 4
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 4
3.6%
3 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF
| Handicap | Villarreal CF covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 13% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +1 | 46% | 19% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 16% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

