Thursday , 2 July 2026

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 17:30 UTC Estadio de la Ceramica 20,559 HT 45' · FT 45'
Juan Foyth 8' 1–0
1–1 17' Kylian Mbappe
1–2 23' Kylian Mbappe

Overview

Match Preview

Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
08 Mar Deportivo Alaves A 0–1 L
22 Feb Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–0 W
15 Feb Valencia CF H 1–1 D
08 Feb UD Las Palmas A 2–1 W
01 Feb Real Valladolid CF H 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Villarreal CF A 2–1 W
12 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid A 4–3 W
09 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–1 W
04 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid H 2–1 W
01 Mar Real Betis Balompie A 1–2 L
23 Feb Girona FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Villarreal CF Real Madrid CF
#3 Position #2
72 Points 86
38 Played 38
22 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
72 Scored 77
46 Conceded 35
+26 GD +42
1.89 PPG 2.26
58% Win % 71%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Villarreal CF get us underway at Estadio de la Ceramica.
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 8' What composure from Juan Foyth! The Argentina international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 13' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marcelino will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 17' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kylian Mbappe makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 22' Villarreal CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 23' Kylian Mbappe makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
  • 28' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 33' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a card on 33.
  • 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 43' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' Nicolas Pepe makes way for Thierno Barry at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Villarreal CF.
  • 50' Sergi Cardona catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 50.
  • 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Villarreal CF and Real Madrid CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 60' The 27-year-old Diego Conde has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 62' The crowd applauds Raul as he leaves the pitch. Antonio Rudiger steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 64' Sergi Cardona makes way for Alfonso Pedraza at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Villarreal CF.
  • 65' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Rodrygo is withdrawn and Luka Modric gets his opportunity.
  • 70' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 75' Juan Foyth was booked on 75.
  • 79' Dani Parejo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Santi Comesana on 79 minute.
  • 82' Arda Guler gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Federico Valverde and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Another change for Villarreal CF made on 84 minute. Pape Gueye leaves to be changed by Denis Suarez.
  • 89' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • It finishes all square. Villarreal CF and Real Madrid CF share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72 Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF32% Draw24% Real Madrid CF44%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Villarreal CF or Draw
57%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
68%
Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Villarreal CF26% Draw39% Real Madrid CF35%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.5%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF

Handicap Villarreal CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 16% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 19% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 14% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
14%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.