Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Villarreal CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.
- Villarreal CF 38 games · 72 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 38 games · 86 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
- Assistant 1 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
- Assistant 2 Javier Martinez Nicolas (Spain)
8 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 3.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Barcelona | 38 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid CF | 38 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal CF | 38 | 72 |
| 4 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 38 | 69 |
| 5 | Real Betis Balompie | 38 | 60 |
| 6 | RC Celta de Vigo | 38 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe CF | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 38 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia CF | 38 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Athletic Club | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Elche CF | 38 | 43 |
| 14 | Deportivo Alaves | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | Sevilla FC | 38 | 43 |
| 16 | CA Osasuna | 38 | 42 |
| 17 | RCD Mallorca | 38 | 42 |
| 18 | Levante UD | 38 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona FC | 38 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 29 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Real Madrid CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Deportivo Alaves | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Valencia CF | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Feb | UD Las Palmas | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Feb | Real Valladolid CF | H | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Villarreal CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Mar | Club Atletico de Madrid | A | 4–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Mar | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Real Betis Balompie | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | Girona FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Villarreal CF | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 72 | Points | 86 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 22 / 6 / 10 | W / D / L | 27 / 5 / 6 |
| 72 | Scored | 77 |
| 46 | Conceded | 35 |
| +26 | GD | +42 |
| 1.89 | PPG | 2.26 |
| 58% | Win % | 71% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Villarreal CF are 3rd (72 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Villarreal CF get us underway at Estadio de la Ceramica.
- 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 8' What composure from Juan Foyth! The Argentina international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 13' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marcelino will be considering his options from the bench.
- 17' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Kylian Mbappe makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 22' Villarreal CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 23' Kylian Mbappe makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
- 28' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 33' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a card on 33.
- 38' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 43' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 46' Nicolas Pepe makes way for Thierno Barry at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Villarreal CF.
- 50' Sergi Cardona catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 50.
- 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Villarreal CF and Real Madrid CF are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 60' The 27-year-old Diego Conde has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 62' The crowd applauds Raul as he leaves the pitch. Antonio Rudiger steps in for Real Madrid CF.
- 64' Sergi Cardona makes way for Alfonso Pedraza at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Villarreal CF.
- 65' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Rodrygo is withdrawn and Luka Modric gets his opportunity.
- 70' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 75' Juan Foyth was booked on 75.
- 79' Dani Parejo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Santi Comesana on 79 minute.
- 82' Arda Guler gets the nod from Real Madrid CF. He replaces Federico Valverde and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' Another change for Villarreal CF made on 84 minute. Pape Gueye leaves to be changed by Denis Suarez.
- 89' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- It finishes all square. Villarreal CF and Real Madrid CF share the spoils 1-2.
Lineups
Villarreal CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 22
- 8
-
19
Nicolas Pepe ↓ Thierno Barry 46'
-
18
Pape Gueye ↓ Denis Suarez 84'
-
9
Tajon Buchanan ↓ Yeremy 64'
- 2
- 13
-
23
Sergi Cardona ↓ Alfonso Pedraza 64'
-
14
Santi Comesana ↓ Dani Parejo 79'
- 16
- 5
Bench
- 4
-
10
Dani Parejo ↑ 79'
-
6
Denis Suarez ↑ 84'
-
24
Alfonso Pedraza ↑ 64'
- 1
-
21
Yeremy ↑ 64'
-
15
Thierno Barry ↑ 46'
- 3
- 26
Coach
Marcelino
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Vinicius Junior 62'
- 9
- 14
- 17
-
8
Federico Valverde ↓ Arda Guler 82'
- 1
-
11
Rodrygo ↓ Luka Modric 65'
- 6
- 5
- 20
-
35
Raul ↓ Antonio Rudiger 62'
Bench
-
22
Antonio Rudiger ↑ 62'
- 4
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 65'
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↑ 62'
-
15
Arda Guler ↑ 82'
- 16
- 26
- 43
- 45
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Karim Benzema | 7 |
| Alexander Sorloth | 4 |
| Gerard Moreno | 4 |
| Mariano Diaz | 3 |
| Gareth Bale | 2 |
| Luka Modric | 2 |
| Yeremi Pino | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
Head to Head
Villarreal CF Form
Real Madrid CF Form
2025-03-15
Villarreal CF
1–2
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-03-12
Club Atletico de Madrid
3–4
Real Madrid CF
W
2025-03-09
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
W
2025-03-04
Real Madrid CF
2–1
Club Atletico de Madrid
W
2025-03-01
Real Betis Balompie
2–1
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-02-23
Real Madrid CF
2–0
Girona FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72
Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.07
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF 76% + Over 2.5 goals 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.79
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Villarreal CF or Draw
57%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
68%
Villarreal CF or Real Madrid CF
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.7%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.5%
2 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF
| Handicap | Villarreal CF covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 19% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 14% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

