Tuesday , 27 October 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2026-27
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe pen 14' 1–0
Alvaro Carreras 17' 2–0
Jude Bellingham 35' 3–0
3–1 51' Sergio Camello
Kylian Mbappe 90+1' 4–1
Y 76' Pathe Ciss

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Victor Garcia Verdura
  • Assistant 1 Diego Sanchez Rojo (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Julian Villasenor Julian (Spain)
4 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 1.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Real Madrid CF A 1–4 L
05 Sep Real Racing Club de Santander H 3–2 W
31 Aug FC Barcelona A 2–5 L
20 Aug Deportivo Alaves H 1–1 D
15 Aug Sevilla FC A 1–2 L
23 May Deportivo Alaves A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#3 Position #16
24 Points 9
10 Played 9
8 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 4
25 Scored 12
10 Conceded 20
+15 GD -8
2.40 PPG 1.00
80% Win % 22%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
0% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Real Madrid CF are 3rd (24 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 16th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
3/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
4/2
16-30
2/6
31-45
1/2
46-60
5/3
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 11 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 3 A
Arda Guler 2 G 2 A
Yan Diomande 2 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Sergio Camello 7 G 1 A
Alvaro Garcia 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.65 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Real Madrid CF to win 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF77% Draw14% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid9%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 4.67
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
90%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
23%
Real Madrid CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
86%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF65% Draw27% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid8%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7.7%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
6.9%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
5 – 1
5.1%
5 – 0
5%
1 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
1 – 0
3.6%
4 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 48% — 52%
-2 48% 19% 33%
-1.5 67% — 33%
-1 67% 16% 17%
-0.5 83% — 17%
+0.5 93% — 7%
+1 93% 4% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
3% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.