Thursday , 20 August 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Tue 21 Apr 2026 · 19:30 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 61,468 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe 30' 1–0
Vinicius Junior 50' 2–0
2–1 90+3' Toni Martinez

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo AlavesLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 2.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Deportivo Alaves H 2–1 W
15 Apr FC Bayern Munchen A 3–4 L
10 Apr Girona FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr FC Bayern Munchen H 1–2 L
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
11 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 3–3 D
05 Apr CA Osasuna H 2–2 D
22 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 4–3 W
13 Mar Villarreal CF H 1–1 D
08 Mar Valencia CF A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Deportivo Alaves
#15 Position #1
0 Points 4
0 Played 2
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 0
0 Scored 4
0 Conceded 1
+0 GD +3
PPG 2.00
Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Deportivo Alaves this season

Real Madrid CF are 15th (0 pts). Deportivo Alaves are 1st (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Deportivo Alaves
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.22 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 Deportivo Alaves xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF50% Draw30% Deportivo Alaves20%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
79%
Draw or Deportivo Alaves
50%
Real Madrid CF or Deportivo Alaves
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF30% Draw54% Deportivo Alaves16%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.2%
1 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 2
1.3%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Deportivo Alaves covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 25% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
47%
Deportivo Alaves keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.