Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Tue 21 Apr 2026 · 19:30 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 61,468 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe 30' 1–0
Vinicius Junior 50' 2–0
2–1 90+3' Toni Martinez

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
4 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Deportivo Alaves H 2–1 W
15 Apr FC Bayern Munchen A 3–4 L
10 Apr Girona FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr FC Bayern Munchen H 1–2 L
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
11 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 3–3 D
05 Apr CA Osasuna H 2–2 D
22 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 4–3 W
13 Mar Villarreal CF H 1–1 D
08 Mar Valencia CF A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Deportivo Alaves
#4 Position #6
15 Points 11
7 Played 7
5 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 2
18 Scored 11
8 Conceded 6
+10 GD +5
2.14 PPG 1.57
71% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
33% Clean Sheets
Deportivo Alaves this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts). Deportivo Alaves are 6th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Deportivo Alaves
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A
Deportivo Alaves
Lucas Boye 4 G
Mariano Diaz 3 G 3 A
Nahuel Tenaglia 1 G
Mikel Rodriguez 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.05 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Deportivo Alaves xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF55% Draw23% Deportivo Alaves22%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
78%
Draw or Deportivo Alaves
45%
Real Madrid CF or Deportivo Alaves
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF39% Draw41% Deportivo Alaves20%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Deportivo Alaves covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Deportivo Alaves keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.