Thursday , 2 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo Alaves, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Tue 21 Apr 2026 · 19:30 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 61,468 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe 30' 1–0
Vinicius Junior 50' 2–0
2–1 90+3' Toni Martinez

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Deportivo AlavesLa Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Martinez Munuera (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Miguel Martinez Munuera (Spain)
6 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 2.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Deportivo Alaves H 2–1 W
15 Apr FC Bayern München A 3–4 L
10 Apr Girona FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
11 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 3–3 D
05 Apr CA Osasuna H 2–2 D
22 Mar RC Celta de Vigo A 4–3 W
13 Mar Villarreal CF H 1–1 D
08 Mar Valencia CF A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Deportivo Alaves
#2 Position #14
86 Points 43
38 Played 38
27 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 11 / 10 / 17
77 Scored 44
35 Conceded 56
+42 GD -12
2.26 PPG 1.13
71% Win % 29%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts). Deportivo Alaves are 14th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will turn into a battlefield for Real Madrid CF and Deportivo Alaves.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Denis Suarez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Calebe, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Real Madrid CF is taking the lead after the goal scored by Kylian Mbappe on 30.
  • 35' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a card on 35.
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
  • 45' Antonio Rudiger is replacing Eder Militao for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 50' GOAL! Vinicius Junior scores on 50. Assisted by Federico Valverde
  • 55' Deportivo Alaves is showing some good football. However, Deportivo Alaves are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 58' Brahim Diaz is replacing Jude Bellingham for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 63' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Trent Alexander-Arnold by Dani Carvajal on 63 minute.
  • 66' It is a substitution in Deportivo Alaves team. Lucas Boye is replaced by Ibrahim Diabate on 66 minute.
  • 71' It’s high time Arbeloa made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 75' Ander Guevara has so much to prove this time. He replaces Antonio Blanco on 75 minute.
  • 80' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 85' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Angel Perez. He receives a card.
  • With this win, Real Madrid CF is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.49 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14 Deportivo Alaves xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Real Madrid CF to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF64% Draw20% Deportivo Alaves16%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
84%
Draw or Deportivo Alaves
36%
Real Madrid CF or Deportivo Alaves
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF48% Draw37% Deportivo Alaves15%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
4 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
0 – 0
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Deportivo Alaves covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 19% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 21% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 9% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
33%
Deportivo Alaves keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.