Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern Munchen — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern Munchen 8 games · 21 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Oliver
- Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
- Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
19 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 10.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Kobenhavn | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Elche CF | H | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Mar | Manchester City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Mar | Atalanta BC | A | 6–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #2 |
| 15 | Points | 21 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 5 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 1 |
| 21 | Scored | 22 |
| 12 | Conceded | 8 |
| +9 | GD | +14 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 2.63 |
| 63% | Win % | 88% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 15 G | 1 A |
| Vinicius Junior | 5 G | 6 A |
FC Bayern München
| Harry Kane | 14 G | 2 A |
| Luis Diaz | 7 G | 3 A |
| Michael Olise | 5 G | 6 A |
| Lennart Karl | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will turn into a battlefield for Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München.
- 5' The 29-year-old Luis Diaz has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' FC Bayern München has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Trent Alexander-Arnold needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 37' That looks like a foul for a card for Aurelien Tchouameni.
- 41' GOAL! Luis Diaz scores on 41. Assisted by Serge Gnabry
- 46' Against the run of play, Harry Kane has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arbeloa might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
- 62' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Dean Huijsen by Eder Militao on 62 minute.
- 67' Supporters expect more eagerness from Manuel Neuer, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 69' The crowd applauds Serge Gnabry as he leaves the pitch. Jamal Musiala steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
- 70' Jonathan Tah catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 70.
- 71' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Arda Guler departs to be replaced by Brahim Diaz.
- 74' Against the run of play, Kylian Mbappe has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Luis Diaz on 77 minutes.
- 82' Controversy at the stadium! Manuel Neuer argues furiously but the card stands.
- 86' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a card on 86.
- 90' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Luis Diaz has done his job and it is now time for Tom Bischof to step up.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Bayern München to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 12
- 22
- 10
- 14
- 13
- 8
- 7
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Brahim Diaz 71'
- 18
-
24
Dean Huijsen ↓ Eder Militao 62'
- 45
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 71'
- 4
- 19
- 2
-
3
Eder Militao ↑ 62'
- 6
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↑ 62'
- 20
- 26
- 16
- 17
- 30
Coach
Arbeloa
FC Bayern Munchen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
-
7
Serge Gnabry ↓ Jamal Musiala 69'
- 1
- 6
- 4
- 2
-
27
Konrad Laimer ↓ Alphonso Davies 69'
-
14
Luis Diaz ↓ Tom Bischof 90'
- 17
- 44
- 45
Bench
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 90'
- 22
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↑ 69'
- 21
-
10
Jamal Musiala ↑ 69'
- 3
- 40
-
20
Tom Bischof ↑ 90'
- 11
- 42
- 38
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Joselu | 2 |
| Luis Diaz | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
FC Bayern Munchen Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05
FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern Munchen 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern Munchen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
63%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern Munchen
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
7%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | FC Bayern Munchen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 18% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

