Thursday , 6 August 2026

Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

Tue 7 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 77,106 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 41' Luis Diaz
0–2 46' Harry Kane
Kylian Mbappe 74' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs FC Bayern MunchenChampions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
19 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 10.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atletico de Madrid H 3–2 W
17 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Elche CF H 4–1 W
11 Mar Manchester City FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
04 Apr SC Freiburg A 3–2 W
21 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
18 Mar Atalanta BC H 4–1 W
14 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
10 Mar Atalanta BC A 6–1 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF FC Bayern München
#9 Position #2
15 Points 21
8 Played 8
5 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 1
21 Scored 22
12 Conceded 8
+9 GD +14
1.88 PPG 2.63
63% Win % 88%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
14% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 15 G 1 A
Vinicius Junior 5 G 6 A
FC Bayern München
Harry Kane 14 G 2 A
Luis Diaz 7 G 3 A
Michael Olise 5 G 6 A
Lennart Karl 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will turn into a battlefield for Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München.
  • 5' The 29-year-old Luis Diaz has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' FC Bayern München has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' Trent Alexander-Arnold needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 37' That looks like a foul for a card for Aurelien Tchouameni.
  • 41' GOAL! Luis Diaz scores on 41. Assisted by Serge Gnabry
  • 46' Against the run of play, Harry Kane has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arbeloa might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 62' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Dean Huijsen by Eder Militao on 62 minute.
  • 67' Supporters expect more eagerness from Manuel Neuer, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 69' The crowd applauds Serge Gnabry as he leaves the pitch. Jamal Musiala steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 70' Jonathan Tah catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 70.
  • 71' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Arda Guler departs to be replaced by Brahim Diaz.
  • 74' Against the run of play, Kylian Mbappe has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Luis Diaz on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Controversy at the stadium! Manuel Neuer argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 86' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a card on 86.
  • 90' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Luis Diaz has done his job and it is now time for Tom Bischof to step up.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Bayern München to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05 FC Bayern Munchen xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern Munchen 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF37% Draw24% FC Bayern Munchen39%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
61%
Draw or FC Bayern Munchen
63%
Real Madrid CF or FC Bayern Munchen
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Real Madrid CF30% Draw38% FC Bayern Munchen32%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
7%
2 – 1
7%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.8%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.4%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push FC Bayern Munchen covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 17% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 18% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 12% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
14%
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.