Thursday , 2 July 2026

Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sun 14 Dec 2025 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Deportivo Alaves vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Victor Garcia Verdura

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Real Madrid CF H 1–2 L
06 Dec Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 1–0 W
29 Nov FC Barcelona A 1–3 L
22 Nov RC Celta de Vigo H 0–1 L
08 Nov Girona FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Deportivo Alaves A 2–1 W
10 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–2 L
07 Dec RC Celta de Vigo H 0–2 L
03 Dec Athletic Club A 3–0 W
30 Nov Girona FC A 1–1 D
26 Nov PAE Olympiakos SFP A 4–3 W

Season Stats

Deportivo Alaves Real Madrid CF
#14 Position #2
43 Points 86
38 Played 38
11 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
44 Scored 77
56 Conceded 35
-12 GD +42
1.13 PPG 2.26
29% Win % 71%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Deportivo Alaves are 14th (43 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Deportivo Alaves Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.91 Deportivo Alaves xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.09 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Deportivo Alaves18% Draw23% Real Madrid CF59%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Deportivo Alaves or Draw
41%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
82%
Deportivo Alaves or Real Madrid CF
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Deportivo Alaves13% Draw42% Real Madrid CF45%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.8%
1 – 1
10.2%
0 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
7.3%
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Deportivo Alaves

Handicap Deportivo Alaves covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 9% 86%
-0.5 14% 86%
+0.5 37% 63%
+1 37% 23% 40%
+1.5 60% 40%
+2 60% 19% 21%
+2.5 79% 21%

Clean Sheet

Deportivo Alaves keeps clean sheet
13%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.