Friday , 11 September 2026

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 21 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Home Park 16,550 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lewis Gibson 38' 1–0
1–1 50' Jonny Howson
Darko Gyabi 72' 2–1
2–2 77' Hayden Hackney
Mustapha Bundu 81' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Plymouth Argyle FC vs Middlesbrough FCChampionship at Home Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Will Finnie
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 Mark Russell
5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 12.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 3–3 D
14 Dec Sheffield United FC A 0–2 L
10 Dec Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
30 Nov Bristol City FC A 0–4 L
26 Nov Norwich City FC A 1–6 L
22 Nov Watford FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC A 3–3 D
14 Dec Millwall FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
06 Dec Burnley FC A 1–1 D
30 Nov Hull City AFC H 3–1 W
27 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/
31-45
/
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 5 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.91 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Plymouth Argyle FC or Middlesbrough FC 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Plymouth Argyle FC43% Draw25% Middlesbrough FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Plymouth Argyle FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
57%
Plymouth Argyle FC or Middlesbrough FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Plymouth Argyle FC34% Draw40% Middlesbrough FC26%
Actual: Plymouth Argyle FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.4%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Plymouth Argyle FC

Handicap Plymouth Argyle FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 19% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 16% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.