Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Riverside Stadium 23,445 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FCChampionship at Riverside Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Geoff Eltringham
  • Assistant 1 Gregory Read (England)
  • Assistant 2 James Wilson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Millwall FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
06 Dec Burnley FC A 1–1 D
30 Nov Hull City AFC H 3–1 W
27 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
23 Nov Oxford United FC A 6–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Middlesbrough FC A 0–1 L
11 Dec Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
07 Dec Coventry City FC H 0–1 L
30 Nov Oxford United FC A 1–1 D
23 Nov Sunderland AFC H 1–1 D
09 Nov Stoke City FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Millwall FC
#5 Position #3
80 Points 83
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 24 / 11 / 11
72 Scored 64
47 Conceded 49
+25 GD +15
1.74 PPG 1.80
48% Win % 52%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC50% Draw28% Millwall FC22%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Millwall FC
50%
Middlesbrough FC or Millwall FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC31% Draw52% Millwall FC17%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
13.7%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.6%
2 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.