Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Leeds United FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 10 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Elland Road 36,422 HT 45' · FT 45'
Wilfried Gnonto 14' 1–0
1–1 54' Maximilian Wober og
Daniel James 74' 2–1
Brenden Aaronson 90+2' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship at Elland Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Richard Woodward
4 games this season 🟨 5.5/game ⚽ 12.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 3–1 W
07 Dec Derby County FC H 2–0 W
30 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L
27 Nov Luton Town FC H 3–0 W
24 Nov Swansea City AFC A 4–3 W
09 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
06 Dec Burnley FC A 1–1 D
30 Nov Hull City AFC H 3–1 W
27 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC H 0–1 L
23 Nov Oxford United FC A 6–2 W
09 Nov Luton Town FC H 5–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Leeds United FC host Middlesbrough FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Leeds United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 14' Leeds United FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Wilfried Gnonto on 14.
  • 19' A quiet spell here at Elland Road. Leeds United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 24' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Middlesbrough FC that had 391 games and scored 484 goals.
  • 29' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 34' Over 34 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 39' The home supporters are growing impatient. Leeds United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Leeds United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 49' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 54' What a moment for Maximilian Wober! That strike on 54 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 59' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Leeds United FC and Middlesbrough FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 64' With 0 assists to his name this season, Brenden Aaronson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Leeds United FC.
  • 69' Joel Piroe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Wilfried Gnonto at the 69 minute mark.
  • 71' That is a card for Middlesbrough FC. George Edmundson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 74' Assisted by Joel Piroe with the perfectly-timed delivery and Daniel James makes no mistake. 3-0!
  • 79' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 80' A moment of madness from Anfernee Dijksteel on 80 minutes earns him a card. Middlesbrough FC will be frustrated.
  • 81' A change in the Middlesbrough FC ranks — Riley McGree exits the field as Delano Burgzorg enters on 81.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Middlesbrough FC — Tommy Conway on, Finn Azaz off on 82 minutes.
  • 85' A tactical swap from Leeds United FC — Ethan Ampadu on, Sam Byram off on 85 minutes.
  • 89' Maximilian Wober has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 89.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Leeds United FC team. Daniel James is replaced by Isaac Schmidt on 90 minute.
  • Leeds United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Middlesbrough FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC58% Draw23% Middlesbrough FC19%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Middlesbrough FC
42%
Leeds United FC or Middlesbrough FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC40% Draw42% Middlesbrough FC18%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.4%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 22% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.