Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Melbourne Victory FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Sat 13 Dec 2025 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Ben Abraham

18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-13 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC 2025-03-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Adelaide United FC 2025-01-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-03-09 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-12-30 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Dec	Adelaide United FC	H	2–1	W
05 Dec	Macarthur FC	A	0–0	D
28 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	A	0–1	L
22 Nov	Sydney FC	A	0–3	L
08 Nov	Melbourne City FC	H	0–2	L
31 Oct	Perth Glory FC	A	2–0	W

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Dec	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	Brisbane Roar FC	H	0–1	L
29 Nov	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	1–2	L
21 Nov	Melbourne City FC	H	4–1	W
07 Nov	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–0	W
01 Nov	Auckland FC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Adelaide United FC
#4	Position	#2
40	Points	43
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 7
44	Scored	46
33	Conceded	36
+11	GD	+10
1.54	PPG	1.65
42%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/–

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Adelaide United FC

Luka Jovanovic	11 G	3 A
Johnny Yull	4 G	5 A
Ethan Alagich	4 G	4 A
Ryan Kitto	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — let the football do the talking.
Full Time. Melbourne Victory FC beats Adelaide United FC

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Marco Rojas	4
Craig Goodwin	4
Stefan Mauk	3
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Vince Lia	2
Ola Toivonen	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-12-13 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC W 2025-12-05 Macarthur FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-11-28 Brisbane Roar FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-11-22 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-11-08 Melbourne Victory FC 0–2 Melbourne City FC L 2025-10-31 Perth Glory FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W

Adelaide United FC Form

2025-12-13 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2025-12-07 Adelaide United FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2025-11-29 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2025-11-21 Adelaide United FC 4–1 Melbourne City FC W 2025-11-07 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2025-11-01 Auckland FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.99 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC52% Draw23% Adelaide United FC25%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.44

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	66%	34%
± 3.5	45%	55%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

48%

Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC37% Draw41% Adelaide United FC22%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.4%

3 – 1

5.8%

1 – 0

5.8%

0 – 0

4.6%

3 – 2

4.3%

3 – 0

4.1%

0 – 1

0 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	15%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	20%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	15%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.