Thursday , 2 July 2026

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Fri 28 Nov 2025 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Shaun Evans
  • Referee Hugh Fenton-White (Australia)
18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Melbourne Victory FC H 1–0 W
23 Nov Auckland FC A 1–1 D
09 Nov Newcastle United Jets FC H 3–0 W
31 Oct Melbourne City FC H 0–0 D
26 Oct Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–2 L
17 Oct Macarthur FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Brisbane Roar FC A 0–1 L
22 Nov Sydney FC A 0–3 L
08 Nov Melbourne City FC H 0–2 L
31 Oct Perth Glory FC A 2–0 W
24 Oct Newcastle United Jets FC A 2–5 L
18 Oct Auckland FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC Melbourne Victory FC
#11 Position #4
26 Points 40
26 Played 26
6 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
27 Scored 44
36 Conceded 33
-9 GD +11
1.00 PPG 1.54
23% Win % 42%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC
Justin Vidic 4 G 2 A
Chris Long 4 G 1 A
Samuel Klein 4 G
Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27 Brisbane Roar FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Brisbane Roar FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Brisbane Roar FC45% Draw28% Melbourne Victory FC27%
Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
55%
Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Brisbane Roar FC27% Draw50% Melbourne Victory FC23%
Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap Brisbane Roar FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.