Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Wellington Phoenix FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 04:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League .

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Elder
Referee Jonathon Barreiro

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 22 games · Avg 3.0 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-29 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC 2025-04-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Wellington Phoenix FC 2025-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC 2024-03-03 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–2 Adelaide United FC 2024-01-04 Adelaide United FC 2–2 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Adelaide United FC	H	2–1	W
22 Nov	Macarthur FC	H	0–1	L
08 Nov	Auckland FC	H	1–2	L
02 Nov	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–1	D
26 Oct	Brisbane Roar FC	H	2–1	W
18 Oct	Perth Glory FC	A	2–2	D

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Nov	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	1–2	L
21 Nov	Melbourne City FC	H	4–1	W
07 Nov	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–0	W
01 Nov	Auckland FC	A	1–2	L
27 Oct	Macarthur FC	A	1–2	L
17 Oct	Sydney FC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Adelaide United FC
#8	Position	#2
33	Points	43
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 7
36	Scored	46
48	Conceded	36
-12	GD	+10
1.27	PPG	1.65
35%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Wellington Phoenix FC and Adelaide United FC.
Wellington Phoenix FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Craig Goodwin	5
Hiroshi Ibusuki	4
Luka Jovanovic	3
Kosta Barbarouses	3
Stefan Mauk	2
David Ball	2
Ben Waine	2
Ken Ilso	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2025-11-29 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC W 2025-11-22 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–1 Macarthur FC L 2025-11-08 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Auckland FC L 2025-11-02 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2025-10-26 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Brisbane Roar FC W 2025-10-18 Perth Glory FC 2–2 Wellington Phoenix FC D

Adelaide United FC Form

2025-11-29 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2025-11-21 Adelaide United FC 4–1 Melbourne City FC W 2025-11-07 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2025-11-01 Auckland FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2025-10-27 Macarthur FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2025-10-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Sydney FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.69 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.85 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC 76% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC39% Draw24% Adelaide United FC37%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.54

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

63%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

61%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC28% Draw41% Adelaide United FC31%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.9%

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

6.8%

0 – 2

1 – 3

0 – 1

4.8%

0 – 0

4.3%

1 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

4.2%

2 – 0

4.2%

3 – 1

4.1%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	17%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	19%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	13%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.