Thursday , 2 July 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 04:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Elder
  • Referee Jonathon Barreiro
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Adelaide United FC H 2–1 W
22 Nov Macarthur FC H 0–1 L
08 Nov Auckland FC H 1–2 L
02 Nov Central Coast Mariners FC A 1–1 D
26 Oct Brisbane Roar FC H 2–1 W
18 Oct Perth Glory FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–2 L
21 Nov Melbourne City FC H 4–1 W
07 Nov Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
01 Nov Auckland FC A 1–2 L
27 Oct Macarthur FC A 1–2 L
17 Oct Sydney FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Adelaide United FC
#8 Position #2
33 Points 43
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
36 Scored 46
48 Conceded 36
-12 GD +10
1.27 PPG 1.65
35% Win % 46%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
4/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A
Adelaide United FC
Luka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A
Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A
Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A
Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.69 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC 76% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC39% Draw24% Adelaide United FC37%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.54
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
61%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC28% Draw41% Adelaide United FC31%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5%
1 – 3
5%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 0
4.3%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.2%
3 – 1
4.1%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 17% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 19% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.