Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Alex King
  • Referee Daniel Ilievski (Australia)
19 games this season 🟨 1.8/game 6.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Melbourne Victory FC H 3–0 W
09 Nov Macarthur FC H 2–0 W
01 Nov Newcastle United Jets FC A 4–1 W
25 Oct Central Coast Mariners FC H 2–0 W
17 Oct Adelaide United FC A 1–2 L
03 May Melbourne City FC A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Sydney FC A 0–3 L
08 Nov Melbourne City FC H 0–2 L
31 Oct Perth Glory FC A 2–0 W
24 Oct Newcastle United Jets FC A 2–5 L
18 Oct Auckland FC H 0–0 D
04 May Newcastle United Jets FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Sydney FC Melbourne Victory FC
#5 Position #4
39 Points 40
26 Played 26
11 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
33 Scored 44
25 Conceded 33
+8 GD +11
1.50 PPG 1.54
42% Win % 42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Sydney FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sydney FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sydney FC
Tiago Quintal 5 G 3 A
Al Hassan Toure 5 G 1 A
Campuzano 4 G 3 A
Joe Lolley 4 G 2 A
Patrick Wood 4 G 1 A
Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sydney FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.73 Sydney FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Sydney FC to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sydney FC55% Draw25% Melbourne Victory FC20%
Actual: Sydney FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Sydney FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
45%
Sydney FC or Melbourne Victory FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sydney FC38% Draw46% Melbourne Victory FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sydney FC

Handicap Sydney FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
38%
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.