Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Adelaide United FC

4 – 1

Full Time

Melbourne City FC

Fri 21 Nov 2025 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne City FC — A League .

Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne City FC 26 games · 38 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Adelaide United FC 21 games · Avg 3.1 goals Melbourne City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-21 Adelaide United FC 4–1 Melbourne City FC 2025-04-26 Melbourne City FC 0–0 Adelaide United FC 2025-02-07 Adelaide United FC 1–0 Melbourne City FC 2024-01-25 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Adelaide United FC 2023-10-29 Adelaide United FC 6–0 Melbourne City FC

Recent Form

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Nov	Melbourne City FC	H	4–1	W
07 Nov	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–0	W
01 Nov	Auckland FC	A	1–2	L
27 Oct	Macarthur FC	A	1–2	L
17 Oct	Sydney FC	H	2–1	W
26 Apr	Melbourne City FC	A	0–0	D

Melbourne City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Nov	Adelaide United FC	A	1–4	L
08 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	A	2–0	W
31 Oct	Brisbane Roar FC	A	0–0	D
25 Oct	Perth Glory FC	H	4–0	W
18 Oct	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–1	D
03 May	Sydney FC	H	5–1	W

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC		Melbourne City FC
#2	Position	#6
43	Points	38
26	Played	26
12 / 7 / 7	W / D / L	10 / 8 / 8
46	Scored	33
36	Conceded	33
+10	GD	+0
1.65	PPG	1.46
46%	Win %	38%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Melbourne City FC kicks off things out of here…
Adelaide United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamie MacLaren	11
Ben Halloran	6
Ross McCormack	3
Craig Goodwin	3
Andrew Nabbout	2
Bernardo Oliveira	2
Dario Vidosic	2
Marcin Budzinski	2

Head to Head

Adelaide United FC Form

2025-11-21 Adelaide United FC 4–1 Melbourne City FC W 2025-11-07 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2025-11-01 Auckland FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2025-10-27 Macarthur FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2025-10-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Sydney FC W 2025-04-26 Melbourne City FC 0–0 Adelaide United FC D

Melbourne City FC Form

2025-11-21 Adelaide United FC 4–1 Melbourne City FC L 2025-11-08 Melbourne Victory FC 0–2 Melbourne City FC W 2025-10-31 Brisbane Roar FC 0–0 Melbourne City FC D 2025-10-25 Melbourne City FC 4–0 Perth Glory FC W 2025-10-18 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2025-05-03 Melbourne City FC 5–1 Sydney FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.03 Adelaide United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.94 Melbourne City FC xG

I would bet for: Adelaide United FC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Adelaide United FC59% Draw23% Melbourne City FC18%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw

82%

Draw or Melbourne City FC

41%

Adelaide United FC or Melbourne City FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Adelaide United FC44% Draw42% Melbourne City FC14%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.6%

2 – 0

10.4%

1 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

9.6%

3 – 0

6.9%

0 – 0

6.8%

3 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

4.5%

1 – 2

4.4%

0 – 1

4.1%

4 – 0

3.5%

4 – 1

Actual

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap	Adelaide United FC covers	Push	Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	19%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	23%	39%
-0.5	61%	—	39%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	10%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.