Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Adelaide United FC 3 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar FC | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Melbourne City FC | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Perth Glory FC | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Auckland FC | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory FC | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 4 | 2 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Adelaide United FC | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Adelaide United FC | H | 5–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Feb | Melbourne City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Feb | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 3–5 | L |
| 14 Mar | Macarthur FC | H | 4–5 | L |
| 08 Mar | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Auckland FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| 23 Feb | Western United FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Feb | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #12 |
| 3 | Points | 1 |
| 4 | Played | 3 |
| 0 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 0 / 1 / 2 |
| 5 | Scored | 3 |
| 6 | Conceded | 8 |
| -1 | GD | -5 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 0.33 |
| 0% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts). Adelaide United FC are 12th (1 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/4
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Keegan Jelacic | 2 G | |
| Jordi Valadon | 2 G | |
| Charles Nduka | 1 G | 2 A |
Adelaide United FC
| Brody Burkitt | 2 G |
| Joey Garuccio | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Adelaide United FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' Ryan Kitto needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 12' A stunning finish from Johnny Yull — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 17' Supporters expect more eagerness from Joshua Inserra, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 22' Archie Goodwin is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
- 27' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 29' Daniel Arzani is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 34' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 39' The Australia Nishan Velupillay breaks the deadlock on 39 minutes. 2-1!
- 44' Stefan Mauk has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Isaias Sanchez. He replaces Jay Barnett on 46 minute.
- 47' Brilliant from the ! Archie Goodwin makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 47.
- 51' Panagiotis Kikianis catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 51.
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 57' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Zach Clough makes it 2-3.
- 62' A change in the Melbourne Victory FC ranks — Fabian Monge exits the field as Jordi Valadon enters on 62.
- 67' Adelaide United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 71' The Australia Daniel Arzani breaks the deadlock on 71 minutes. 3-3!
- 75' Alex Badolato gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Reno Piscopo and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' Archie Goodwin makes way for Luka Jovanovic at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Adelaide United FC.
- 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bruno Fornaroli on 78.
- 83' Ethan Alagich has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 84' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Bruno Fornaroli is replaced by Nikolaos Vergos.
- 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Zach Clough on 87 minutes.
- 88' Against the run of play, Nikolaos Vergos has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 90' What composure from Nikolaos Vergos! The Greece international strokes it home. 5-3.
- 90' Poor challenge from Alex Badolato. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Full Time. Melbourne Victory FC beats Adelaide United FC
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 4
- 21
- 7
- 1
- 10
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Alex Badolato 75'
- 17
-
16
Joshua Inserra ↓ Joshua Rawlins 84'
-
18
Fabian Monge ↓ Jordi Valadon 62'
- 28
Bench
-
5
Brendan Hamill ↑ 46'
-
22
Joshua Rawlins ↑ 84'
- 25
-
23
Alex Badolato ↑ 75'
-
14
Jordi Valadon ↑ 62'
- 19
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 84'
Coach
Arthur Diles
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 7
- 20
- 1
-
14
Jay Barnett ↓ Isaias Sanchez 46'
- 3
-
26
Archie Goodwin ↓ Luka Jovanovic 76'
- 55
- 51
- 12
-
42
Austin Ayoubi ↓ Zach Clough 46'
Bench
- 17
-
10
Zach Clough ↑ 46'
- 21
- 40
-
8
Isaias Sanchez ↑ 46'
-
9
Luka Jovanovic ↑ 76'
- 44
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
| Daniel Arzani | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-03-29
Melbourne Victory FC
5–3
Adelaide United FC
W
2025-03-15
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
4–2
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-03-08
Melbourne Victory FC
3–0
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2025-03-01
Brisbane Roar FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2025-02-22
Melbourne Victory FC
2–2
Melbourne City FC
D
2025-02-14
Melbourne Victory FC
1–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
Adelaide United FC Form
2025-03-29
Melbourne Victory FC
5–3
Adelaide United FC
L
2025-03-14
Adelaide United FC
4–5
Macarthur FC
L
2025-03-08
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Brisbane Roar FC
D
2025-03-01
Auckland FC
4–4
Adelaide United FC
D
2025-02-23
Western United FC
3–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2025-02-15
Adelaide United FC
1–2
Newcastle United Jets FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.02
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
34%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–3 not predicted5 – 3Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
5.7%
4 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
4 – 2
4.1%
4 – 0
3.8%
1 – 2
3.7%
5 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 18% | 52% |
| -1.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 19% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.