Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Adelaide United FC

3 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 08:35 UTC Coopers Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Ben Folami 48' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Coopers Stadium.

Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Alireza Faghani
Referee

19 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Adelaide United FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-03-09 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-12-30 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC 2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC

Recent Form

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Jan	Melbourne Victory FC	H	3–2	W
11 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–1	W
06 Jan	Macarthur FC	A	2–1	W
27 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–3	L
20 Dec	Sydney FC	H	3–3	D
13 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	4–0	W

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	2–3	L
10 Jan	Western United FC	H	3–4	L
04 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
01 Jan	Auckland FC	A	0–0	D
28 Dec	Sydney FC	A	0–3	L
21 Dec	Melbourne City FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#2	Position	#4
43	Points	40
26	Played	26
12 / 7 / 7	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
46	Scored	44
36	Conceded	33
+10	GD	+11
1.65	PPG	1.54
46%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/–

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Adelaide United FC

Luka Jovanovic	11 G	3 A
Johnny Yull	4 G	5 A
Ethan Alagich	4 G	4 A
Ryan Kitto	3 G	1 A

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Coopers Stadium. Adelaide United FC are looking to make home advantage count against Melbourne Victory FC.
5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
10' Adelaide United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
18' Against the run of play, Ryan Teague has scored! This game has turned on its head.
23' The 22-year-old Ethan Alagich has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
28' Adelaide United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne Victory FC's shape.
31' Stefan Mauk has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 31 minutes.
36' Adelaide United FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
41' With 0 assists to his name this season, Clarismario is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Adelaide United FC.
46' Goal! Roderick Miranda scores his 10 goal in 93 matches.
48' Controversy at the stadium! Ben Folami argues furiously but the card stands.
53' Joshua Rawlins has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
55' Nikolaos Vergos is replacing Bruno Fornaroli for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
58' Time for substitution for Adelaide United FC. Archie Goodwin is replaced by Luka Jovanovic.
63' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
66' Clarismario does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
71' Ethan Alagich does the damage! The net is bulging and Adelaide United FC surge ahead!
74' Jing Reec is replacing Clarismario for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
79' Johnny Yull has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zach Clough on 79 minute.
84' Kasey Bos, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
87' Stefan Mauk makes way for Ryan White at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Adelaide United FC.
88' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Joshua Rawlins is replaced by Joshua Inserra.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Melbourne Victory FC.

Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1
James Delianov
19
Yaya Dukuly ↑ 58'
8
Isaias Sanchez ↑ 79'
9
Luka Jovanovic ↑ 58'
12
Johnny Yull ↑ 79'
42
Austin Ayoubi
44
Ryan White ↑ 87'

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Fabian Monge 88'
5
Brendan Hamill
21
Roderick Miranda
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Nishan Velupillay 74'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Nikolaos Vergos 55'
6
Ryan Teague
22
Joshua Rawlins ↓ Joshua Inserra 88'
25
Jack Duncan
14
Jordi Valadon
28
Kasey Bos
11
Clarismario ↓ Jing Reec 74'

Bench

1
Mitch Langerak
3
Adama Traore
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 74'
16
Joshua Inserra ↑ 88'
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 88'
19
Jing Reec ↑ 74'
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 55'

Coach Arthur Diles

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Marco Rojas	4
Craig Goodwin	4
Stefan Mauk	3
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Vince Lia	2
Ola Toivonen	2

Head to Head

Adelaide United FC Form

2025-01-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2025-01-06 Macarthur FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2024-12-27 Adelaide United FC 2–3 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2024-12-20 Adelaide United FC 3–3 Sydney FC D 2024-12-13 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–4 Adelaide United FC W

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-01-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western United FC L 2025-01-04 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-01-01 Auckland FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-12-28 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-12-21 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.92 Adelaide United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.66 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Adelaide United FC48% Draw23% Melbourne Victory FC29%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.58

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

52%

Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Adelaide United FC33% Draw40% Melbourne Victory FC27%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.8%

2 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 2

6.7%

3 – 1

5.2%

2 – 0

5.2%

1 – 0

4.8%

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

4.2%

0 – 1

4.1%

1 – 3

3.9%

0 – 2

3.9%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap	Adelaide United FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	19%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	16%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	10%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.