Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Coopers Stadium.
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alireza Faghani
- Referee
20 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 6.1 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 11 Jan | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Jan | Macarthur FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Dec | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Dec | Sydney FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 13 Dec | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Jan | Western United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 04 Jan | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jan | Auckland FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Sydney FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | Melbourne City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Adelaide United FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #4 |
| 43 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 12 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 46 | Scored | 44 |
| 36 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | +11 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 46% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Adelaide United FC to score. At the same time, Melbourne Victory FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' With 1 assists to his name this season, Daniel Arzani is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Adelaide United FC.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 18' The deadlock is broken! Ryan Teague gets on the scoresheet on 18 minutes.
- 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ben Folami suffering a number of foals already.
- 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryan Kitto, as he is very good at scoring at Coopers Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 31' Brilliant from the ! Stefan Mauk makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 31.
- 36' The 22-year-old Joshua Rawlins has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 41' A quiet spell here at Coopers Stadium. Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 46' Roderick Miranda doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 48' Adelaide United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 48.
- 53' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 55' The crowd applauds Bruno Fornaroli as he leaves the pitch. Nikolaos Vergos steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
- 58' Luka Jovanovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Archie Goodwin at the 58 minute mark.
- 63' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 66' A stunning finish from Clarismario — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 71' What a strike from Ethan Alagich! The score is 2-3.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Jing Reec. He replaces Clarismario on 74 minute.
- 79' Another change for Adelaide United FC made on 79 minute. Zach Clough leaves to be changed by Johnny Yull.
- 84' Melbourne Victory FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Ryan White. He replaces Stefan Mauk on 87 minute.
- 88' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Joshua Rawlins departs to be replaced by Joshua Inserra.
- Adelaide United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
17
Ben Folami ↓ Yaya Dukuly 58'
-
10
Zach Clough ↓ Johnny Yull 79'
-
6
Stefan Mauk ↓ Ryan White 87'
-
7
Ryan Kitto ↓ Isaias Sanchez 79'
- 20
- 14
- 3
-
26
Archie Goodwin ↓ Luka Jovanovic 58'
- 40
- 55
- 51
Bench
- 1
-
19
Yaya Dukuly ↑ 58'
-
8
Isaias Sanchez ↑ 79'
-
9
Luka Jovanovic ↑ 58'
-
12
Johnny Yull ↑ 79'
- 42
-
44
Ryan White ↑ 87'
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Fabian Monge 88'
- 5
- 21
- 7
- 10
- 6
-
22
Joshua Rawlins ↓ Joshua Inserra 88'
- 25
- 14
- 28
-
11
Clarismario ↓ Jing Reec 74'
Bench
- 1
- 3
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 74'
-
16
Joshua Inserra ↑ 88'
-
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 88'
-
19
Jing Reec ↑ 74'
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 55'
Coach
Arthur Diles
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
| Daniel Arzani | 2 |
Head to Head
Adelaide United FC Form
2025-01-18
Adelaide United FC
3–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2025-01-11
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
W
2025-01-06
Macarthur FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
W
2024-12-27
Adelaide United FC
2–3
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
L
2024-12-20
Adelaide United FC
3–3
Sydney FC
D
2024-12-13
Central Coast Mariners FC
0–4
Adelaide United FC
W
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-01-18
Adelaide United FC
3–2
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-01-10
Melbourne Victory FC
3–4
Western United FC
L
2025-01-04
Melbourne Victory FC
2–2
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
D
2025-01-01
Auckland FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-12-28
Sydney FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2024-12-21
Melbourne Victory FC
1–1
Melbourne City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.92
Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Adelaide United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Adelaide United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
52%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Adelaide United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC
| Handicap | Adelaide United FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 13% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 19% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 16% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

