Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Adelaide United FC

3 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 18 Jan 2025 · 08:35 UTC Coopers Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Ben Folami 48' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Coopers Stadium.

Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Alireza Faghani
Referee

7 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Adelaide United FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-03-09 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-12-30 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC 2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC

Recent Form

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Jan	Melbourne Victory FC	H	3–2	W
11 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–1	W
06 Jan	Macarthur FC	A	2–1	W
27 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–3	L
20 Dec	Sydney FC	H	3–3	D
13 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	4–0	W

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	2–3	L
10 Jan	Western United FC	H	3–4	L
04 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
01 Jan	Auckland FC	A	0–0	D
28 Dec	Sydney FC	A	0–3	L
21 Dec	Melbourne City FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#2	Position	#4
43	Points	40
26	Played	26
12 / 7 / 7	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
46	Scored	44
36	Conceded	33
+10	GD	+11
1.65	PPG	1.54
46%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Coopers Stadium!
5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Brendan Hamill made 205 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
10' Adelaide United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne Victory FC's shape.
15' Melbourne Victory FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
18' Ryan Teague does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
28' Adelaide United FC have won 368 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
31' Stefan Mauk does the damage! The net is bulging and Adelaide United FC surge ahead!
36' Ben Folami is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Adelaide United FC tonight.
41' Australia international Jack Duncan has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
46' GOAL! Roderick Miranda fires home to make it 1-2!
48' Ben Folami is having his name booked by the referee on 48.
53' It is a cagey affair so far. Adelaide United FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne Victory FC's compact .
55' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Nikolaos Vergos on, Bruno Fornaroli off on 55 minutes.
58' The crowd applauds Archie Goodwin as he leaves the pitch. Luka Jovanovic steps in for Adelaide United FC.
63' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
66' What composure from Clarismario! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-3.
71' GOAL! Ethan Alagich scores on 71. Assisted by Yaya Dukuly
74' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Clarismario departs to be replaced by Jing Reec.
79' Time for substitution for Adelaide United FC. Zach Clough is replaced by Johnny Yull.
84' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kasey Bos, as he is very good at scoring at Coopers Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
87' The Adelaide United FC bench stirs into life. Stefan Mauk is withdrawn and Ryan White gets his opportunity.
88' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Joshua Rawlins departs to be replaced by Joshua Inserra.
The points are shared — Adelaide United FC 3-2 Melbourne Victory FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1
James Delianov
19
Yaya Dukuly ↑ 58'
8
Isaias Sanchez ↑ 79'
9
Luka Jovanovic ↑ 58'
12
Johnny Yull ↑ 79'
42
Austin Ayoubi
44
Ryan White ↑ 87'

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Fabian Monge 88'
5
Brendan Hamill
21
Roderick Miranda
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Nishan Velupillay 74'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Nikolaos Vergos 55'
6
Ryan Teague
22
Joshua Rawlins ↓ Joshua Inserra 88'
25
Jack Duncan
14
Jordi Valadon
28
Kasey Bos
11
Clarismario ↓ Jing Reec 74'

Bench

1
Mitch Langerak
3
Adama Traore
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 74'
16
Joshua Inserra ↑ 88'
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 88'
19
Jing Reec ↑ 74'
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 55'

Coach Arthur Diles

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Marco Rojas	4
Craig Goodwin	4
Stefan Mauk	3
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Leroy George	2
Daniel Arzani	2

Head to Head

Adelaide United FC Form

2025-01-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2025-01-06 Macarthur FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2024-12-27 Adelaide United FC 2–3 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2024-12-20 Adelaide United FC 3–3 Sydney FC D 2024-12-13 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–4 Adelaide United FC W

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-01-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western United FC L 2025-01-04 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-01-01 Auckland FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-12-28 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-12-21 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.92 Adelaide United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.66 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Adelaide United FC48% Draw23% Melbourne Victory FC29%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.58

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

52%

Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Adelaide United FC33% Draw40% Melbourne Victory FC27%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.8%

2 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 2

6.7%

3 – 1

5.2%

2 – 0

5.2%

1 – 0

4.8%

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

4.2%

0 – 1

4.1%

1 – 3

3.9%

0 – 2

3.9%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap	Adelaide United FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	19%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	16%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	10%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.