Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Elder
- Referee Lara Lee
24 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 4.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Dec | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Dec | Sydney FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 03 Dec | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Nov | Macarthur FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Dec | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Dec | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Dec | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Dec | Macarthur FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 26 Nov | Western United FC | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 44 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +10 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 42% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Adelaide United FC's compact .
- 15' Adelaide United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne Victory FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 35' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' Adelaide United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Luke Duzel. He replaces Johnny Yull on 46 minute.
- 51' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 56' A change in the Melbourne Victory FC ranks — Fabian Monge exits the field as Jake Brimmer enters on 56.
- 57' The crowd applauds Luka Jovanovic as he leaves the pitch. Nestor Irankunda steps in for Adelaide United FC.
- 62' Adelaide United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 62.
- 67' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Adelaide United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Javi Lopez.
- 71' A moment of madness from Isaias Sanchez on 71 minutes earns him a card. Adelaide United FC will be frustrated.
- 73' Assisted by Nishan Velupillay with the perfectly-timed delivery and Zinedine Machach makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 74' Adelaide United FC ring the changes. Javi Lopez has done his job and it is now time for Giuseppe Bovalina to step up.
- 76' Ben Folami is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Arzani at the 76 minute mark.
- 81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 82' It is a substitution in Adelaide United FC team. Isaias Sanchez is replaced by Ethan Alagich on 82 minute.
- 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
- 88' Melbourne Victory FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 88.
- 88' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Eli Adams on, Nishan Velupillay off on 88 minutes.
- 90' Bruno Fornaroli has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 90 minutes.
- 2-0 the final result. Adelaide United FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 8
- 20
- 21
-
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Ben Folami 76'
- 10
- 14
- 12
- 2
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Eli Adams 88'
-
18
Fabian Monge ↓ Jake Brimmer 56'
Bench
-
11
Ben Folami ↑ 76'
- 16
-
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 56'
-
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 88'
-
24
Eli Adams ↑ 88'
- 40
- 28
Coach
Tony Popović
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
10
Zach Clough ↓ Bernardo Oliveira 82'
-
21
Javi Lopez ↓ Giuseppe Bovalina 74'
- 4
- 46
- 7
-
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↓ Ben Halloran 57'
-
8
Isaias Sanchez ↓ Ethan Alagich 82'
- 41
- 17
-
37
Johnny Yull ↓ Luke Duzel 46'
Bench
-
26
Ben Halloran ↑ 57'
- 1
-
23
Luke Duzel ↑ 46'
-
66
Nestor Irankunda ↑ 57'
-
55
Ethan Alagich ↑ 82'
-
31
Bernardo Oliveira ↑ 82'
-
43
Giuseppe Bovalina ↑ 74'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Vince Lia | 2 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2023-12-30
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Adelaide United FC
W
2023-12-23
Melbourne City FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2023-12-16
Melbourne Victory FC
3–0
Sydney FC
W
2023-12-10
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
3–4
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2023-12-03
Central Coast Mariners FC
2–2
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2023-11-24
Macarthur FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
Adelaide United FC Form
2023-12-30
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2023-12-22
Adelaide United FC
3–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
2023-12-15
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
1–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2023-12-10
Adelaide United FC
0–2
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2023-12-04
Macarthur FC
4–3
Adelaide United FC
L
2023-11-26
Western United FC
1–3
Adelaide United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.84
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
46%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 22% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.