Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Melbourne Victory FC
2 – 0
Full Time
Adelaide United FC
Sat 30 Dec 2023 · 08:45 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 62' Alexandar Popovic
Y 68' Javi Lopez
Y 71' Isaias Sanchez
Bruno Fornaroli 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Elder
  • Referee Lara Lee

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Newcastle United Jets FC 26 48
2 Adelaide United FC 26 43
3 Auckland FC 26 42
4 Melbourne Victory FC 26 40
5 Sydney FC 26 39
6 Melbourne City FC 26 38
7 Macarthur FC 26 34
8 Wellington Phoenix FC 26 33
9 Central Coast Mariners FC 26 32
10 Perth Glory FC 26 31
11 Brisbane Roar FC 26 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 26 21

Head-to-Head

9
5
10
Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Adelaide United FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-12-30 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC 2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-01-14 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-11-11 Adelaide United FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Adelaide United FC H 2–0 W
23 Dec Melbourne City FC A 0–0 D
16 Dec Sydney FC H 3–0 W
10 Dec Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 4–3 W
03 Dec Central Coast Mariners FC A 2–2 D
24 Nov Macarthur FC A 1–1 D
Adelaide United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Melbourne Victory FC A 0–2 L
22 Dec Newcastle United Jets FC H 3–1 W
15 Dec Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
10 Dec Brisbane Roar FC H 0–2 L
04 Dec Macarthur FC A 3–4 L
26 Nov Western United FC A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Adelaide United FC
#4 Position #2
40 Points 43
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
44 Scored 46
33 Conceded 36
+11 GD +10
1.54 PPG 1.65
42% Win % 46%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Melbourne Victory FC welcome Adelaide United FC for this crunch clash at AAMI Park.
  • 5' Adelaide United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fabian Monge made 210 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 45' Ryan Teague has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 46' Johnny Yull makes way for Luke Duzel at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Adelaide United FC.
  • 51' Adelaide United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 56' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Fabian Monge by Jake Brimmer on 56 minute.
  • 57' Luka Jovanovic makes way for Nestor Irankunda at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from Adelaide United FC.
  • 62' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alexandar Popovic on 62 minutes.
  • 67' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Adelaide United FC backline.
  • 68' Javi Lopez is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
  • 71' Isaias Sanchez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Zinedine Machach makes it 1-0.
  • 74' The Adelaide United FC manager makes a substitution. Javi Lopez departs to be replaced by Giuseppe Bovalina.
  • 76' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Daniel Arzani trudges off to be replaced by Ben Folami on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Adelaide United FC is showing some good football. However, Adelaide United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 82' It is a substitution in Adelaide United FC team. Isaias Sanchez is replaced by Ethan Alagich on 82 minute.
  • 87' Ryan Kitto has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 88' The referee calls foul for Bruno Fornaroli. He receives a card.
  • 88' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Nishan Velupillay is withdrawn and Eli Adams gets his opportunity.
  • 90' What a strike from Bruno Fornaroli! The score is 2-0.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Melbourne Victory FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tony Popović

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Bruno Fornaroli 6
Marco Rojas 4
Craig Goodwin 4
Besart Berisha 3
Hiroshi Ibusuki 3
Stefan Mauk 3
Ola Toivonen 2
Leroy George 2

Head to Head

2023-12-30 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC 2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-01-14 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2022-11-11 Adelaide United FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2023-12-30 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC W 2023-12-23 Melbourne City FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2023-12-16 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Sydney FC W 2023-12-10 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 3–4 Melbourne Victory FC W 2023-12-03 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC D 2023-11-24 Macarthur FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D

Adelaide United FC Form

2023-12-30 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC L 2023-12-22 Adelaide United FC 3–1 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2023-12-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 1–0 Adelaide United FC L 2023-12-10 Adelaide United FC 0–2 Brisbane Roar FC L 2023-12-04 Macarthur FC 4–3 Adelaide United FC L 2023-11-26 Western United FC 1–3 Adelaide United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.84 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC54% Draw24% Adelaide United FC22%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
46%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC38% Draw43% Adelaide United FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.