Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Elder
- Referee Lara Lee
24 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 4.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Dec | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Dec | Sydney FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 03 Dec | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Nov | Macarthur FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Dec | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Dec | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Dec | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Dec | Macarthur FC | A | 3–4 | L |
| 26 Nov | Western United FC | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 44 | Scored | 46 |
| 33 | Conceded | 36 |
| +11 | GD | +10 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 42% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at AAMI Park as Melbourne Victory FC face off against Adelaide United FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' France international Damien da Silva has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' Adelaide United FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 3 meetings.
- 15' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 20' The travelling Adelaide United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Adelaide United FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
- 30' Adelaide United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 35' Adelaide United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' Luke Duzel gets the nod from Adelaide United FC. He replaces Johnny Yull and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 56' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Fabian Monge by Jake Brimmer on 56 minute.
- 57' The crowd applauds Luka Jovanovic as he leaves the pitch. Nestor Irankunda steps in for Adelaide United FC.
- 62' Alexandar Popovic catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 62.
- 67' Javi Lopez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Melbourne Victory FC so far.
- 68' A meaty challenge results in booking for Javi Lopez on 68.
- 71' That is a card for Adelaide United FC. Isaias Sanchez will be fuming at that decision.
- 73' Assisted by Nishan Velupillay with the perfectly-timed delivery and Zinedine Machach makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 74' Adelaide United FC make a change. Javi Lopez trudges off to be replaced by Giuseppe Bovalina on 74 minutes.
- 76' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Ben Folami comes on to replace Daniel Arzani.
- 81' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 82' The crowd applauds Isaias Sanchez as he leaves the pitch. Ethan Alagich steps in for Adelaide United FC.
- 87' It looks surprising Adelaide United FC does not make any changes. Nestor Irankunda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 88' Bruno Fornaroli catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
- 88' Eli Adams gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Nishan Velupillay and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Bruno Fornaroli makes it 2-0.
- Full Time. Melbourne Victory FC beats Adelaide United FC
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 8
- 20
- 21
-
19
Daniel Arzani ↓ Ben Folami 76'
- 10
- 14
- 12
- 2
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Eli Adams 88'
-
18
Fabian Monge ↓ Jake Brimmer 56'
Bench
-
11
Ben Folami ↑ 76'
- 16
-
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 56'
-
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 88'
-
24
Eli Adams ↑ 88'
- 40
- 28
Coach
Tony Popović
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
-
10
Zach Clough ↓ Bernardo Oliveira 82'
-
21
Javi Lopez ↓ Giuseppe Bovalina 74'
- 4
- 46
- 7
-
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↓ Ben Halloran 57'
-
8
Isaias Sanchez ↓ Ethan Alagich 82'
- 41
- 17
-
37
Johnny Yull ↓ Luke Duzel 46'
Bench
-
26
Ben Halloran ↑ 57'
- 1
-
23
Luke Duzel ↑ 46'
-
66
Nestor Irankunda ↑ 57'
-
55
Ethan Alagich ↑ 82'
-
31
Bernardo Oliveira ↑ 82'
-
43
Giuseppe Bovalina ↑ 74'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 6 |
| Marco Rojas | 4 |
| Craig Goodwin | 4 |
| Besart Berisha | 3 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 3 |
| Stefan Mauk | 3 |
| Ola Toivonen | 2 |
| Leroy George | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2023-12-30
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Adelaide United FC
W
2023-12-23
Melbourne City FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2023-12-16
Melbourne Victory FC
3–0
Sydney FC
W
2023-12-10
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
3–4
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2023-12-03
Central Coast Mariners FC
2–2
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2023-11-24
Macarthur FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
Adelaide United FC Form
2023-12-30
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2023-12-22
Adelaide United FC
3–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
2023-12-15
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
1–0
Adelaide United FC
L
2023-12-10
Adelaide United FC
0–2
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2023-12-04
Macarthur FC
4–3
Adelaide United FC
L
2023-11-26
Western United FC
1–3
Adelaide United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.84
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
46%
Melbourne Victory FC or Adelaide United FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 22% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.