Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Adelaide United FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 09:15 UTC Coopers Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Nick Ansell 55' Y

Y 87' Roderick Miranda

Y 90' Paul Izzo

Overview

Match Preview

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Coopers Stadium.

Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Alireza Faghani
Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

20 games this season 🟨 1.4/game ⚽ 6.1 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Adelaide United FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-09 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-12-30 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC 2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-01-14 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–2	L
03 Mar	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–3	L
24 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	1–2	L
17 Feb	Sydney FC	A	1–2	L
09 Feb	Perth Glory FC	H	3–3	D
03 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–4	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Adelaide United FC	A	2–1	W
03 Mar	Brisbane Roar FC	A	2–3	L
25 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–1	L
20 Feb	Western United FC	H	2–1	W
17 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	0–0	D
10 Feb	Macarthur FC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#2	Position	#4
43	Points	40
26	Played	26
12 / 7 / 7	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
46	Scored	44
36	Conceded	33
+10	GD	+11
1.65	PPG	1.54
46%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/–

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Adelaide United FC

Luka Jovanovic	11 G	3 A
Johnny Yull	4 G	5 A
Ethan Alagich	4 G	4 A
Ryan Kitto	3 G	1 A

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Coopers Stadium as Adelaide United FC face off against Melbourne Victory FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Nick Ansell is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tony Popović might look to freshen things up shortly.
15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jordi Valadon, as he is very good at scoring at Coopers Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
20' The 30-year-old Zinedine Machach has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
25' Adelaide United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Melbourne Victory FC backline.
30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
33' Bruno Fornaroli doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
43' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
46' Another substitution for Adelaide United FC to replace Austin Ayoubi by Nestor Irankunda on 46 minute.
51' Nestor Irankunda doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
55' Adelaide United FC player sees a card in front of him.
57' Bruno Fornaroli has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 57 minutes.
62' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
67' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Jordi Valadon on, Jake Brimmer off on 67 minutes.
68' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Salim Khelifi departs to be replaced by Daniel Arzani.
73' Adelaide United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
74' Luka Jovanovic makes way for Hiroshi Ibusuki at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Adelaide United FC.
77' Roly Bonevacia gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Fabian Monge and will look to change the dynamic.
78' Adelaide United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Johnny Yull is hanging Ethan Alagich on the field on 78 minute.
83' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
84' The supporters are chanting for Kasey Bos. He replaces Jason Geria on 84 minute.
87' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Roderick Miranda gets a card.
90' Paul Izzo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
90' The whistle greets Ryan Tunnicliffe as he departs to be replaced by Luke Duzel.
Another three points for Melbourne Victory FC.

Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

26
Ben Halloran ↑ 46'
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↑ 74'
23
Luke Duzel ↑ 90'
66
Nestor Irankunda ↑ 46'
40
Ethan Cox
51
Panagiotis Kikianis
37
Johnny Yull ↑ 78'

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 84'
–
Roly Bonevacia ↑ 77'
7
Chris Ikonomidis
19
Daniel Arzani ↑ 68'
40
Christian Siciliano
27
Jordi Valadon ↑ 67'
37
Kasey Bos ↑ 84'

Coach Tony Popović

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Marco Rojas	4
Craig Goodwin	4
Stefan Mauk	3
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Vince Lia	2
Ola Toivonen	2

Head to Head

Adelaide United FC Form

2024-03-09 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-03-03 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–2 Adelaide United FC L 2024-02-24 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2024-02-17 Sydney FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2024-02-09 Adelaide United FC 3–3 Perth Glory FC D 2024-02-03 Adelaide United FC 0–4 Central Coast Mariners FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-03-09 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-02-25 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2024-02-20 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Western United FC W 2024-02-17 Melbourne City FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-02-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Macarthur FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.5 Adelaide United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.72 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Adelaide United FC32% Draw26% Melbourne Victory FC42%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.22

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw

58%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

68%

Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Adelaide United FC26% Draw43% Melbourne Victory FC31%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.4%

2 – 2

6.4%

0 – 1

6.2%

0 – 2

5.9%

0 – 0

5.6%

1 – 0

5.3%

1 – 3

4.9%

2 – 0

4.5%

3 – 1

3.7%

2 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap	Adelaide United FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	17%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	19%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.