Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Adelaide United FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 09:15 UTC Coopers Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Nick Ansell 55' Y

Y 87' Roderick Miranda

Y 90' Paul Izzo

Overview

Match Preview

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Coopers Stadium.

Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Alireza Faghani
Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

19 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Adelaide United FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-09 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-12-30 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Adelaide United FC 2023-11-04 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2023-01-14 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–2	L
03 Mar	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–3	L
24 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	1–2	L
17 Feb	Sydney FC	A	1–2	L
09 Feb	Perth Glory FC	H	3–3	D
03 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–4	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Adelaide United FC	A	2–1	W
03 Mar	Brisbane Roar FC	A	2–3	L
25 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–1	L
20 Feb	Western United FC	H	2–1	W
17 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	0–0	D
10 Feb	Macarthur FC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#2	Position	#4
43	Points	40
26	Played	26
12 / 7 / 7	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
46	Scored	44
36	Conceded	33
+10	GD	+11
1.65	PPG	1.54
46%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/–

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Adelaide United FC

Luka Jovanovic	11 G	3 A
Johnny Yull	4 G	5 A
Ethan Alagich	4 G	4 A
Ryan Kitto	3 G	1 A

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC is underway.
5' Nishan Velupillay has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
10' Adelaide United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
15' It looks like no one’s ball. Adelaide United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
20' Adelaide United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
25' Jordi Valadon is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Adelaide United FC so far.
30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
33' The Australia Bruno Fornaroli breaks the deadlock on 33 minutes. 0-1!
38' Roly Bonevacia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
43' The travelling Melbourne Victory FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
46' Another change for Adelaide United FC made on 46 minute. Austin Ayoubi leaves to be changed by Nestor Irankunda.
51' The deadlock is broken! Nestor Irankunda gets on the scoresheet on 51 minutes.
55' That is a card for Adelaide United FC. Nick Ansell will be fuming at that decision.
57' What a strike from Bruno Fornaroli! The score is 1-2.
62' The 27-year-old Ben Folami has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
67' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Jake Brimmer is replaced by Jordi Valadon.
68' Daniel Arzani has so much to prove this time. He replaces Salim Khelifi on 68 minute.
73' Adelaide United FC have won 368 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
74' Hiroshi Ibusuki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luka Jovanovic on 74 minute.
77' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Fabian Monge trudges off to be replaced by Roly Bonevacia on 77 minutes.
78' The whistle greets Ethan Alagich as he departs to be replaced by Johnny Yull.
83' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
84' Jason Geria makes way for Kasey Bos at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
87' Poor challenge from Roderick Miranda. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
90' Melbourne Victory FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
90' Time for substitution for Adelaide United FC. Ryan Tunnicliffe is replaced by Luke Duzel.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Adelaide United FC 1-2 Melbourne Victory FC.

Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

26
Ben Halloran ↑ 46'
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↑ 74'
23
Luke Duzel ↑ 90'
66
Nestor Irankunda ↑ 46'
40
Ethan Cox
51
Panagiotis Kikianis
37
Johnny Yull ↑ 78'

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Ben Folami ↑ 84'
–
Roly Bonevacia ↑ 77'
7
Chris Ikonomidis
19
Daniel Arzani ↑ 68'
40
Christian Siciliano
27
Jordi Valadon ↑ 67'
37
Kasey Bos ↑ 84'

Coach Tony Popović

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	6
Marco Rojas	4
Craig Goodwin	4
Besart Berisha	3
Hiroshi Ibusuki	3
Stefan Mauk	3
Ola Toivonen	2
Leroy George	2

Head to Head

Adelaide United FC Form

2024-03-09 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-03-03 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–2 Adelaide United FC L 2024-02-24 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2024-02-17 Sydney FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2024-02-09 Adelaide United FC 3–3 Perth Glory FC D 2024-02-03 Adelaide United FC 0–4 Central Coast Mariners FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-03-09 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-02-25 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2024-02-20 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Western United FC W 2024-02-17 Melbourne City FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-02-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Macarthur FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.5 Adelaide United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.72 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Adelaide United FC32% Draw26% Melbourne Victory FC42%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.22

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw

58%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

68%

Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Adelaide United FC26% Draw43% Melbourne Victory FC31%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.4%

2 – 2

6.4%

0 – 1

6.2%

0 – 2

5.9%

0 – 0

5.6%

1 – 0

5.3%

1 – 3

4.9%

2 – 0

4.5%

3 – 1

3.7%

2 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap	Adelaide United FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	17%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	19%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.