Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2023-24
Sat 9 Mar 2024 · 09:15 UTC Coopers Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Adelaide United FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Coopers Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Alireza Faghani
  • Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)
7 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar Adelaide United FC A 2–1 W
03 Mar Brisbane Roar FC A 2–3 L
25 Feb Central Coast Mariners FC H 0–1 L
20 Feb Western United FC H 2–1 W
17 Feb Melbourne City FC A 0–0 D
10 Feb Macarthur FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC Melbourne Victory FC
#2 Position #4
43 Points 40
26 Played 26
12 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
46 Scored 44
36 Conceded 33
+10 GD +11
1.65 PPG 1.54
46% Win % 42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Coopers Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Adelaide United FC and Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 5' Salim Khelifi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Nick Ansell is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
  • 25' Melbourne Victory FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' Adelaide United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 33' Bruno Fornaroli doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Melbourne Victory FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
  • 43' Melbourne Victory FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' Another substitution for Adelaide United FC to replace Austin Ayoubi by Nestor Irankunda on 46 minute.
  • 51' Nestor Irankunda adds to his 1 season tally! Adelaide United FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 55' The referee calls foul for Nick Ansell. He receives a card.
  • 57' The deadlock is broken! Bruno Fornaroli gets on the scoresheet on 57 minutes.
  • 62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Jake Brimmer is replaced by Jordi Valadon.
  • 68' Daniel Arzani is ready to make an impact after coming on for Salim Khelifi at the 68 minute mark.
  • 73' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 73.
  • 74' Luka Jovanovic makes way for Hiroshi Ibusuki at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Adelaide United FC.
  • 77' Fabian Monge makes way for Roly Bonevacia at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 78' Johnny Yull gets the nod from Adelaide United FC. He replaces Ethan Alagich and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 84' Jason Geria makes way for Kasey Bos at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 87' Roderick Miranda catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 87.
  • 90' Melbourne Victory FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Another substitution for Adelaide United FC to replace Ryan Tunnicliffe by Luke Duzel on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Melbourne Victory FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Adelaide United FC32% Draw26% Melbourne Victory FC42%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
68%
Adelaide United FC or Melbourne Victory FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC26% Draw43% Melbourne Victory FC31%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 2
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap Adelaide United FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 17% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 19% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.