Wednesday , 15 July 2026

KKS Lech Poznań vs FK Crvena Zvezda, Champions League Q 2025 ROUND 3

Wed 6 Aug 2025 · 18:30 UTC Stadion Poznan HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

KKS Lech Poznań vs FK Crvena ZvezdaChampions League Q at Stadion Poznan.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
5 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.4 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
KKS Lech Poznań 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals FK Crvena Zvezda

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–3 L
30 Jul Breidablik UBK A 1–0 W
22 Jul Breidablik UBK H 7–1 W
12 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK A 1–5 L
05 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–0 W
10 Dec Rangers FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Aug KKS Lech Poznań A 3–1 W
29 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC H 5–1 W
22 Jul Lincoln Red Imps FC A 1–0 W
29 Jan BSC Young Boys A 1–0 W
21 Jan PSV H 2–3 L
11 Dec AC Milan A 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stadion Poznan that hosts another battle between KKS Lech Poznan and FK Crvena Zvezda.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Crvena Zvezda winning 50% of all matches.
  • 9' GOAL! Rade Krunic scores on 9.
  • 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bruno Duarte suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' KKS Lech Poznan receives a card for a hard tackle on 19.
  • 21' FK Crvena Zvezda player sees a card in front of him.
  • 26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
  • 34' Goal! Mikael Ishak scores his 24 goal in 105 matches.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 44' FK Crvena Zvezda started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
  • 46' Another substitution for FK Crvena Zvezda to replace Milson by Shavy Warren Babicka on 46 minute.
  • 51' Goal! Rade Krunic scores his 13 goal in 380 matches.
  • 56' Filip Jagiello needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Yellow cards this season.
  • 61' FK Crvena Zvezda is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 64' The KKS Lech Poznan manager makes a substitution. Leo Bengtsson departs to be replaced by Pablo Rodriguez Delgado.
  • 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. KKS Lech Poznan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 71' It is a substitution in KKS Lech Poznan team. Antoni Kozubal is replaced by Gisli THordarson on 71 minute.
  • 73' Goal! Bruno Duarte scores his 39 goal in 394 matches.
  • 76' Time for substitution for FK Crvena Zvezda. Mirko Ivanic is replaced by Peter Olayinka.
  • 79' Another change for FK Crvena Zvezda made on 79 minute. Bruno Duarte leaves to be changed by Aleksandar Katai.
  • 82' The whistle greets Joel Pereira as he departs to be replaced by Robert Gumny.
  • 87' FK Crvena Zvezda looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Rade Krunic scoring 2 goals.
  • The final score is 1-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.35 KKS Lech Poznań xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
I would bet for: KKS Lech Poznań or FK Crvena Zvezda 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KKS Lech Poznań31% Draw27% FK Crvena Zvezda42%
Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

KKS Lech Poznań or Draw
58%
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda
69%
KKS Lech Poznań or FK Crvena Zvezda
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
KKS Lech Poznań24% Draw44% FK Crvena Zvezda32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — KKS Lech Poznań

Handicap KKS Lech Poznań covers Push FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

KKS Lech Poznań keeps clean sheet
20%
FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.