Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Heart of Midlothian FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Aberdeen FC

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC — Premier League .

Heart of Midlothian FC 7 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Aberdeen FC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kevin Clancy

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	7	18
2	Rangers FC	7	16
3	Heart of Midlothian FC	7	13
4	Dundee FC	7	10
5	St. Mirren FC	7	10
6	St. Johnstone FC	7	8
7	Aberdeen FC	7	8
8	Motherwell FC	7	8
9	Dundee United FC	7	8
10	Hibernian FC	7	7
11	Falkirk FC	7	6
12	Kilmarnock FC	7	5

Head-to-Head

Heart of Midlothian FC 25 games · Avg 2.6 goals Aberdeen FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Aberdeen FC 2025-11-23 Aberdeen FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2025-08-04 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–0 Aberdeen FC 2025-01-12 Aberdeen FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-12-01 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Aberdeen FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Aberdeen FC	H	1–0	W
21 Feb	Falkirk FC	H	1–0	W
15 Feb	Rangers FC	A	2–4	L
10 Feb	Hibernian FC	H	1–0	W
03 Feb	St. Mirren FC	A	0–1	L
31 Jan	Dundee United FC	A	3–0	W

Aberdeen FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	0–1	L
24 Feb	Dundee United FC	A	0–0	D
21 Feb	Dundee FC	H	2–3	L
15 Feb	Motherwell FC	A	0–2	L
31 Jan	Kilmarnock FC	A	0–3	L
24 Jan	Livingston FC	H	6–2	W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC		Aberdeen FC
#3	Position	#7
13	Points	8
7	Played	7
4 / 1 / 2	W / D / L	2 / 2 / 3
14	Scored	7
8	Conceded	8
+6	GD	-1
1.86	PPG	1.14
57%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season

29% Clean Sheets
Aberdeen FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). Aberdeen FC are 7th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

2/1

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Aberdeen FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/3

46-60

1/1

61-75

–/2

76+

4/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC

James Wilson	3 G
Claudio Braga	2 G	2 A
Joshua McPake	1 G	1 A
Calvin Miller	1 G
Tom Renaud	1 G

Aberdeen FC

Kevin Nisbet	3 G	2 A
Lewis Mayo	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Heart of Midlothian FC to score. At the same time, Aberdeen FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Heart of Midlothian FC players.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Aberdeen FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lawrence Shankland	5
Sam Cosgrove	4
Duk	3
Josh Ginnelly	3
Michael Smith	2
Liam Boyce	2
Matthew Pollock	2
John Souttar	2

Head to Head

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2026-02-28 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Aberdeen FC W 2026-02-21 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Falkirk FC W 2026-02-15 Rangers FC 4–2 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2026-02-10 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Hibernian FC W 2026-02-03 St. Mirren FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2026-01-31 Dundee United FC 0–3 Heart of Midlothian FC W

Aberdeen FC Form

2026-02-28 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Aberdeen FC L 2026-02-24 Dundee United FC 0–0 Aberdeen FC D 2026-02-21 Aberdeen FC 2–3 Dundee FC L 2026-02-15 Motherwell FC 2–0 Aberdeen FC L 2026-01-31 Kilmarnock FC 3–0 Aberdeen FC L 2026-01-24 Aberdeen FC 6–2 Livingston FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.56 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.51 Aberdeen FC xG

I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 67% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC61% Draw26% Aberdeen FC13%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes33% 0% No67%

Avg goals/match: 2.07

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw

87%

Draw or Aberdeen FC

39%

Heart of Midlothian FC or Aberdeen FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Heart of Midlothian FC41% Draw51% Aberdeen FC8%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

14.8%

0 – 0

14.8%

1 – 1

10.7%

2 – 1

7.7%

3 – 0

7.6%

0 – 1

5.4%

3 – 1

4.1%

4 – 0

1 – 2

2.4%

2 – 2

4 – 1

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap	Heart of Midlothian FC covers	Push	Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	19%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	28%	38%
-0.5	62%	—	38%
+0.5	90%	—	10%
+1	90%	8%	2%
+1.5	98%	—	2%
+2	98%	2%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

60% ✓

Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.