Monday , 31 August 2026

KKS Lech Poznań vs Qarabag Agdam FK, Champions League 2022-23 QUALIFICATION ROUND 1

Tue 5 Jul 2022 · 18:00 UTC INEA Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
1
KKS Lech Poznań 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Qarabag Agdam FK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Qarabag Agdam FK H 1–0 W
10 Dec Rangers FC H 0–2 L
03 Dec Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–4 L
26 Nov Royal Standard de Liege A 1–2 L
05 Nov Royal Standard de Liege H 3–1 W
29 Oct Rangers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul KKS Lech Poznań A 0–1 L
03 Dec Maccabi Tel Aviv FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor H 2–3 L
05 Nov Demir Grup Sivasspor A 0–2 L
29 Oct Villarreal CF H 1–3 L
22 Oct Maccabi Tel Aviv FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to INEA Stadion that hosts another battle between KKS Lech Poznań and Qarabağ Ağdam FK.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kristoffer Velde made 6 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Qarabağ Ağdam FK is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' Elvin Jafarquliyev, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 36' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Richard Almeida on 36 minutes.
  • 41' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 46' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 48' Leandro Andrade catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 48.
  • 53' A quiet spell here at INEA Stadion. KKS Lech Poznań seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 58' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both KKS Lech Poznań and Qarabağ Ağdam FK are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 62' Qarabag Agdam FK make a change. Ibrahima Wadji trudges off to be replaced by Ramil Sheydaev on 62 minutes.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Kristoffer Velde as he leaves the pitch. Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua steps in for KKS Lech Poznan.
  • 68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 73' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gurban Gurbanov will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 78' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 82' The Qarabag Agdam FK bench stirs into life. Elvin Jafarquliyev is withdrawn and Tural Bayramov gets his opportunity.
  • 87' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for KKS Lech Poznań players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 KKS Lech Poznań xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Qarabag Agdam FK xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KKS Lech Poznań51% Draw30% Qarabag Agdam FK19%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznań win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

KKS Lech Poznań or Draw
81%
Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK
49%
KKS Lech Poznań or Qarabag Agdam FK
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KKS Lech Poznań31% Draw55% Qarabag Agdam FK14%
Actual: KKS Lech Poznań win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 2
3.2%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — KKS Lech Poznań

Handicap KKS Lech Poznań covers Push Qarabag Agdam FK covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 26% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

KKS Lech Poznań keeps clean sheet
51%
Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.