Sunday , 26 July 2026

Manchester City FC vs Leeds United FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Leeds United FC H 3–2 W
25 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–2 L
22 Nov Newcastle United FC A 1–2 L
09 Nov Liverpool FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 4–1 W
02 Nov AFC Bournemouth H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Manchester City FC A 2–3 L
23 Nov Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L
09 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 1–3 L
01 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–3 L
24 Oct West Ham United FC H 2–1 W
18 Oct Burnley FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Manchester City FC Leeds United FC
#5 Position #17
78 Points 47
38 Played 38
23 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 11 / 14 / 13
77 Scored 49
35 Conceded 56
+42 GD -7
2.05 PPG 1.24
61% Win % 29%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Manchester City FC are 5th (78 pts). Leeds United FC are 17th (47 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

Leeds United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.86 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Manchester City FC to win 73% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC73% Draw16% Leeds United FC11%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Leeds United FC
27%
Manchester City FC or Leeds United FC
84%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC56% Draw33% Leeds United FC11%
Actual: Manchester City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.3%
3 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.9%
1 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.3%
4 – 0
6%
4 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual
5 – 0
3.5%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 35% 65%
-2 35% 21% 44%
-1.5 56% 44%
-1 56% 20% 25%
-0.5 75% 25%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.