Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 11 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 53,717 HT 45' · FT 45'
Rafael Leao 42' 1–0
1–1 67' Nemanja Radonjic
Tammy Abraham 87' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda — Champions League at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
5 games this season 🟨 5.6/game ⚽ 13.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 2–1 W
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Empoli FC H 3–0 W
26 Nov SK Slovan Bratislava A 3–2 W
23 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
09 Nov Cagliari Calcio A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec AC Milan A 1–2 L
27 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 5–1 W
06 Nov FC Barcelona H 2–5 L
22 Oct AS Monaco FC A 1–5 L
01 Oct FC Internazionale Milano A 0–4 L
19 Sep Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Giuseppe Meazza!
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Emerson Royal is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 10' Timi Elsnik, a Slovenia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' The 33-year-old Alvaro Morata has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Rafael Leao has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 27' The crowd applauds Ruben Loftus-Cheek as he leaves the pitch. Samuel Chukwueze steps in for AC Milan.
  • 29' AC Milan ring the changes. Alvaro Morata has done his job and it is now time for Tammy Abraham to step up.
  • 33' That looks like a foul for a card for Yunus Musah.
  • 38' Ivan Gutesa has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 42' A stunning finish from Rafael Leao — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 45' Theo Hernandez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 46' The FK Crvena Zvezda bench stirs into life. Milson is withdrawn and Mirko Ivanic gets his opportunity.
  • 51' FK Crvena Zvezda come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 60' Nemanja Radonjic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ognjen Mimovic on 60 minute.
  • 65' A quiet spell here at Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 67' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nemanja Radonjic makes it 1-1.
  • 72' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paulo Fonseca will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 75' Time for substitution for FK Crvena Zvezda. Davide Calabria is replaced by Guelor Kanga.
  • 79' Fikayo Tomori catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
  • 81' It’s gonna be a card for Nasser Djiga.
  • 83' AC Milan make a change. Yunus Musah trudges off to be replaced by Emerson Royal on 83 minutes.
  • 87' The England Tammy Abraham breaks the deadlock on 87 minutes. 2-1!
  • 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Vujadin Savic.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.82 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan57% Draw24% FK Crvena Zvezda19%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda
43%
AC Milan or FK Crvena Zvezda
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan39% Draw45% FK Crvena Zvezda16%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 23% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.