Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 11 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 53,717 HT 45' · FT 45'
Rafael Leao 42' 1–0
1–1 67' Nemanja Radonjic
Tammy Abraham 87' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda — Champions League at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 6.3/game ⚽ 18.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 2–1 W
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Empoli FC H 3–0 W
26 Nov SK Slovan Bratislava A 3–2 W
23 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
09 Nov Cagliari Calcio A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec AC Milan A 1–2 L
27 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 5–1 W
06 Nov FC Barcelona H 2–5 L
22 Oct AS Monaco FC A 1–5 L
01 Oct FC Internazionale Milano A 0–4 L
19 Sep Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. FK Crvena Zvezda kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Bosnia-Herzegovina international Rade Krunic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' It’s high time Vladan Milojevic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 526 games and scored 619 goals.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 27' Samuel Chukwueze is replacing Ruben Loftus-Cheek for the AC Milan side.
  • 29' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Alvaro Morata is withdrawn and Tammy Abraham gets his opportunity.
  • 33' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 33.
  • 38' Ivan Gutesa has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 247 appearances.
  • 42' Assisted by Youssouf Fofana with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rafael Leao makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Theo Hernandez.
  • 46' Milson makes way for Mirko Ivanic at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Crvena Zvezda.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Young-woo Seol suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 60' FK Crvena Zvezda ring the changes. Ognjen Mimovic has done his job and it is now time for Nemanja Radonjic to step up.
  • 65' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 67' A goal from the Serbia international Nemanja Radonjic! He fires home on 67 to make it 1-1!
  • 72' Ognjen Mimovic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 75' The FK Crvena Zvezda bench stirs into life. Davide Calabria is withdrawn and Guelor Kanga gets his opportunity.
  • 79' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Fikayo Tomori gets a card.
  • 81' A moment of madness from Nasser Djiga on 81 minutes earns him a card. FK Crvena Zvezda will be frustrated.
  • 83' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Emerson Royal comes on to replace Yunus Musah.
  • 87' A goal from the England international Tammy Abraham! He fires home on 87 to make it 2-1!
  • 89' FK Crvena Zvezda receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
  • With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.82 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan57% Draw24% FK Crvena Zvezda19%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda
43%
AC Milan or FK Crvena Zvezda
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan39% Draw45% FK Crvena Zvezda16%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 23% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.