Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 11 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 53,717 HT 45' · FT 45'
Rafael Leao 42' 1–0
1–1 67' Nemanja Radonjic
Tammy Abraham 87' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs FK Crvena ZvezdaChampions League at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 2–1 W
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Empoli FC H 3–0 W
26 Nov SK Slovan Bratislava A 3–2 W
23 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
09 Nov Cagliari Calcio A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec AC Milan A 1–2 L
27 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 5–1 W
06 Nov FC Barcelona H 2–5 L
22 Oct AS Monaco FC A 1–5 L
01 Oct FC Internazionale Milano A 0–4 L
19 Sep Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: AC Milan gets underway.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Timi Elsnik suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' It looks surprising FK Crvena Zvezda does not make any changes. Yunus Musah has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 27' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Samuel Chukwueze is hanging Ruben Loftus-Cheek on the field on 27 minute.
  • 29' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Alvaro Morata is replaced by Tammy Abraham.
  • 33' That looks like a foul for a card for Yunus Musah.
  • 38' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 42' Goal! Rafael Leao scores his 78 goal in 466 matches.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Theo Hernandez.
  • 46' Mirko Ivanic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Milson on 46 minute.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tijjani Reijnders made 300 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' FK Crvena Zvezda started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 60' FK Crvena Zvezda manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nemanja Radonjic is hanging Ognjen Mimovic on the field on 60 minute.
  • 65' Youssouf Fofana has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 67' What an equalizer from Nemanja Radonjic!
  • 72' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 75' Another change for FK Crvena Zvezda made on 75 minute. Davide Calabria leaves to be changed by Guelor Kanga.
  • 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Fikayo Tomori on 79.
  • 81' Nasser Djiga was booked on 81.
  • 83' Emerson Royal has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yunus Musah on 83 minute.
  • 87' GOAL! Tammy Abraham scores on 87.
  • 89' FK Crvena Zvezda receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
  • Another three points for AC Milan.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.82 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan57% Draw24% FK Crvena Zvezda19%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda
43%
AC Milan or FK Crvena Zvezda
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan39% Draw45% FK Crvena Zvezda16%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 23% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38%
FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.