Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs FK Crvena Zvezda, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 11 Dec 2024 · 20:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 53,717 HT 45' · FT 45'
Rafael Leao 42' 1–0
1–1 67' Nemanja Radonjic
Tammy Abraham 87' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs FK Crvena ZvezdaChampions League at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec FK Crvena Zvezda H 2–1 W
06 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
30 Nov Empoli FC H 3–0 W
26 Nov SK Slovan Bratislava A 3–2 W
23 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
09 Nov Cagliari Calcio A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Dec AC Milan A 1–2 L
27 Nov VfB Stuttgart H 5–1 W
06 Nov FC Barcelona H 2–5 L
22 Oct AS Monaco FC A 1–5 L
01 Oct FC Internazionale Milano A 0–4 L
19 Sep Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 1–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Giuseppe Meazza as AC Milan face off against FK Crvena Zvezda in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Ruben Loftus-Cheek, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' FK Crvena Zvezda come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 27' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Ruben Loftus-Cheek is replaced by Samuel Chukwueze on 27 minute.
  • 29' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Alvaro Morata is withdrawn and Tammy Abraham gets his opportunity.
  • 33' A moment of madness from Yunus Musah on 33 minutes earns him a card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
  • 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 42' GOAL! Rafael Leao fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 45' Theo Hernandez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 46' It is a substitution in FK Crvena Zvezda team. Milson is replaced by Mirko Ivanic on 46 minute.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Emerson Royal suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' Nasser Djiga needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Nemanja Radonjic. He replaces Ognjen Mimovic on 60 minute.
  • 65' The 33-year-old Alvaro Morata has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 67' Nemanja Radonjic adds to his 0 season tally! FK Crvena Zvezda lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 72' It’s high time Vladan Milojevic made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 75' Another change for FK Crvena Zvezda made on 75 minute. Davide Calabria leaves to be changed by Guelor Kanga.
  • 79' That looks like a foul for a card for Fikayo Tomori.
  • 81' It’s a booking for FK Crvena Zvezda player. Nasser Djiga gets a card.
  • 83' A tactical swap from AC MilanEmerson Royal on, Yunus Musah off on 83 minutes.
  • 87' AC Milan is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tammy Abraham on 87.
  • 89' The referee calls foul for Vujadin Savic. He receives a card.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.82 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 FK Crvena Zvezda xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan57% Draw24% FK Crvena Zvezda19%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
81%
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda
43%
AC Milan or FK Crvena Zvezda
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan39% Draw45% FK Crvena Zvezda16%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push FK Crvena Zvezda covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 23% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38%
FK Crvena Zvezda keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.