Friday , 11 September 2026

Gremio FBPA vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC Arena do Gremio

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs CR Vasco da GamaSerie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Sep EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
30 Aug Chapecoense AF H 3–1 W
23 Aug RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
16 Aug CA Mineiro A 0–3 L
08 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
26 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
30 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 3–1 W
23 Aug SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
16 Aug Santos FC H 0–3 L
09 Aug EC Bahia A 0–0 D
25 Jul Mirassol FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA CR Vasco da Gama
#15 Position #18
28 Points 25
25 Played 25
7 / 7 / 11 W / D / L 6 / 7 / 12
27 Scored 27
33 Conceded 40
-6 GD -13
1.12 PPG 1.00
28% Win % 24%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
16% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts). CR Vasco da Gama are 18th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/7
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
2/6
76+
7/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 4 G 2 A
Thiago Mendes 3 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

H2H

Predictions

1.63 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

Grêmio FBPA52% Draw27% CR Vasco da Gama21%

Both Teams to Score

Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.56

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
78%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
48%
Grêmio FBPA or CR Vasco da Gama
73%

Half-Time Result

Grêmio FBPA36% Draw47% CR Vasco da Gama17%

Correct Score

1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
11.7%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
40%
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.