Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
2 – 2
Full Time
Grêmio FBPA
Sun 9 Nov 2025 · 23:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Emanuel Britez 9' Y
Y 44' Erick Noriega
Y 59' Gustavo Cuellar
Bruno Pacheco 62' Y
Y 64' Walter Kannemann
Y 71' Edenilson
Matheus Rossetto 83' Y
Adam Bareiro 90' Y
Matheus Pereira 90' R

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

3
6
3
Fortaleza EC 12 games · Avg 1.8 goals Grêmio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-09 Fortaleza EC 2–2 Grêmio FBPA 2025-07-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-10-05 Grêmio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Grêmio FBPA H 2–2 D
06 Nov Ceará SC A 1–1 D
01 Nov Santos FC A 1–1 D
25 Oct CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
19 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D
05 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 0–1 L
02 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–2 L
26 Oct EC Juventude H 3–1 W
19 Oct EC Bahia A 0–4 L
16 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Grêmio FBPA gets underway.
  • 5' Goal! Adam Bareiro scores his 20 goal in 169 matches.
  • 9' Emanuel Britez is having his name booked by the referee on 9.
  • 14' What a strike from Carlos Vinicius! The score is 1-1.
  • 19' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joao Lucas made 382 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 24' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Alysson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 29' Fortaleza EC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 32' Goal! Marlon scores his 8 goal in 386 matches.
  • 37' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 42' Gaston Avila needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 44' The referee calls foul for Erick Noriega. He receives a card.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Matheus Pereira. He replaces Lucas Sasha on 46 minute.
  • 51' Gustavo Martins has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andre suffering a number of foals already.
  • 59' The referee calls foul for Gustavo Cuellar. He receives a card.
  • 61' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 61 minute. Carlos Vinicius leaves to be changed by Andre.
  • 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Bruno Pacheco.
  • 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Walter Kannemann on 64.
  • 65' What a strike from Matheus Pereira! The score is 2-2.
  • 68' The whistle greets Gustavo Cuellar as he departs to be replaced by Dodi.
  • 71' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Edenilson gets a card.
  • 76' The travelling Grêmio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Alexander Aravena. He replaces Francis Amuzu on 79 minute.
  • 82' Matheus Rossetto is replacing Pierre for the Fortaleza EC side.
  • 83' It’s gonna be a card for Matheus Rossetto.
  • 88' Grêmio FBPA is showing some good football. However, Grêmio FBPA are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 89' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Deyverson is hanging Breno Lopes on the field on 89 minute.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Adam Bareiro gets a card.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Martin Palermo

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Martin Braithwaite 3
Pepe 2
Osvaldo 2
Yeferson Soteldo 1
Gabriel Dias 1
Alexander Aravena 1
Paulo Miranda 1
Hercules 1

Head to Head

2025-11-09 Fortaleza EC 2–2 Grêmio FBPA 2025-07-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-10-05 Grêmio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA

Fortaleza EC Form

2025-11-09 Fortaleza EC 2–2 Grêmio FBPA D 2025-11-06 Ceará SC 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2025-11-01 Santos FC 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2025-10-25 Fortaleza EC 1–0 CR Flamengo W 2025-10-19 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Fortaleza EC L 2025-10-16 Fortaleza EC 0–2 CR Vasco da Gama L

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-11-09 Fortaleza EC 2–2 Grêmio FBPA D 2025-11-05 Grêmio FBPA 0–1 Cruzeiro EC L 2025-11-02 SC Corinthians Paulista 2–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-10-26 Grêmio FBPA 3–1 EC Juventude W 2025-10-19 EC Bahia 4–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-10-16 Grêmio FBPA 2–0 Sao Paulo FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.48 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Grêmio FBPA 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC42% Draw28% Grêmio FBPA30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
70%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
58%
Fortaleza EC or Grêmio FBPA
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC31% Draw47% Grêmio FBPA22%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.3%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.