Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 16 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio
16 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 10.1 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
05 Oct EC Juventude A 2–1 W
02 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 0–2 L
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
05 Oct EC Vitoria H 4–3 W
01 Oct SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
27 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 2–0 W
24 Sep EC Bahia H 3–1 W
21 Sep CR Flamengo A 1–1 D

Key Stats

10% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/6
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Fortaleza EC and CR Vasco da Gama get this one started.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. CR Vasco da Gama is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Fortaleza EC have won 352 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Matheus Franca has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Fortaleza EC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against CR Vasco da Gama's shape.
  • 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tomas Pochettino is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CR Vasco da Gama.
  • 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gaston Avila on 34.
  • 39' Tche Tche is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fortaleza EC tonight.
  • 40' Hugo Moura is having his name booked by the referee on 40.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Emanuel Britez on 45 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
  • 46' Matheus Rossetto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rodrigo on 46 minute.
  • 48' The referee has no hesitation. Benjamin Kuscevic is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 48.
  • 49' Magnificent from Rayan! That is 20 goals in 296 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 54' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 59' Fortaleza EC is showing some good football. However, Fortaleza EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Adam Bareiro comes on to replace Juan Lucero.
  • 61' Matheus Franca has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nuno Moreira on 61 minute.
  • 66' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CR Vasco da Gama backline.
  • 70' Adam Bareiro was booked on 70.
  • 71' Moises gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Yeison Guzman and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Gaston Avila is replaced by Deyverson.
  • 77' The CR Vasco da Gama manager makes a substitution. Lucas Piton departs to be replaced by Victor Luis.
  • 78' That is a card for Fortaleza EC. Deyverson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 79' Yago Pikachu gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Tomas Pochettino and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. David makes it 0-2.
  • 87' Fortaleza EC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 88' Fresh legs for CR Vasco da Gama! Tucurui comes on to replace Tche Tche.
  • 90' Robert has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: CR Vasco da Gama or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC30% Draw30% CR Vasco da Gama40%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
61%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
70%
Fortaleza EC or CR Vasco da Gama
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC22% Draw51% CR Vasco da Gama27%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.