Saturday , 14 November 2026

Fortaleza EC vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 16 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs CR Vasco da Gama — Serie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio
19 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
05 Oct EC Juventude A 2–1 W
02 Oct São Paulo FC H 0–2 L
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
05 Oct EC Vitoria H 4–3 W
01 Oct SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
27 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 2–0 W
24 Sep EC Bahia H 3–1 W
21 Sep CR Flamengo A 1–1 D

Key Stats

10% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/4
31-45
3/3
46-60
4/8
61-75
6/7
76+
11/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 5 G 3 A
Thiago Mendes 4 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Fortaleza EC and CR Vasco da Gama has kicked off!
  • 5' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Fortaleza EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' Gaston Avila is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CR Vasco da Gama so far.
  • 20' It’s high time Martin Palermo made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 34' Gaston Avila was booked on 34.
  • 39' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 40' That is a card for CR Vasco da Gama. Hugo Moura will be fuming at that decision.
  • 45' Emanuel Britez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Matheus Rossetto on, Rodrigo off on 46 minutes.
  • 48' Benjamin Kuscevic picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 49' What a strike from Rayan! The score is 0-1.
  • 54' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fortaleza EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 59' CR Vasco da Gama come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 60' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Juan Lucero by Adam Bareiro on 60 minute.
  • 61' CR Vasco da Gama manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matheus Franca is hanging Nuno Moreira on the field on 61 minute.
  • 66' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and CR Vasco da Gama are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Adam Bareiro is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 70.
  • 71' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Moises is hanging Yeison Guzman on the field on 71 minute.
  • 72' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Gaston Avila exits the field as Deyverson enters on 72.
  • 77' CR Vasco da Gama make a change. Lucas Piton trudges off to be replaced by Victor Luis on 77 minutes.
  • 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Deyverson on 78 minutes.
  • 79' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Yago Pikachu comes on to replace Tomas Pochettino.
  • 82' What a strike from David! The score is 0-2.
  • 87' With 1 assists to his name this season, Philippe Coutinho is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fortaleza EC.
  • 88' Tche Tche makes way for Tucurui at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from CR Vasco da Gama.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Robert.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: CR Vasco da Gama or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC30% Draw30% CR Vasco da Gama40%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
61%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
70%
Fortaleza EC or CR Vasco da Gama
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC22% Draw51% CR Vasco da Gama27%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.