Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fortaleza EC vs CR Vasco da Gama, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 16 Oct 2025 · 00:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs CR Vasco da GamaSerie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Wilton Pereira Sampaio
15 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 10.3 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
05 Oct EC Juventude A 2–1 W
02 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 0–2 L
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
05 Oct EC Vitoria H 4–3 W
01 Oct SE Palmeiras A 0–3 L
27 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 2–0 W
24 Sep EC Bahia H 3–1 W
21 Sep CR Flamengo A 1–1 D

Key Stats

10% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Thiago Mendes 3 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Castelao that hosts another battle between Fortaleza EC and CR Vasco da Gama.
  • 5' Rayan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brenno Costa, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' The travelling CR Vasco da Gama supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Nuno Moreira needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CR Vasco da Gama that had 287 games and scored 287 goals.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 34' Gaston Avila is having his name booked by the referee on 34.
  • 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Leo Jardim suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' It’s a booking for CR Vasco da Gama player. Hugo Moura gets a card.
  • 45' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 45.
  • 46' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Rodrigo by Matheus Rossetto on 46 minute.
  • 48' Benjamin Kuscevic is having his name booked by the referee on 48.
  • 49' What a strike from Rayan! The score is 0-1.
  • 54' CR Vasco da Gama is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 59' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 60' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Juan Lucero departs to be replaced by Adam Bareiro.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Matheus Franca. He replaces Nuno Moreira on 61 minute.
  • 66' It looks like no one’s ball. CR Vasco da Gama is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 70' Fortaleza EC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 71' The whistle greets Yeison Guzman as he departs to be replaced by Moises.
  • 72' The whistle greets Gaston Avila as he departs to be replaced by Deyverson.
  • 77' Another substitution for CR Vasco da Gama to replace Lucas Piton by Victor Luis on 77 minute.
  • 78' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 78.
  • 79' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 79 minute. Tomas Pochettino leaves to be changed by Yago Pikachu.
  • 82' Goal! David scores his 17 goal in 250 matches.
  • 87' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 88' The supporters are chanting for Tucurui. He replaces Tche Tche on 88 minute.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Robert on 90.
  • Full Time. CR Vasco da Gama beats Fortaleza EC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 CR Vasco da Gama xG
I would bet for: CR Vasco da Gama or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC30% Draw30% CR Vasco da Gama40%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
61%
Draw or CR Vasco da Gama
70%
Fortaleza EC or CR Vasco da Gama
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC22% Draw51% CR Vasco da Gama27%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.6%
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push CR Vasco da Gama covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 21% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30%
CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
36%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.