Cruzeiro EC vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 34 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | SC Recife | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Oct | CR Flamengo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | São Paulo FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | SC Recife | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
10/7
46-60
7/2
61-75
8/2
76+
13/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 14 G | 2 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 9 G | 7 A |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Cruzeiro EC vs Fortaleza EC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Fortaleza EC is showing some good football. However, Fortaleza EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 8' Rodrigo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 8.
- 13' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Romero suffering a number of foals already.
- 18' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cruzeiro EC and Fortaleza EC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 21' What a strike from Christian! The score is 1-0.
- 26' Lucas Villalba catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 26.
- 31' Tomas Pochettino is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cruzeiro EC so far.
- 35' Fortaleza EC player sees a card in front of him.
- 37' That is a card for Fortaleza EC. Tomas Pochettino will be fuming at that decision.
- 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
- 47' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rodrigo, as he is very good at scoring at Mineirao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 51' The referee calls foul for Juan Lucero. He receives a card.
- 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 61' Diogo Barbosa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 63' Cruzeiro EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Carlos Eduardo is hanging Lucas Silva on the field on 63 minute.
- 64' The Cruzeiro EC manager makes a substitution. Kaua Prates departs to be replaced by William.
- 69' Breno Lopes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 37 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
- 73' Fresh legs for Cruzeiro EC! Wanderson comes on to replace Keny Arroyo.
- 74' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Juan Lucero by Kayke on 74 minute.
- 79' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucas Silva made 264 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 81' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 81 minute. Bruno Pacheco leaves to be changed by Diogo Barbosa.
- 84' The Cruzeiro EC bench stirs into life. Matheus Pereira is withdrawn and Yannick Bolasie gets his opportunity.
- 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Gazal on 86.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Cruzeiro EC players.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Carlos Eduardo 63'
- 15
- 10
- 9
- 25
- 88
- 41
-
36
Kaua Prates ↓ William 64'
- 2
-
99
Keny Arroyo ↓ Wanderson 73'
Bench
-
11
Yannick Bolasie ↑ 84'
-
12
William ↑ 64'
-
5
Walace ↑ 84'
-
94
Wanderson ↑ 73'
- 7
- 43
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 63'
- 81
- 77
- 14
- 34
- 20
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Bruno Pacheco ↓ Diogo Barbosa 81'
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↓ Marinho 81'
- 88
- 33
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Kayke 74'
- 26
- 14
- 34
-
80
Jose Herrera ↓ Moises 64'
- 12
- 29
Bench
-
11
Marinho ↑ 81'
- 22
- 20
-
16
Diogo Barbosa ↑ 81'
- 23
- 2
-
96
Moises ↑ 64'
-
30
Pierre ↑ 64'
- 38
-
99
Kayke ↑ 74'
- 28
- 10
Coach
Martin Palermo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andre Luis | 2 |
| Breno Lopes | 1 |
| Sassa | 1 |
| Lucas Silva | 1 |
| Kaio Jorge | 1 |
| Luis Orejuela | 1 |
| Christian | 1 |
| Wellington Paulista | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
78%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
50%
Cruzeiro EC or Fortaleza EC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.1%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

