Saturday , 14 November 2026

Cruzeiro EC vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 19 Oct 2025 · 00:00 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cruzeiro EC vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Mineirao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Fortaleza EC H 1–0 W
16 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
05 Oct SC Recife H 1–1 D
02 Oct CR Flamengo A 0–0 D
27 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 0–2 L
21 Sep RB Bragantino H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
05 Oct EC Juventude A 2–1 W
02 Oct São Paulo FC H 0–2 L
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
21 Sep SE Palmeiras A 1–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/8
31-45
10/7
46-60
7/2
61-75
8/2
76+
13/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
Kaio Jorge 14 G 2 A
Matheus Pereira 9 G 7 A
Christian 5 G 3 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Cruzeiro EC vs Fortaleza EC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Fortaleza EC is showing some good football. However, Fortaleza EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 8' Rodrigo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 8.
  • 13' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Romero suffering a number of foals already.
  • 18' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cruzeiro EC and Fortaleza EC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 21' What a strike from Christian! The score is 1-0.
  • 26' Lucas Villalba catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 26.
  • 31' Tomas Pochettino is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Cruzeiro EC so far.
  • 35' Fortaleza EC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 37' That is a card for Fortaleza EC. Tomas Pochettino will be fuming at that decision.
  • 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
  • 47' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rodrigo, as he is very good at scoring at Mineirao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 51' The referee calls foul for Juan Lucero. He receives a card.
  • 56' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 61' Diogo Barbosa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 63' Cruzeiro EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Carlos Eduardo is hanging Lucas Silva on the field on 63 minute.
  • 64' The Cruzeiro EC manager makes a substitution. Kaua Prates departs to be replaced by William.
  • 69' Breno Lopes has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 37 appearances with only 4 goals this season.
  • 73' Fresh legs for Cruzeiro EC! Wanderson comes on to replace Keny Arroyo.
  • 74' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Juan Lucero by Kayke on 74 minute.
  • 79' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucas Silva made 264 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 81' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 81 minute. Bruno Pacheco leaves to be changed by Diogo Barbosa.
  • 84' The Cruzeiro EC bench stirs into life. Matheus Pereira is withdrawn and Yannick Bolasie gets his opportunity.
  • 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Gazal on 86.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Cruzeiro EC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34 Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cruzeiro EC50% Draw28% Fortaleza EC22%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Cruzeiro EC or Draw
78%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
50%
Cruzeiro EC or Fortaleza EC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cruzeiro EC31% Draw51% Fortaleza EC18%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.1%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC

Handicap Cruzeiro EC covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 24% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.