Cruzeiro EC vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Fortaleza EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | SC Recife | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Oct | CR Flamengo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | SC Recife | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
4/2
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Kaio Jorge | 6 G | |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Matheus Pereira | 5 G | 2 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Mineirao. Cruzeiro EC are looking to make home advantage count against Fortaleza EC.
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 8' Poor challenge from Rodrigo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 13' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 18' Marinho needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 21' GOAL! Christian scores on 21. Assisted by Keny Arroyo
- 26' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Villalba.
- 31' It looks surprising Cruzeiro EC does not make any changes. Rodrigo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 35.
- 37' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 37.
- 42' Argentina international Eros Mancuso has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 47' Cruzeiro EC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fortaleza EC's shape.
- 51' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 51.
- 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cruzeiro EC and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 61' It looks like no one’s ball. Cruzeiro EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 63' The Cruzeiro EC bench stirs into life. Lucas Silva is withdrawn and Carlos Eduardo gets his opportunity.
- 64' The Cruzeiro EC bench stirs into life. Kaua Prates is withdrawn and William gets his opportunity.
- 69' The 20-year-old Kayke has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 73' Wanderson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keny Arroyo on 73 minute.
- 74' Kayke has so much to prove this time. He replaces Juan Lucero on 74 minute.
- 79' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lucas Silva is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cruzeiro EC.
- 81' Diogo Barbosa gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Bruno Pacheco and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Yannick Bolasie. He replaces Matheus Pereira on 84 minute.
- 86' The referee calls foul for Lucas Gazal. He receives a card.
- With this win, Cruzeiro EC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
-
16
Lucas Silva ↓ Carlos Eduardo 63'
- 15
- 10
- 9
- 25
- 88
- 41
-
36
Kaua Prates ↓ William 64'
- 2
-
99
Keny Arroyo ↓ Wanderson 73'
Bench
-
11
Yannick Bolasie ↑ 84'
-
12
William ↑ 64'
-
5
Walace ↑ 84'
-
94
Wanderson ↑ 73'
- 7
- 43
-
21
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 63'
- 81
- 77
- 14
- 34
- 20
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Bruno Pacheco ↓ Diogo Barbosa 81'
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↓ Marinho 81'
- 88
- 33
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Kayke 74'
- 26
- 14
- 34
-
80
Jose Herrera ↓ Moises 64'
- 12
- 29
Bench
-
11
Marinho ↑ 81'
- 22
- 20
-
16
Diogo Barbosa ↑ 81'
- 23
- 2
-
96
Moises ↑ 64'
-
30
Pierre ↑ 64'
- 38
-
99
Kayke ↑ 74'
- 28
- 10
Coach
Martin Palermo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andre Luis | 2 |
| Kaio Jorge | 1 |
| Luis Orejuela | 1 |
| Christian | 1 |
| Wellington Paulista | 1 |
| Juan Lucero | 1 |
| Bruno Rodrigues | 1 |
| Mateus Vital | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
78%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
50%
Cruzeiro EC or Fortaleza EC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.1%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 24% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

