Sunday , 16 August 2026

Ceará SC vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 1
Full Time
Thu 6 Nov 2025 · 23:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 30' Eros Mancuso
Y 38' Breno Lopes
Vina 59' Y
Y 66' Gaston Avila
Aylon 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Fortaleza ECSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Fortaleza EC H 1–1 D
02 Nov Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
29 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
25 Oct CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
19 Oct Botafogo FR H 0–2 L
15 Oct SC Recife A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Ceará SC A 1–1 D
01 Nov Santos FC A 1–1 D
25 Oct CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
19 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
05 Oct EC Juventude A 2–1 W

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Ceará SC host Fortaleza EC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Ceará SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Brenno Costa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 26' Matheus Bahia was booked on 26.
  • 30' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Eros Mancuso on 30 minutes.
  • 30' Another substitution for Ceara SC to replace Fernando Sobral by Dieguinho on 30 minute.
  • 35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 37' Adam Bareiro adds to his 2 season tally! Fortaleza EC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 38' Breno Lopes picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 43' Fortaleza EC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 48' Both keepers have barely been tested. Ceará SC and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 53' Fortaleza EC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 59' It’s a booking for Ceara SC player. Vina gets a card.
  • 60' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 60 minute. Moises leaves to be changed by Lucas Crispim.
  • 62' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Vinicius Zanocelo is withdrawn and Lucas Mugni gets his opportunity.
  • 66' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 66.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Matheus Pereira. He replaces Breno Lopes on 68 minute.
  • 73' Lucas Sasha has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 78' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Juan Lucero comes on to replace Adam Bareiro.
  • 81' Aylon gets the nod from Ceara SC. He replaces Antonio Galeano and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Brazil international Matheus Bahia has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Pedro Raul makes it 0-2.
  • 90' Aylon was booked on 90.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Ceará SC 1-1 Fortaleza EC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.27 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Ceará SC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC45% Draw30% Fortaleza EC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
75%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
55%
Ceará SC or Fortaleza EC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC30% Draw52% Fortaleza EC18%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
41%
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.