Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Ceará SC vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 1
Full Time
Thu 6 Nov 2025 · 23:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 30' Eros Mancuso
Y 38' Breno Lopes
Vina 59' Y
Y 66' Gaston Avila
Aylon 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Fortaleza EC H 1–1 D
02 Nov Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
29 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
25 Oct CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
19 Oct Botafogo FR H 0–2 L
15 Oct SC Recife A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Ceará SC A 1–1 D
01 Nov Santos FC A 1–1 D
25 Oct CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
19 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
05 Oct EC Juventude A 2–1 W

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Castelao. Ceará SC are looking to make home advantage count against Fortaleza EC.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Leo Condé will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Eros Mancuso is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fortaleza EC.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Martin Palermo might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Lucas Crispim has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 26' A moment of madness from Matheus Bahia on 26 minutes earns him a card. Ceara SC will be frustrated.
  • 30' Eros Mancuso has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 30.
  • 30' Dieguinho is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fernando Sobral at the 30 minute mark.
  • 35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 37' Assisted by Breno Lopes with the perfectly-timed delivery and Adam Bareiro makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 38' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 38.
  • 43' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 48' Vina, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 53' Both keepers have barely been tested. Ceará SC and Fortaleza EC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 58' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 59' Vina picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 60' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Moises departs to be replaced by Lucas Crispim.
  • 62' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Vinicius Zanocelo is withdrawn and Lucas Mugni gets his opportunity.
  • 66' Controversy at the stadium! Gaston Avila argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Breno Lopes as he leaves the pitch. Matheus Pereira steps in for Fortaleza EC.
  • 73' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 78' Juan Lucero is ready to make an impact after coming on for Adam Bareiro at the 78 minute mark.
  • 81' Aylon is replacing Antonio Galeano for the Ceara SC side.
  • 86' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Ceará SC and Fortaleza EC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 90' Magnificent from Pedro Raul! That is 46 goals in 352 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Ceara SC player. Aylon gets a card.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.27 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Ceará SC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC45% Draw30% Fortaleza EC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
75%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
55%
Ceará SC or Fortaleza EC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC30% Draw52% Fortaleza EC18%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.