Thursday , 2 July 2026

Ceará SC vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 1
Full Time
Thu 6 Nov 2025 · 23:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 30' Eros Mancuso
Y 38' Breno Lopes
Vina 59' Y
Y 66' Gaston Avila
Aylon 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Fortaleza ECSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Fortaleza EC H 1–1 D
02 Nov Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
29 Oct Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
25 Oct CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
19 Oct Botafogo FR H 0–2 L
15 Oct SC Recife A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Ceará SC A 1–1 D
01 Nov Santos FC A 1–1 D
25 Oct CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
19 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
05 Oct EC Juventude A 2–1 W

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Castelao that hosts another battle between Ceará SC and Fortaleza EC.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' The travelling Fortaleza EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Ceará SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Ceará SC is showing some good football. However, Ceará SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 26' Matheus Bahia is having his name booked by the referee on 26.
  • 30' Eros Mancuso was booked on 30.
  • 30' Another change for Ceara SC made on 30 minute. Fernando Sobral leaves to be changed by Dieguinho.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 37' Goal! Adam Bareiro scores his 20 goal in 169 matches.
  • 38' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Breno Lopes gets a card.
  • 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Vina suffering a number of foals already.
  • 48' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Ceará SC that had 238 games and scored 233 goals.
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 59' The referee calls foul for Vina. He receives a card.
  • 60' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lucas Crispim is hanging Moises on the field on 60 minute.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Lucas Mugni. He replaces Vinicius Zanocelo on 62 minute.
  • 66' Fortaleza EC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 68' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 68 minute. Breno Lopes leaves to be changed by Matheus Pereira.
  • 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Antonio Galeano, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 78' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Adam Bareiro departs to be replaced by Juan Lucero.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Aylon. He replaces Antonio Galeano on 81 minute.
  • 86' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Moises has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' Goal! Pedro Raul scores his 45 goal in 341 matches.
  • 90' The referee shows Ceara SC player a card on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.27 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Ceará SC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC45% Draw30% Fortaleza EC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
75%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
55%
Ceará SC or Fortaleza EC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC30% Draw52% Fortaleza EC18%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.8%
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
41%
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.