Saturday , 14 November 2026

Fortaleza EC vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 22:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Breno Lopes 14' Y
Y 48' Leo Pereira

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
19 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
05 Oct EC Juventude A 2–1 W
02 Oct São Paulo FC H 0–2 L
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
19 Oct SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
15 Oct Botafogo FR A 3–0 W
05 Oct EC Bahia A 0–1 L
02 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 0–0 D
28 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Flamengo
0-15
8/3
16-30
6/2
31-45
9/2
46-60
8/5
61-75
9/2
76+
12/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Flamengo
Pedro 20 G 7 A
Samuel Lino 12 G 9 A
Jorge Carrascal 7 G 9 A
Lucas Paqueta 7 G 1 A
Gonzalo Plata 4 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Fortaleza EC welcome CR Flamengo for this crunch clash at Castelao.
  • 5' Fortaleza EC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against CR Flamengo's shape.
  • 10' Bruno Pacheco has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
  • 12' Breno Lopes has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 12 minutes.
  • 14' It’s gonna be a card for Breno Lopes.
  • 19' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Agustin Rossi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 24' Fortaleza EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and CR Flamengo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 34' CR Flamengo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 39' It is a cagey affair so far. Fortaleza EC in their trying to find a way past CR Flamengo's compact .
  • 44' Fortaleza EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 48' The referee shows CR Flamengo player a card on 48.
  • 53' Fortaleza EC is showing some good football. However, Fortaleza EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 54' The supporters are chanting for Luiz Araujo. He replaces Bruno Henrique on 54 minute.
  • 59' Ayrton Lucas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 18 goals in his last 402 appearances.
  • 61' Moises gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Adam Bareiro and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' Gonzalo Plata makes way for Yan at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from CR Flamengo.
  • 70' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 71' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Pierre by Rodrigo on 71 minute.
  • 76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CR Flamengo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 78' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Matheus Rossetto on, Tomas Pochettino off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' CR Flamengo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 88' Juninho is replacing Jorginho for the CR Flamengo side.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or CR Flamengo 70% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC34% Draw30% CR Flamengo36%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
65%
Draw or CR Flamengo
66%
Fortaleza EC or CR Flamengo
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC20% Draw53% CR Flamengo27%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
14%
0 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push CR Flamengo covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 22% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.