Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 22:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Breno Lopes 14' Y
Y 48' Leo Pereira

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
19 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
05 Oct EC Juventude A 2–1 W
02 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 0–2 L
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
19 Oct SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
15 Oct Botafogo FR A 3–0 W
05 Oct EC Bahia A 0–1 L
02 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 0–0 D
28 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Flamengo
0-15
7/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Flamengo
Pedro 16 G 6 A
Samuel Lino 9 G 7 A
Jorge Carrascal 5 G 7 A
Lucas Paqueta 5 G
Giorgian De Arrascaeta 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. CR Flamengo get us underway at Castelao.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Argentina international Gaston Avila has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 12' Brilliant from the ! Breno Lopes makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 12.
  • 14' A meaty challenge results in booking for Breno Lopes on 14.
  • 19' Yan is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CR Flamengo tonight.
  • 24' It’s high time Martin Palermo made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 29' It is a cagey affair so far. Fortaleza EC in their trying to find a way past CR Flamengo's compact .
  • 34' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 39' A quiet spell here at Castelao. CR Flamengo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 44' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Martin Palermo will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 48' It’s a booking for CR Flamengo player. Leo Pereira gets a card.
  • 53' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 54' The whistle greets Bruno Henrique as he departs to be replaced by Luiz Araujo.
  • 59' Saul needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 61' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Moises on, Adam Bareiro off on 61 minutes.
  • 65' Another change for CR Flamengo made on 65 minute. Gonzalo Plata leaves to be changed by Yan.
  • 70' CR Flamengo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 71' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Pierre exits the field as Rodrigo enters on 71.
  • 76' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 78' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Tomas Pochettino exits the field as Matheus Rossetto enters on 78.
  • 83' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 88' The CR Flamengo bench stirs into life. Jorginho is withdrawn and Juninho gets his opportunity.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or CR Flamengo 70% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC34% Draw30% CR Flamengo36%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
65%
Draw or CR Flamengo
66%
Fortaleza EC or CR Flamengo
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC20% Draw53% CR Flamengo27%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
14%
0 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push CR Flamengo covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 22% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.