Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fortaleza EC vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
1 – 0
Full Time
CR Flamengo
Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 22:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Breno Lopes 14' Y
Y 48' Leo Pereira

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

4
2
8
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 2.5 goals CR Flamengo
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-25 Fortaleza EC 1–0 CR Flamengo 2025-06-01 CR Flamengo 5–0 Fortaleza EC 2024-11-26 Fortaleza EC 0–0 CR Flamengo 2024-07-11 CR Flamengo 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-11-05 Fortaleza EC 0–2 CR Flamengo

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct CR Flamengo H 1–0 W
19 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
16 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 0–2 L
05 Oct EC Juventude A 2–1 W
02 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 0–2 L
27 Sep SC Recife H 1–0 W
CR Flamengo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
19 Oct SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
15 Oct Botafogo FR A 3–0 W
05 Oct EC Bahia A 0–1 L
02 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 0–0 D
28 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Flamengo
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/–
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Flamengo
Pedro 10 G 4 A
Samuel Lino 4 G 6 A
Giorgian De Arrascaeta 3 G 1 A
Lucas Paqueta 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Castelao will turn into a battlefield for Fortaleza EC and CR Flamengo.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 12' Fortaleza EC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Breno Lopes on 12.
  • 14' Fortaleza EC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 19' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 24' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 29' CR Flamengo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 29.
  • 34' Supporters expect more eagerness from Giorgian De Arrascaeta, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 39' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 44' It looks surprising CR Flamengo does not make any changes. Lucas Sasha has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 48' It’s a booking for CR Flamengo player. Leo Pereira gets a card.
  • 53' Juninho needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 54' Another substitution for CR Flamengo to replace Bruno Henrique by Luiz Araujo on 54 minute.
  • 59' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CR Flamengo needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 61' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Adam Bareiro departs to be replaced by Moises.
  • 65' Yan is replacing Gonzalo Plata for the CR Flamengo side.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Adam Bareiro made 169 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 71' Rodrigo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pierre on 71 minute.
  • 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tomas Pochettino suffering a number of foals already.
  • 78' Matheus Rossetto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomas Pochettino on 78 minute.
  • 83' It’s high time Martin Palermo made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 88' Juninho is replacing Jorginho for the CR Flamengo side.
  • Full Time. Fortaleza EC beats CR Flamengo

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Martin Palermo

CR Flamengo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Filipe Luis

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Gabriel Barbosa 7
Pedro 4
Michael 4
Pedro Rocha 3
Luiz Araujo 3
Bruno Henrique 3
Giorgian De Arrascaeta 2
Everton Ribeiro 2

Head to Head

2025-10-25 Fortaleza EC 1–0 CR Flamengo 2025-06-01 CR Flamengo 5–0 Fortaleza EC 2024-11-26 Fortaleza EC 0–0 CR Flamengo 2024-07-11 CR Flamengo 1–2 Fortaleza EC 2023-11-05 Fortaleza EC 0–2 CR Flamengo

Fortaleza EC Form

2025-10-25 Fortaleza EC 1–0 CR Flamengo W 2025-10-19 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Fortaleza EC L 2025-10-16 Fortaleza EC 0–2 CR Vasco da Gama L 2025-10-05 EC Juventude 1–2 Fortaleza EC W 2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Sao Paulo FC L 2025-09-27 Fortaleza EC 1–0 SC Recife W

CR Flamengo Form

2025-10-25 Fortaleza EC 1–0 CR Flamengo L 2025-10-19 CR Flamengo 3–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-10-15 Botafogo FR 0–3 CR Flamengo W 2025-10-05 EC Bahia 1–0 CR Flamengo L 2025-10-02 CR Flamengo 0–0 Cruzeiro EC D 2025-09-28 SC Corinthians Paulista 1–2 CR Flamengo W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or CR Flamengo 70% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC34% Draw30% CR Flamengo36%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
65%
Draw or CR Flamengo
66%
Fortaleza EC or CR Flamengo
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC20% Draw53% CR Flamengo27%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
14%
0 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push CR Flamengo covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 18% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 22% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.