Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Tue 30 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Millerntor-Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSV Fortuna 95 DusseldorfDFB-Pokal at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 5–6 L
27 Jan TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf A 2–1 W
20 Jan 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 2–0 W
17 Dec SV Wehen Wiesbaden H 1–1 D
09 Dec VfL Osnabruck A 1–1 D
05 Dec FC 08 Homburg A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 6–5 W
27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
21 Jan Hertha BSC A 2–2 D
16 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 3–2 W
10 Dec Holstein Kiel H 0–1 L
05 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.06 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191041% Draw23% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf36%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
64%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
59%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191032% Draw38% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf30%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–6 not predicted
5 – 6
Actual
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
7%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 17% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 17% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
14%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.