Friday , 9 October 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Tue 30 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Millerntor-Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf — DFB-Pokal at Millerntor-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 6–5 W
27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
21 Jan Hertha BSC A 2–2 D
16 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 3–2 W
10 Dec Holstein Kiel H 0–1 L
05 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
0% Clean Sheets
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC St. Pauli 1910 launch into their encounter with TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
  • 5' The 31-year-old Nicolas Gavory has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' FC St. Pauli 1910 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 12' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf make a change. Emmanuel Iyoha trudges off to be replaced by Takashi Uchino on 12 minutes.
  • 17' FC St. Pauli 1910 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 17.
  • 22' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 27' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC St. Pauli 1910 and TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 37' Sascha Burchert has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 37.
  • 38' Vincent Vermeij makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are in front.
  • 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' A tactical swap from FC St. Pauli 1910 — Manolis Saliakas on, Lars Ritzka off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The referee calls foul for Fabian Hurzeler. He receives a card.
  • 55' A moment of madness from Andre Hoffmann on 55 minutes earns him a card. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf will be frustrated.
  • 60' Marcel Hartel has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 60 minutes.
  • 65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lars Ritzka suffering a number of foals already.
  • 68' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf make a change. Vincent Vermeij trudges off to be replaced by Christoph Daferner on 68 minutes.
  • 73' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Carlo Boukhalfa. He replaces Aljoscha Kemlein on 74 minute.
  • 79' Philipp Treu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 83' Manolis Saliakas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 83.
  • 86' It is a substitution in TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf team. Felix Klaus is replaced by Jona Niemiec on 86 minute.
  • TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.06 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf 77% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191041% Draw23% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf36%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
64%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
59%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191032% Draw38% TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf30%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–6 not predicted
5 – 6
Actual
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
7%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 17% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 17% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.