Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 22 Mar 2026 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs SC FreiburgBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar SC Freiburg H 1–2 L
13 Mar Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–2 L
08 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–0 D
28 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 1–0 W
22 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W
14 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
19 Mar KRC Genk H 5–1 W
15 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L
12 Mar KRC Genk A 0–1 L
07 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–3 D
01 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–2 L

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 SC Freiburg
#18 Position #7
26 Points 47
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 13
29 Scored 51
60 Conceded 57
-31 GD -6
0.76 PPG 1.38
18% Win % 38%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC St. Pauli 1910 is hosting SC Freiburg for another epic battle.
  • With this win, SC Freiburg is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or SC Freiburg 70% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191030% Draw30% SC Freiburg40%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
59%
Draw or SC Freiburg
70%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or SC Freiburg
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC St. Pauli 191021% Draw49% SC Freiburg30%
Actual: FC St. Pauli 1910 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
10.5%
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 22% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
26%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.