KRC Genk vs SC Freiburg, Europe 2025-26 LAST 16

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UEFA Europa League · 2025-26

KRC Genk

1 – 0

Full Time

SC Freiburg

Thu 12 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

KRC Genk vs SC Freiburg — Europe .

KRC Genk 8 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
SC Freiburg 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Chris Kavanagh

5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 12.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Olympique Lyonnais	8	21
2	Aston Villa FC	8	21
3	FC Midtjylland	8	19
4	Real Betis Balompié	8	17
5	FC Porto	8	17
6	Sporting Clube de Braga	8	17
7	SC Freiburg	8	17
8	AS Roma	8	16
9	KRC Genk	8	16
10	Bologna FC 1909	8	15
11	VfB Stuttgart	8	15
12	Ferencvárosi TC	8	15
13	Nottingham Forest FC	8	14
14	FC Viktoria Plzen	8	14
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	8	14
16	RC Celta de Vigo	8	13
17	PAOK Thessaloniki FC	8	12
18	Lille OSC	8	12
19	Fenerbahçe SK	8	12
20	Panathinaikos AO	8	12
21	Celtic FC	8	11
22	PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad	8	10
23	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	8	10
24	SK Brann	8	9
25	BSC Young Boys	8	9
26	SK Sturm Graz	8	7
27	FCSB Bukarest	8	7
28	Go Ahead Eagles	8	7
29	Feyenoord Rotterdam	8	6
30	FC Basel 1893	8	6
31	FC Red Bull Salzburg	8	6
32	Rangers FC	8	4
33	OGC Nice	8	3
34	FC Utrecht	8	1
35	Malmo FF	8	1
36	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC	8	1

Head-to-Head

KRC Genk 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals SC Freiburg

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-12 KRC Genk 1–0 SC Freiburg

Recent Form

KRC Genk

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	SC Freiburg	H	1–0	W
07 Mar	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	A	1–2	L
01 Mar	KAA Gent	H	3–0	W
26 Feb	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	H	3–3	D
22 Feb	Royal Standard de Liège	H	0–3	L
19 Feb	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	A	3–1	W

SC Freiburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Mar	KRC Genk	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	3–3	D
01 Mar	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	0–2	L
22 Feb	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	2–1	W
14 Feb	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	0–3	L
10 Feb	Hertha BSC	A	6–5	W

Season Stats

KRC Genk		SC Freiburg
#9	Position	#7
16	Points	17
8	Played	8
5 / 1 / 2	W / D / L	5 / 2 / 1
11	Scored	10
7	Conceded	4
+4	GD	+6
2.00	PPG	2.13
63%	Win %	63%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

KRC Genk are 9th (16 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (17 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' KRC Genk have kicked off against SC Freiburg. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
1-0 the final result. SC Freiburg will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

KRC Genk Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.15 KRC Genk xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.75 SC Freiburg xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

KRC Genk47% Draw31% SC Freiburg22%

Actual: KRC Genk win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes37% 0% No63%

Avg goals/match: 1.9

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	83%	17%
± 1.5	57%	43%
± 2.5	30%	70%
± 3.5	13%	87%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

KRC Genk or Draw

78%

Draw or SC Freiburg

53%

KRC Genk or SC Freiburg

69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

KRC Genk29% Draw56% SC Freiburg15%

Actual: KRC Genk win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

17.4%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.8%

0 – 1

9.8%

2 – 0

9.4%

2 – 1

7.3%

1 – 2

4.7%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 0

3.6%

3 – 1

2.9%

2 – 2

2.9%

3 – 2

1.2%

Asian Handicap — KRC Genk

Handicap	KRC Genk covers	Push	SC Freiburg covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	13%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	24%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	15%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

KRC Genk keeps clean sheet

48% ✗

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.