Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
6 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 24.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–3 D
01 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–2 L
22 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach H 2–1 W
14 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–3 L
10 Feb Hertha BSC A 6–5 W
07 Feb SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar SC Freiburg A 3–3 D
04 Mar Hamburger SV A 1–0 W
28 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
24 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP H 0–0 D
21 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
18 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP A 2–0 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#3 Position #5
19 Points 16
9 Played 9
6 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 5 / 1 / 3
20 Scored 20
10 Conceded 17
+10 GD +3
2.11 PPG 1.78
67% Win % 56%

Key Stats

76% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
22% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

SC Freiburg are 3rd (19 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.26 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 76% + Over 2.5 goals 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg45% Draw24% Bayer 04 Leverkusen31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 76%
24%
± 3.5 57%
43%
± 4.5 38%
62%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
68%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
55%
SC Freiburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg37% Draw37% Bayer 04 Leverkusen26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
7.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
3.7%
1 – 0
3.4%
3 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 14% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 19% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 15% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.