SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

SC Freiburg

3 – 3

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2025/26)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Benjamin Brand

19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

SC Freiburg 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 SC Freiburg 3–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-10-26 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 SC Freiburg 2025-05-04 SC Freiburg 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2024-12-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SC Freiburg 2024-03-17 SC Freiburg 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

SC Freiburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	3–3	D
01 Mar	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	0–2	L
22 Feb	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	2–1	W
14 Feb	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	0–3	L
10 Feb	Hertha BSC	A	6–5	W
07 Feb	SV Werder Bremen	H	1–0	W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	SC Freiburg	A	3–3	D
04 Mar	Hamburger SV	A	1–0	W
28 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–1	D
24 Feb	PAE Olympiakos SFP	H	0–0	D
21 Feb	1. FC Union Berlin	A	0–1	L
18 Feb	PAE Olympiakos SFP	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg		Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#7	Position	#6
47	Points	59
34	Played	34
13 / 8 / 13	W / D / L	17 / 8 / 9
51	Scored	68
57	Conceded	47
-6	GD	+21
1.38	PPG	1.74
38%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg

0-15

–/3

16-30

4/–

31-45

–/2

46-60

3/2

61-75

3/2

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Bayer 04 Leverkusen kicks off things out of here…
The final score is 3-3.

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	6
Florian Wirtz	4
Lucas Alario	3
Vincenzo Grifo	3
Lucas Holer	3
Jonathan Tah	2
Ritsu Doan	2
Sardar Azmoun	2

Head to Head

SC Freiburg Form

2026-03-07 SC Freiburg 3–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2026-03-01 Eintracht Frankfurt 2–0 SC Freiburg L 2026-02-22 SC Freiburg 2–1 Borussia Monchengladbach W 2026-02-14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3–0 SC Freiburg L 2026-02-10 Hertha BSC 5–6 SC Freiburg W 2026-02-07 SC Freiburg 1–0 SV Werder Bremen W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2026-03-07 SC Freiburg 3–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2026-03-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2026-02-28 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-02-24 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 PAE Olympiakos SFP D 2026-02-21 1. FC Union Berlin 1–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2026-02-18 PAE Olympiakos SFP 0–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.61 SC Freiburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.13 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: SC Freiburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 76% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

SC Freiburg32% Draw24% Bayer 04 Leverkusen44%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.74

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw

56%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

68%

SC Freiburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SC Freiburg24% Draw39% Bayer 04 Leverkusen37%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

1 – 2

8.4%

2 – 2

6.7%

2 – 1

6.4%

1 – 3

5.9%

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 3

4.8%

0 – 1

4.6%

0 – 3

3.8%

3 – 2

3.6%

0 – 0

3.6%

3 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap	SC Freiburg covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	15%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	19%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	15%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.