Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L
12 Mar KRC Genk A 0–1 L
07 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–3 D
01 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 0–2 L
22 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach H 2–1 W
14 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar SC Freiburg A 1–0 W
08 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 1–4 L
28 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–1 L
21 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–0 W
14 Feb Hamburger SV A 2–3 L
06 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D

Season Stats

SC Freiburg 1. FC Union Berlin
#7 Position #11
47 Points 39
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 10 / 9 / 15
51 Scored 44
57 Conceded 58
-6 GD -14
1.38 PPG 1.15
38% Win % 29%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). 1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 1. FC Union Berlin xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg or 1. FC Union Berlin 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg37% Draw29% 1. FC Union Berlin34%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
66%
Draw or 1. FC Union Berlin
63%
SC Freiburg or 1. FC Union Berlin
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg28% Draw47% 1. FC Union Berlin25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push 1. FC Union Berlin covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
29%
1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.