Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
25 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–0 W
07 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–1 D
03 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–0 W
31 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
28 Jan Villarreal CF H 3–0 W
24 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–4 L
07 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
03 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–3 L
31 Jan FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
27 Jan RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
23 Jan Hamburger SV H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen FC St. Pauli 1910
#6 Position #18
59 Points 26
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
68 Scored 29
47 Conceded 60
+21 GD -31
1.74 PPG 0.76
50% Win % 18%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
/3
16-30
1/
31-45
/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.72 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.51 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen78% Draw15% FC St. Pauli 19107%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
93%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
22%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC St. Pauli 1910
85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen61% Draw34% FC St. Pauli 19105%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.6%
3 – 0
12.9%
1 – 0
10.8%
4 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 1
6.6%
1 – 1
6%
0 – 0
5.2%
5 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.6%
5 – 1
2.6%
6 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 40% 60%
-2 40% 23% 38%
-1.5 62% 38%
-1 62% 20% 18%
-0.5 82% 18%
+0.5 96% 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
60%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.