Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–0 W
07 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
03 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–0 W
31 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
28 Jan Villarreal CF H 3–0 W
24 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–4 L
07 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 2–1 W
03 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–3 L
31 Jan FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
27 Jan RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
23 Jan Hamburger SV H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen FC St. Pauli 1910
#12 Position #3
0 Points 26
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 6 / 8 / 20
0 Scored 29
0 Conceded 60
+0 GD -31
PPG 0.76
Win % 18%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.47 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 79% + Under 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen67% Draw25% FC St. Pauli 19108%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes21% 0% No79%
Avg goals/match: 1.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
92%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
33%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC St. Pauli 1910
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen42% Draw54% FC St. Pauli 19104%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
24.4%
0 – 0
19.2%
2 – 0
17.6%
3 – 0
8.5%
1 – 1
7.9%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
2.9%
4 – 1
1.2%
1 – 2
1%
5 – 0
1%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 21% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 31% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 94% 6%
+1 94% 5% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
74%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.