Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
1 – 1
Full Time
Sun 9 Nov 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Hakim Ben El Hadj Salem
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 16.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Toulouse FC H 1–1 D
02 Nov Racing Club de Lens A 0–3 L
29 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–1 D
26 Oct Angers SCO A 0–2 L
19 Oct Stade Brestois 29 H 3–3 D
03 Oct Paris FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov FC Lorient A 1–1 D
02 Nov Le Havre AC H 0–0 D
29 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 2–2 D
25 Oct AS Monaco FC A 0–1 L
19 Oct FC Metz H 4–0 W
05 Oct Olympique Lyonnais A 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC Lorient Toulouse FC
#10 Position #12
15 Points 13
10 Played 10
4 / 3 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 3
9 Scored 15
8 Conceded 14
+1 GD +1
1.50 PPG 1.30
40% Win % 30%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
FC Lorient this season
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

FC Lorient are 10th (15 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Lorient
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Lorient
Jean-Victor Makengo 2 G 1 A
Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Lorient Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.09 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: FC Lorient or Toulouse FC 68% + Under 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient35% Draw32% Toulouse FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
67%
Draw or Toulouse FC
65%
FC Lorient or Toulouse FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient24% Draw53% Toulouse FC23%
Actual: FC Lorient win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14.1%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
2.6%
1 – 3
2.5%
3 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 20% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 20% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.