FC Arouca vs Vitoria SC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

FC Arouca

3 – 2

Full Time

Vitoria SC

Sat 7 Feb 2026 · 20:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Arouca vs Vitoria SC — Primeira Liga .

FC Arouca 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)
Vitoria SC 1 games · 1 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Miguel Fonseca (Portugal)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CD Tondela	32	27
2	AVS	33	20
3	CS Maritimo	1	3
4	FC Famalicão	1	1
5	GD Estoril Praia	1	1
6	Vitoria SC	1	1
7	FC Arouca	1	1
8	Académico de Viseu FC	0	0
9	FC Porto	0	0
10	Sporting Clube de Portugal	0	0
11	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	0	0
12	Sporting Clube de Braga	0	0
13	Gil Vicente FC	0	0
14	Moreirense FC	0	0
15	FC Alverca	0	0
16	Rio Ave FC	0	0
17	CD Santa Clara	0	0
18	CD Nacional	0	0
19	CF Estrela da Amadora	0	0
20	Casa Pia AC	1	0

Head-to-Head

FC Arouca 10 games · Avg 3.3 goals Vitoria SC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-07 FC Arouca 3–2 Vitoria SC 2025-08-30 Vitoria SC 1–1 FC Arouca 2025-01-18 Vitoria SC 2–2 FC Arouca 2024-08-12 FC Arouca 0–1 Vitoria SC 2024-05-18 FC Arouca 1–3 Vitoria SC

Recent Form

FC Arouca

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Feb	Vitoria SC	H	3–2	W
31 Jan	Rio Ave FC	A	3–0	W
24 Jan	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	1–2	L
17 Jan	AVS	A	1–0	W
03 Jan	CD Tondela	A	1–3	L
28 Dec	Gil Vicente FC	H	2–2	D

Vitoria SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Feb	FC Arouca	A	2–3	L
30 Jan	Moreirense FC	H	1–0	W
24 Jan	GD Estoril Praia	A	2–4	L
18 Jan	FC Porto	H	0–1	L
02 Jan	CD Nacional	H	2–1	W
28 Dec	Casa Pia AC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

FC Arouca		Vitoria SC
#7	Position	#6
1	Points	1
1	Played	1
0 / 1 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 1 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
1.00	PPG	1.00
0%	Win %	0%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Arouca are 7th (1 pts). Vitoria SC are 6th (1 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . FC Arouca are looking to make home advantage count against Vitória SC.
The referee brings this contest to a close. FC Arouca take all three points.

Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

Vitoria SC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nelson Oliveira	2
Joao Basso	2
Andre Bukia	2
Antony	2
Jota Silva	2
Quaresma	2
Andre Silva	1
Oday Dabbagh	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.05 FC Arouca xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.93 Vitoria SC xG

I would bet for: FC Arouca or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Arouca41% Draw31% Vitoria SC28%

Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 1.98

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	84%	16%
± 1.5	59%	41%
± 2.5	32%	68%
± 3.5	15%	85%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

FC Arouca or Draw

72%

Draw or Vitoria SC

59%

FC Arouca or Vitoria SC

69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Arouca24% Draw55% Vitoria SC21%

Actual: Vitoria SC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

16.2%

1 – 1

14.4%

1 – 0

13.1%

0 – 1

11.5%

2 – 0

7.2%

2 – 1

6.9%

1 – 2

6.1%

0 – 2

5.7%

2 – 2

3.4%

3 – 0

2.5%

3 – 1

2.5%

1 – 3

1.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Arouca

Handicap	FC Arouca covers	Push	Vitoria SC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	10%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	21%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	19%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FC Arouca keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Vitoria SC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.