Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rio Ave FC vs FC Arouca, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
0 3
Full Time
Sat 31 Jan 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Rio Ave FC vs FC AroucaPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sergio Guelho
7 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 7.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan FC Arouca H 0–3 L
25 Jan CD Nacional A 0–4 L
17 Jan Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
04 Jan Casa Pia AC H 3–1 W
28 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–4 L
20 Dec Gil Vicente FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan Rio Ave FC A 3–0 W
24 Jan Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–2 L
17 Jan AVS A 1–0 W
03 Jan CD Tondela A 1–3 L
28 Dec Gil Vicente FC H 2–2 D
21 Dec CD Santa Clara A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Rio Ave FC FC Arouca
#12 Position #8
36 Points 42
34 Played 34
8 / 12 / 14 W / D / L 12 / 6 / 16
35 Scored 47
57 Conceded 64
-22 GD -17
1.06 PPG 1.24
24% Win % 35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Rio Ave FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season

Rio Ave FC are 12th (36 pts). FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Rio Ave FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
/3
46-60
3/
61-75
/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Rio Ave FC Lineups

FC Arouca Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 Rio Ave FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74 FC Arouca xG
I would bet for: Rio Ave FC or FC Arouca 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rio Ave FC30% Draw27% FC Arouca43%
Actual: FC Arouca win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Rio Ave FC or Draw
57%
Draw or FC Arouca
70%
Rio Ave FC or FC Arouca
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rio Ave FC22% Draw44% FC Arouca34%
Actual: FC Arouca win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.8%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 0
4%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Rio Ave FC

Handicap Rio Ave FC covers Push FC Arouca covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 21% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet
18%
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.